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UK first time buyer market saw seasonal slowdown at end of 2015
First time buyer activity in the UK saw a seasonal slowdown at the end of 2015 despite price for this type of buyer falling, the latest property index shows. First time buyer numbers fell in December by 1,300 on a monthly basis, down 4.7%, as the traditional slowdown hit the UK property market but over the course of 2015, the longer term outlook remains healthy for first time buyers, with numbers up by 1.1% between December 2014 and December 2015. The data from the Your Move and Reed Rains first time buyer tracker report also shows that first time buyers find cheaper homes with smaller deposits and secure more affordable mortgages. Also, the average mortgage rate remains at a rock bottom level, with lenders buoyed by recent news that the Bank of England does not intend to raise interest rates for the foreseeable future. According to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, first time buyers have been buoyed by a positive economic climate and a range of Government incentives such as the reduction of Stamp Duty on lower priced properties, designed to lessen at least the immediate costs of home ownership. ‘They increasingly came into their stride as 2015 has progressed. Some of the credit for this revival in activity should also go to first time buyers themselves. Over the course of the year they have toughened up their act and sought to get the best property they can at the best price and it’s a skill that will serve this group well as they head into 2016,’ said Gill. The cost of an average first time buyer home fell on a monthly basis in December from £153,275 to £152,470, a drop of 0.5%. However, over the course of the year, the average purchase price rose by 3.8%, representing an increase of £5,518 between December 2014 and December 2015. In addition, December saw a dip in the costs of getting on the property ladder. The average deposit put down by a first time buyer in December fell by 0.5% month on month to £25,292. This is indicative of a broader trend of deposit costs falling over the course of the year, with the average cost of a deposit dropping by £2,151 or 7.8% between December 2014 and December 2015. The decline in the burden of the average deposit on a first time buyer is reflected by the fact the proportion of an average first-time buyer’s income that is eaten up by the deposit fell from 64.6% in November to 64.3% in December. Between December 2014 and December 2015 the proportion fell by 6.8%. First time buyers in December also benefitted from a reduction in the regular burden placed on their finances by mortgage repayments. In November 19.3% of a first time buyer’s average income was consumed by monthly mortgage payments, by December this had fallen to 19%, the second lowest figure on record. Meanwhile, the average loan to… Continue reading
Irish property prices up 0.5% month on month, but fall in Dublin
Residential property prices in Ireland increased by 6.6% in 2015 with home values outside of Dublin recovering well, the latest data shows. The figures from the Central Statistics Office show that overall the strong growth experienced in 2014 slowed considerably last year. Prices increased by 16.3% year on year in December 2014. Month on month prices were up by 0.5% in the month of December compared to a decrease of 0.5% recorded in November. However, in Dublin residential property prices decreased by 0.5% in December but were 2.6% higher than a year ago. However, a breakdown of the figures show that house prices in the city decreased by 0.5% in December. But they are 2.1% higher compared to a year ago. Dublin apartment prices were 7.8% higher when compared with the same month of 2014. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. Prices in the rest of Ireland rose by 1.2% in December compared with a rise of 0.7% in December of last year. Prices were 10.2% higher than in December 2014. The slowdown in price growth towards the end of 2015 means that prices are still some way down from their peaks in 2007. House prices in Dublin are 34.2% lower than at their highest level and apartment prices are 40.6% lower, while overall prices are 36.1% lower. In the rest of Ireland pries are 35.4% lower than their highest level in September 2007 and overall, the national index is 33.5% lower than its highest level in 2007. Meanwhile, IPD/SCSI quarterly property index shows that total return for Irish property was 25% in 2015, down considerably from the record breaking 40% achieved in 2014. MSCI, a provider of indexes, portfolio risk and performance analytics, also revealed that total returns from investment property hit 25% year on year in the fourth quarter of 2015, and described it as another strong year for the Irish market. This outpaced the UK market return of 13.8% as per the IPD UK Monthly Property Index with the Irish index now including residential properties for the first time since the third quarter of 2015. The office sector continued to lead the market, returning 5.6% in the last quarter to close out 2015 with a 27.1% year on year total return. The retail sector returned 20.9% and the industrial sector 21.2% for the year. Rental value growth was the key driver in the Irish market during 2015 as market rents grew by 14.4%. The index report says that strong rental value growth indicates a clear sign of business confidence in the Irish economy but also endemic of the limited supply of office space in Dublin city centre. 2015 also proved to be the year in which the Irish recovery spread nationwide, with obvious improvements in the regional retail sector and a growing demand for modern… Continue reading
Average prices in England and Wales up over 6% year on year
Average property prices in England and Wales increased year on year by 6.4% in December, taking the average property value to £188,270, the latest index shows. Month on month house prices rose by 1.2% since November 2015, according to the monthly index report from the Land Registry. London recorded the greatest increase in its average property values with annual growth of 12.4% and the biggest month on month rise at 2.1%, taking the average price to £514,097. The North East saw the lowest annual price growth with an increase of 0.8%, taking the average price to £99,069, a considerable difference to the average price in London. Wales saw the most significant monthly price fall with a decrease of 0.8% to take the average price to £121,780. The most up to date figures available, show that the number of completed house sales in England and Wales fell by 8% to 79,960 compared with 86,452 in in October 2014 while the number of properties sold for more than £1 million fell by 2% to 1,231 from 1,258 a year earlier. Repossessions in England and Wales fell by 51% to 431 compared with 888 in October 2014 and the region with the greatest fall in the number of repossession sales was London with a fall of 71% from October 2014. Mark Posniak, managing director at Dragonfly Property Finance, pointed out that with demand strong and supply weak, prices in December defied the usual seasonal slowdown, adding that this is even more pronounced in London. He believes that the construction lag is having a significant impact on the market. ‘On a more positive note, we are seeing noticeably more construction activity at the moment, particularly by smaller developers. But this will take time to trickle through into the market,’ he said. ‘Looking into 2016, it's hard to see anything other than a continuation of the current trend of steadily rising prices, especially with interest rates unlikely to rise in the near future and a robust jobs market,’ he added. According to John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank, prolific buyer demand is fanning the house price growth. ‘A strengthening labour market, robust consumer sentiment and a supportive mortgage market all played their part, despite the obstacles provided by the festive period. This strength of demand has been compounded by the record low levels of property on the market at present,’ he said. ‘Uncertainty around economic growth in 2016 provides a reason for caution. The good news however, is that house building starts appear to be at their highest level since 2007. It is not yet strong enough to counterbalance demand. However if this trend of improvement is maintained, it should lead to a healthier property market for investors and buyers alike,’ he added. The lack of supply is also the explanation of what is currently happening with unseasonal growth in the market, said Jonathan Hopper, managing director of the buying agents Garrington Property Finders. ‘Even… Continue reading
