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UK asking prices up 2.1% in February
Average price of property coming to the market in the UK increased by 2.1% or over £5,000 this month with all regions reporting growth, according to the latest index report from Rightmove. This takes the average asking price to £279,004 and the annual price growth to 6.6% but this is down from 8.2% in January. The report says that there is an increasing demand for property and overall there has been a 31% increase in housing transactions in last two years in England and Wales, outstripping the 11% rise in the number of properties coming to the market in same period. The result is that demand is outstripping supply and some agents are reporting their lowest ever stock of quality property for sale. Indeed, there has been a 4% fall in new seller numbers compared to same period in 2014. ‘We’re now over a month into 2015, and despite predictions that the upcoming May election could slow home mover interest, Rightmove has recorded its busiest ever month for traffic and leads to agents,’ said Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst. He pointed out that decades of inadequate provision of homes to satisfy growth in demand are having an increasing effect, with a tight stock market resulting in a shortage of quality property for sale to trade up to. ‘For the right property at the right price, demand is outstripping supply and leading to some further upwards price pressure. However there is a limit to what the majority are willing or can afford to pay, especially with the tighter lending criteria,’ he explained. ‘In locations where there is a tight stock market some different tactics are required for a successful move as competition gets fiercer for quality homes as demand increases,’ he added. Housing demand is at a record high with visits to Rightmove hitting over 100 million in January for the first time ever and home hunters looking through a record 1.5 billion pages of property. New record busiest ever days were set on Sunday 25th and Monday 26th of January. The report also says that email and phone enquiries by home hunters to agents on Rightmove hit 4.3 million for the first time, equating to around 100 enquiries every minute. ‘Quality stock is in short supply in some locations, which is unsurprising given the structural under supply of homes and the recovery from the economic downturn,’ said Shipside. Indeed, Rightmove statistics show that the average available stock for sale per estate agency branch for the last two months at 57 and 58 properties has never been lower at the beginning of a year. New seller numbers this month are also 4% below those recorded in the same period in 2014. ‘Many who are contemplating moving will have noticed a lack of suitable property for sale in their area, and may be hoping that it’s a temporary shortage. What they may not fully appreciate is that this is the new norm, and… Continue reading
Property markets varying across the UK, latest RICS survey shows
Supply and demand varied across the UK residential property market in January and 49% more London surveyors saw prices fall in January 2015 according to the latest monthly index. Scotland and Northern Ireland’s housing market outperformed the rest of the UK in January, with more buyer enquiries, stronger price growth and higher confidence in the outlook, the survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows. While nationally, the number of potential new buyer enquiries fell for the seventh consecutive month, Scotland saw the greatest buyer interest with several respondents suggesting the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) will prompt more first time buyers to get on the property ladder. Meanwhile, Northern Ireland’s housing market witnessed the strongest price momentum for the fifth consecutive month, with 47% more respondents reporting increases in prices. However, RICS says that the national results, which are based on England and Wales only, continue to signal a cooling market and price growth has all but levelled off with just 2% more surveyors expecting prices to increase over the next three months, its slowest pace since May 2013. The survey shows that within England, London market conditions continue to deteriorate with prices, buyer enquiries and sales falling. Some 49% more respondents saw prices in the capital decline and the short-term confidence outlook is negative, despite the longer terms sales outlook being more upbeat. In the lettings market 19% more respondents reported a further rise in tenant demand during the three months to January and while supply appears to be dipping once again, there is anecdotal evidence to suggest that some new build rental properties are coming to market and surveyors’ rental growth expectations now stand at 4.6% per annum over the course of the next five years. Despite a month in which mortgage approvals fall to their one of their lowest levels, the number of agreed sales showed a slight increase in January, up from 19.1 to 19.7, and the 12 month member forecast is more optimistic around activity levels with 48% of surveyors still expecting sales to rise. ‘The changes to stamp duty and pending introduction of LBTT in Scotland are, to varying degrees, providing an incentive to first time buyers, but there remain a number of challenges to market, such as ongoing affordability constraints, lack of stock and an air of caution in the run-up to the general election,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Overall, while the RICS lead indicators suggest the level of house building looks set to increase over the course of 2015, the volume of home starts will still fall considerably short of the number of new households being formed, let alone making a dent in the historic shortfall of housing across all tenures,’ he added. Continue reading
Residential property prices in Portugal set for moderate growth
Residential property prices in Portugal are expected to rise modestly over the first few months of 2015 after eight months of stability as housing market activity levels continue to rise. There is a strengthening in sales market confidence, with forward looking indicators showing rising optimism, according to the latest RICS/Ci Portuguese Housing Market Survey. In the lettings sector, sustained growth in occupier demand, coupled with a contraction in new landlord instructions, is helping to stabilise rents and rent expectations, it also shows. In the sales market, new buyer enquiries continued to rise, extending the run of uninterrupted demand growth stretching back almost a year and a half. Meanwhile agreed sales increased for the 12 month in a row in December. ‘Significantly, sales expectations are the most buoyant in four years and this sustained recovery in activity appears to have stabilised house prices, which have now remained more or less unchanged for the past eight months,’ the index report shows. ‘Crucially, prices are now expected to rise marginally. Although this is a positive development, we would warn against reading too much into this at the current juncture, given the still challenging economic backdrop,’ it adds. As a result of this improvement in sentiment, the national confidence index, a composite indicator of price and sales expectations, increased to +27, a new high for the series. In the lettings sector, occupier demand continues to rise at a steady pace and this is being accompanied by a significant fall in new landlord instructions. As a result, although still in decline, rents are falling at the slowest pace on record. Furthermore, rent expectations are pointing to a relatively stable trend over the next three months. According to CI spokesman, Ricardo Guimaraes, it is interesting to note that in some markets several real estate agents mention that there is a relative lack of housing available for sale. ‘At the same time, there has been a clear increase in demand. Naturally, this demand is oriented towards the most central locations and main cities,’ he explained. RICS senior economist, Josh Miller, believes that the bottom of the home price market has been reached and the lettings sector is not far behind. ‘Whether the market can transition from a broadly stable picture, to a genuine recovery very much depends on if the economic recovery can be sustained. On this front, things look promising but we are not out of the woods just yet,’ he said. Continue reading
