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US home sales reach eight year peak and prices all time high
Existing home sales in the United States increased in June to their highest pace in over eight years, according to the latest monthly data report from the National Association of Realtors. It also shows that the cumulative effect of rising demand and limited supply has helped push the national median sales price to an all-time high of $236,400. Sales increased by 3.2% and all regions experienced sales gains in June and have now risen above year on year levels for six consecutive months. Sales are now at their highest pace since February 2007 and have increased year on year for nine consecutive months and are 9.6% above a year ago. ‘Buyers have come back in force, leading to the strongest past two months in sales since early 2007. This wave of demand is being fuelled by a year plus of steady job growth and an improving economy that's giving more households the financial wherewithal and incentive to buy,’ said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ‘June sales were also likely propelled by the spring's initial phase of rising mortgage rates, which usually prods some prospective buyers to buy now rather than wait until later when borrowing costs could be higher,’ he added. The median existing home price for all housing types in June was $236,400, which is 6.5% above June 2014 and surpasses the peak median sales price set in July 2006 of $230,400. June's price increase also marks the 40th consecutive month of year on year gains. The data also shows that total housing inventory at the end of June inched 0.9% to 2.3 million existing homes available for sale, and is 0.4% higher than a year ago when it was 2.29 million. Unsold inventory is at a five month supply at the current sales pace, down from 5.1 months in May. ‘Limited inventory amidst strong demand continues to push home prices higher, leading to declining affordability for prospective buyers. Local officials in recent years have rightly authorized permits for new apartment construction, but more needs to be done for condominiums and single family homes,’ Yun explained. The percent share of first time buyers fell to 30% in June from 32% in May, but remained at or above 30% for the fourth consecutive month. A year ago, first time buyers represented 28% of all buyers. Properties typically stayed on the market for 34 days in June, down from 40 days in May and the shortest time since NAR began tracking in May 2011. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 129 days in June, while foreclosures sold in 39 days and non-distressed homes took 33 days. Some 47% of homes sold in June were on the market for less than a month, the highest percentage since June 2013. According to NAR president Chris Polychron, real estate agents are reporting drastic imbalances of supply in relation to demand in many metro areas, especially in the West. ‘The demand for buying has really… Continue reading
Over third of UK letting agents report rent rises
Over a third of letting agents in the UK saw rent increases last month, the highest recorded this year, while a third saw an increased in short term let enquiries. Indeed, more and more agents are witnessing increases in the cost of renting, according to the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) monthly private rented sector monthly report. Some 36% of agents said that rents had increased between May and June, the highest number since tracking began and 80% predict that private rents will continue to soar over the next five years. ARLA pointed out that member’s views could be the result of the measures introduced to reduce the amount of tax relief buy to let investors can claim in the Chancellor’s Mini Budget last month. The report also found the highest number of agents reporting rent increases was in the East Midlands where 48% said that rents had increased in June, compared to only 17% in Wales. Supply and demand shifted marginally in June, with an average of 178 properties managed per branch, compared to 179 in May. There was an average of 36 prospective tenants registered per ARLA branch in June, the same as the previous three months. The report also revealed that worryingly, supply in London continued to drop with only 118 rental properties managed in June, compared to 134 in May, a decrease of 12%. As the summer holidays begin, interest in short term lets has risen further, with 33% of agents reporting an increase in enquiries for short term lets in June. This has risen by 7% from the previous month when 26% reported an increase in enquiries. Agents in the North West have witnessed the largest increase in enquires for short term lets, with 43% reporting a rise in June. ‘It is worrying to see so many agents reporting an increase in the cost of rent over the last six months, especially considering so many people rent as a way to bridge the gap whilst they save to get onto the property ladder,’ said David Cox, managing director of ARLA. ‘Findings like this continue to prove that the housing crisis isn’t going to disappear anytime soon and it will take a while before we see steps heading in the right direction. The impact of the Chancellor’s reductions to the amount of tax relief buy to let investors can claim will affect the cost of renting over the coming months and is likely to mean it will take even longer to see any improvement in affordability in the private rented sector,’ he added. Continue reading
New South Wales leads Australian new home building boom
New South Wales has become Australia’s top state for new home building with the state of Western Australia, dropping to second place and Victoria in third. The latest biannual house report from the Housing Industry Associations shows that New South Wales is seeing strong levels of multi-unit dwelling construction and detached homes. ‘The buoyant housing market has played a significant role in elevating New South Wales up the rankings,’ said HIA economist, Geordan Murray, but he warned that the rapid price growth has intensified affordability pressures. ‘Lending figures reaffirm the challenges facing first home buyers. First home buyer lending highlights this as the weak spot in the housing market, and ranked New South Wales as the third weakest jurisdiction on this indicator,’ he explained. The recovery in Queensland continued to gather momentum. The analysis shows the improvements can be attributed to a boost in multi-unit home building. The improvements lifted the state one place up the league table. ‘To maintain the positive momentum we’ll need to see the recovery broaden its base through improvements in detached house building and renovations activity,’ added Murray. He also pointed out that in the post mining boom era, the focus has been on shifting the drivers of economic growth, which would see eastern states gain prominence. The latest Housing Scorecard highlights that it has been residential building that has picked up the first baton and led the charge. Meanwhile, the HIA is warning that increasing the GST property tax on new housing to 15% will add tens of thousands of dollars to new home prices, crushing the dream of home ownership for many Australians. ‘New housing is already weighed down by the burden of tax. It is usually seen as an easy cash grab by governments Adding another 5% or more on top of the price of a new home will put housing out of reach of many people that are trying desperately to get into the market,’ said HIA chief executive for industry policy Graham Wolfe. He pointed out that a 5% increase on a typical house and land package in Sydney, for example, would increase the cost of a mortgage by around $60,000 over the life of the loan. ‘Independent research has demonstrated that the total combined taxes, levies and charges on a new home can be up to 44% of the price of a new house and land package in Sydney. GST currently applies to new housing but not Wolfe. ‘We need more housing stock to accommodate our growing and aging population. Lifting the GST on new housing will dampen new housing activity. Increasing the burden on home buyers should be a no-go area for governments if they are really concerned about housing affordability,’ he added. Continue reading
