Tag Archives: financial

Rising prices and tight supply hitting aspiring home owners in the US

Property price growth and tight supply are leading to softening confidence among renters in the United States about whether it’s a good time to buy a home, according to the latest research. The survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) also found that a misconception about how much of a down payment is needed […] The post Rising prices and tight supply hitting aspiring home owners in the US appeared first on PropertyWire . Continue reading

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Commercial property more likely to be affected by Brexit than residential

Volatile markets since the UK voted to leave the European Union are clouding prospects for the nation’s real estate sector with commercial sectors most likely to be affected, according to a new analysis. Commercial real estate companies, especially those most exposed to London's financial districts, could be most affected by falling valuations and rents, followed by home builders in the higher end segment, says the report from S&P Global Ratings. ‘We anticipate the drop in valuation will be on average less dramatic for residential real estate assets than for the commercial sector, although it will vary between segments and geographies, the report says. ‘High end and luxury apartments in central London were already experiencing some negative trends in the past few months. We would expect this situation to continue given that this segment relies more heavily on foreign investors, which we expect may be even more hesitant buyers now, despite the fall in sterling,’ it points out. ‘On the other hand, we believe that value fluctuation in the mid-range and affordable segments will likely be more limited, especially given the structural undersupply of housing in the UK and the expected lower for longer interest rate environment. Any long term impact on migration flux as a result of a Brexit may nonetheless have some negative consequences on households' growth and ultimately on residential real estate overall. However, we view this risk as more remote for now,’ it explains. Home builders, the report says, could be more heavily affected by Brexit fallout than residential real estate investment companies. This is especially if demand for new homes starts falling should purchase decisions be delayed in the context of uncertainties created by the Brexit vote. ‘We understand that home builders are monitoring closely their weekly sales rates, footfall to showrooms, and mortgage approval rates, as key indicators of operating performance. These indicators seem to have remained relatively healthy so far, in particular in the affordable segment, and mortgage availability continues to be robust as opposed to the previous downturn in 2008/2009, the report says. ‘However, some deterioration cannot be ruled out, especially because the sector is strongly correlated to GDP growth, unemployment rates, and consumer confidence, which are all expected to be negatively affected in the coming months and years,’ it adds. The report also points out that home builders already observed some declines in sales rates in the second quarter of 2016, although this seems to have been related more to the change in stamp duty than concerns over Brexit, adding that a potential decline in house prices may also stretch margins for home builders. ‘While a drop in valuation of UK commercial assets of 10% to 20% or more would be detrimental to property companies, the robust fundamentals of the business model of real estate investment companies should limit any significant turbulence in operating performance, in our view, at least in the short to medium term,’ it points out. The climate could result in discounts being offered… Continue reading

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Steady rise of equity release in UK housing market continues

Some £8.2 million of housing wealth was withdrawn in the UK every working day in the second quarter of 2016 as equity release lending passed £0.5 billion for the first quarter on record. Overall there was £514.4 million of lending in quarter two, up 34% year on year and 58% higher than in the second quarter of 2014, according to the latest figures from the Equity Release Council. The council report points out that the three busiest quarters for equity release lending have all come within the last 12 months and the annual rise in the number of new plans agreed is the fastest seen in 13 years. Common uses for equity release include paying off existing mortgages and loans, providing extra retirement income, funding home improvements or care related adaptations, paying for travel or other one off expenses, and gifting money to family members as a ‘living inheritance’. The council also says that over 55s increased appetite to use housing wealthy has been supported by market developments which include new providers and increasing choice of products and features emerging. In addition, the market received support from the regulator in April when they amended the legislation to allow optional interest repayments to be exempt from mortgage affordability rules. Year on year, the council’s figures show the biggest percentage growth in the value of lending in the second quarter of the year was for lump sum lifetime mortgages, typically involving a larger release of housing wealth in a single payment, up 37% or £56.8 million compared to the second quarter of 2015. However, lending via drawdown lifetime mortgages, allowing consumers to make multiple withdrawals of equity as and when needed, continued to account for the larger share of the market, growing 31% or £72.4 million to £304 million compared to the second quarter of 2015. Home reversion plans also experienced a rise in the second quarter of 2016 with the total value of activity more than doubling year on year from £623,647 in the second quarter of 2015 to £1.5 million. Looking at new customers’ product choices, some 67% opted for drawdown products in the second quarter, up from 65% a year earlier, while the share of lump sum products dipped slightly from 35% to 33%. With market activity having grown significantly during that time, the number of new drawdown plans agreed was up 27% year on year compared with 16% for lump sum plans. Overall, it meant the total volume of new plans agreed across the whole market was up 23% year on year, the highest annual growth rate in nearly 13 years since the third quarter of 2003. The 6,671 new plans agreed was the largest quarterly total since the fourth quarter of 2008. ‘These figures are the latest sign that UK home owners increasingly see housing wealth as a fundamental part of their retirement funding plans. The long term rise of house prices… Continue reading

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