London
Residential property sales in Hong Kong up over 40% month on month in December
Residential property sales in Hong Kong rebounded in December, up 43.1% from the previous month, according to data from the land registry. A total of 2,153 primary residential sales transactions were recorded, more than doubling those in November, while secondary home sales increased 6.4%. The data also shows that in December, over half of new home sales involved three major developments: Capri in Tseung Kwan O, The Bloomsway in Tuen Mun and Yuccie Square in Yuen Long. The latest monthly Hong Kong review report from international real estate firm Knight Frank points out, however, that total residential sales volume for 2015 was still down 12.3% from 2014, with primary sales dropping only 0.2% and secondary sales losing 16.6%. The report suggests that both landlords and buyers held a wait and see attitude amid various uncertainties in both local and external markets. The housing supply target in the coming 10 years was reduced from 480,000 to 460,000 units, according to the Transport and Housing Department, as the projected number of new households during the period was less than previously forecast. ‘With the US interest rate hike and a projected increase in housing supply, home prices are expected to come under pressure this year. We expect luxury home prices to fall up to 5%, while mass residential prices could decrease by 5% to 10%,’ the report says. When it comes to the office market, the report explains that, facilitated by various policies to enhance cross border financial integration, mainland Chinese financial firms expanded rapidly in Hong Kong’s CBD, driving up Grade-A office rents in Central by as much as 13.7% in 2015. In December, for instance, a Mainland firm secured a 14,773 square foot office space in Cheung Kong Center in Central and Kowloon East continued to see robust leasing activity, with many companies relocating from Hong Kong Island and other business districts to the area, attracted by the abundant supply of cost effective new space. The Knight Frank report suggest that in 2016 landlords will face pressure in rental negotiations as they compete for tenants to drive down vacancies. This comes on the back of a year in which the office sales market improved, with the total volume and value of transactions rising 21.7% and 49.6% respectively, driven by increased demand from both investors and owner-occupiers seeking to reduce rental costs. However, the report point out that some Mainland firms which had actively taken up Grade-A office space run into various problems. For example, some delayed renovating the space they had let, while others failed to take up the units at the start of the lease term. There were even cases of firms exiting their Hong Kong business. ‘However, with limited supply in core business areas, we still expect their vacancy rates to remain low and their rents to rise by 5% this year. In decentralised areas, however, rents could drop by up to 5% in 2016,’ the report adds. In the retail… Continue reading
People staying in their first home longer due to costs of moving up the housing ladder
Some 37% of first time buyers in the UK are staying in their first property for longer than planned despite improvements in wages in real terms, according to new research. The situation is most acute in London where 49% had not bought a second property within the timescales they had initially intended, the survey from Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks shows. This is in contrast to the East of England where only 23% of first time home owners had stayed in their property longer than they had expected. The research also found that first time buyers plan to stay in their first home for an average of seven years and nine months although a quarter plan to stay for more than 10 years. Those in the North East plan to stay in their first property for the longest length of time at almost 11 years whilst first time buyers in London have hopes of moving up the property ladder after six years and three months. ‘The step between the first and second property remains a challenge for some and increasing moving costs are also adding to the difficulty of raising a sufficient deposit to afford a larger home,’ said Steve Fletcher, director of retail banking. Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks have launched a new mortgage to help these kind of borrowers who are struggling to take the next step up the property ladder. The Home Mover Mortgage allows borrowing between 90% and 95% LTV. It comes with a three year fixed rate of 4.49% and is designed to support those who can afford larger mortgage payments but are struggling to save the required deposit. The Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks Home Mover Mortgage comes with no arrangement fee and one free standard valuation. Continue reading
Mortgage lending in UK up 23% year on year, says latest CML data
Gross mortgage lending in the UK reached £19.9 billion in December, some 3% less than the previous month but up 23% year on year. The data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) brings the estimated total for the year to £220.3 billion, an 8% increase on 2014’s £203.3 billion and the highest annual gross lending figure since 2008. Gross mortgage lending for the fourth quarter of 2015 was therefore an estimated £62.3 billion. This is a 1% increase on the third quarter and a 23% increase on the fourth quarter of 2014. ‘Lending ended the year stronger than it started, with our estimate of nearly £20 billion lent in December. This brings total lending to just over £220 billion for 2015 as a whole, and slightly higher than we had anticipated,’ said CML economist Mohammad Jamei. ‘The low inflation environment, along with real wage growth, an improving labour market and competitive mortgage deals have all helped to underpin demand. Having said this, the upside potential looks limited over the near term, as the supply of existing and new properties on the market remains weak, and affordability pressures weigh on activity,’ he pointed out. ‘There is an added element of uncertainty as we wait to see the impact of tax changes on the buy to let sector,’ he added. John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank, believes that the stamp duty tax changes on second properties from April are expected to increase mortgage lending activity ahead of their rollout. ‘However we don’t see this as a long term trend. The end of the year is a difficult time to conclude a great deal. Regulatory changes are expected to cause a short term spike in demand from investors, which will be reflected in first quarter figures, while overall conditions are supportive of sustainable growth in gross mortgage lending,’ he said. ‘Investor demand may balance out after the April rush, but the Help to Buy ISA will help underpin long term first time buyer demand, and the diminishing prospect of an interest rate rise will help keep a lid on monthly mortgage payments. As UK employment hits a record high, all this bodes well for borrowers’ finances and the health of the market,’ he added. The indusry should not be concerned about that dip in December, acdoring to Rishi Passi, chief executive officer of Oblix Capital. 'In the longer term, low inflation and reasonable wage growth look set to improve affordability for first time buyers and those on the bottom rungs of the ladder,' he said. 'Help to Buy will also go some way to fill the void left by any buy to let landlords downsizing their portfolios, so developers with one eye on the future should be preparing future stock to meet this shifting demand,' he added. Continue reading
