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Home renovations sector in Australia seeing a slow recovery, says new report
The home renovations sector in Australia is being held up and frustrated by the hesitant pace of the current real estate market, according to a new report. The comprehensive review of the country’s renovations market from the Housing Industry Association shows that the current recovery has been slow since the slump in activity between 2011 and 2013. Indeed, the hesitant pace of the current recovery is mainly due to patchy consumer sentiment and challenging labour market conditions in several states, according to HIA senior economist Shane Garrett. . ‘Dwelling price growth is also pretty unspectacular in a number of important markets,’ he said, adding that there is considerable geographic variation. The report says that demand for renovations in New South Wales has been greatly boosted by the strength of prices. Many Sydney households that had been planning on moving house find that it is now much more affordable to undertake a major renovations job instead. ‘Australia’s home renovations market is a major strand of consumer spending and will be worth just under $30 billion this year. Its labour intensive nature means that it has substantially positive knock-on effects for employment,’ said Garrett. ‘Over the coming years, the modest recovery will continue. This will be spurred on by very favourable interest rate settings as well as improvements in economic growth and the labour market over the medium term. However, the recent tightening of mortgage credit conditions casts an unwelcome shadow,’ he explained. The Spring 2015 edition of the HIA’s Renovations Roundup projects that renovations activity will increase by 3.9% this year with a slight 0.4% increase forecast for 2016. The HIA is forecasting that activity will grow by 0. Continue reading
Residential property prices in London up over 10% year on year
House prices in England and Wales increased by 0.4% month on month and 5.6% year on year in October, taking the average value to £186,350, according to the latest data, but much higher in London. On a regional basis London experienced the greatest increase in its average property value over the last 12 months with a rise of 10.6%, well above other parts of the country, the figures from the Land Registry show. The North East saw the greatest monthly growth with an increase of 1.9% while Yorkshire and the Humber saw the lowest annual price growth at 1.4% and the most significant monthly price fall with a decline of 1.8%. Sales and repossessions during August 2015, the most up to date figures available, show that the number of completed house sales in England and Wales decreased by 15% to 74,596 compared with 87,895 in August 2014. Repossessions in England and Wales decreased by 54% to 376 compared with 826 in August 2014 and the region with the greatest fall in the number of repossession sales was Yorkshire and the Humber. The data also shows that the number of properties sold in England and Wales for over £1 million decreased by 13% to 1,280 from 1,473 a year earlier. Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents, pointed out that the average price of a home in London is now above half a million and already rising in value much faster than elsewhere across the country. ‘In addition, the reverberations from last year’s stamp duty surprise are still echoing around the market, and million pound property sales have suffered significantly,’ he added. Regarding future price increases, he also pointed out that only time will tell whether the extra 3% stamp duty levy on buy to let and second home buyers will affect the market. ‘In the meantime, there will be a scramble for second home purchases before the April deadline, which will only amp up the existing competition between landlords and first time buyers in the housing market,’ he said. ‘While intending to help more households get that crucial foothold onto the ladder, the Chancellor may find himself responsible for pushing up prices in the short term, and pricing out many prospective homeowners, despite the other initiatives in place. Any hit against the supply of rental homes will hurt tenants’ finances, and delay their realisations of home ownership,’ Gill added. Rob Weaver, director of investments at property crowdfunding platform Property Partner, believes that although the prime central London market seems to be faltering partially due to affordability and last year’s stamp duty changes, the outer boroughs are powering ahead, driven by regeneration in places like Thamesmead and Newham, and of course, the Crossrail effect. ‘This is clear evidence that the UK housing market is incredibly diverse across the regions, highlighting a north-south divide with Yorkshire and The Humber seeing a relatively tiny annual increase. However, the issue of supply still… Continue reading
Existing sales fall in October in the United States
Existing home sales in the United States fell by 3.4% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million from 5.55 million in September, the latest data shows. All four major regions of the country saw no gains in sales. However, despite the decline sales are still 3.9% above a year ago at 5.16 million, the figures from the National Association of Realtors also show. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, the sales cooldown in October was likely given the pullback in contract signings in the previous couple of months. ‘New and existing home supply has struggled to improve so far this fall, leading to few choices for buyers and no easement of the ongoing affordability concerns still prevalent in some markets,’ he said. ‘Furthermore, the mixed signals of slowing economic growth and volatility in the financial markets slightly tempered demand and contributed to the decreasing pace of sales,’ he pointed out. ‘As long as solid job creation continues, a gradual easing of credit standards even with moderately higher mortgage rates should support steady demand and sales continuing to rise above a year ago,’ he added. The median existing home price for all housing types in October was $219,600, which is 5.8% above October 2014 when it was $207,500). October's price increase marks the 44th consecutive month of year on year gains. The data also shows that total housing inventory at the end of October decreased 2.3% to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, and is now 4.5% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 4.8 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.7 months in September. The share of first time buyers increased to 31% in October, up from 29% both in September and a year ago. NAR's annual Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, released earlier this month, show that the annual share of first time buyers fell to its second lowest level since the survey began in 1981. All-cash sales were 24% of transactions in October which was unchanged from September and down from 27% a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 13% of homes in October, unchanged from September but down from 15% a year ago. Some 62% of investors paid cash in October. Distressed sales, foreclosures and short sales, declined to 6% in October, which is the lowest since NAR began tracking them in October 2008 and own from 9% a year ago. Some 5% of October sales were foreclosures and 1% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 18% below market value in October, up from 17% in September, while short sales were discounted 8% compared to 19% in September. ‘All-cash and investor sales are still somewhat elevated historically despite the diminishing number of distressed properties. With supply already meagre at the lower end of the price range, competition from these buyers only adds to the list of obstacles in the… Continue reading
