Investment
Over half of UK home borrowers will struggle if interest rates rise, says new poll
Some 52% of borrowers in the UK believe they will struggle or fall behind with mortgage repayments when interest rates rise, according to new research published by the Building Societies Association. The survey has revealed that one tenth would experience real financial problems. A further 14% said they would be able keep up with repayments, but it would be a constant struggle, while almost a quarter, 23%, said that they would experience difficulty from time to time. When questioned about the impact on their lifestyle, 18% of borrowers said they will have to cut back on essentials such as food or clothing in order to make their monthly repayments. A further 15% said they will have to work more hours in order to keep on top of their mortgage commitments. ‘Concern from borrowers is natural when it comes to interest rate rises. There are at least 1.85 million home owners that have never experienced a rate rise, we have a record low Bank Base Rate for so long, it is unsurprising that some people are concerned that a rise in rates will affect their lifestyles and ability to make mortgage repayments,’ said Paul Broadhead, head of mortgage policy at the BSA. ‘Clearly some of the actions borrowers say they would take may not be within their control, for example working additional hours. Our advice to those concerned about interest rate rises is to start thinking about how they will manage the increased costs. This could include creating a household budget, to taking a look at mortgage calculators and rescheduling unsecured loans such as credit cards. Free money advice is available for those that are concerned,’ he explained. ‘The good news is that the results of our survey show nearly a quarter of borrowers will not have to make any changes to their lifestyle when interest rates rise. With the economy more stable than it has been for years, this is a positive result,’ he pointed out. ‘That said, with inflation near zero and the Monetary Policy Committee voting by a majority of eight to one to maintain the Bank Rate at 0.5%, it is looking unlikely that things will change before well into 2016,’ he added. Joanna Elson, chief executive of the Money Advice Trust, the charity that runs National Debtline, said that after years of low rates, borrowers’ minds are beginning to focus on the prospect of higher interest rates, and what this will mean for their finances. ‘Nevertheless, many mortgage payers are still in for a big financial shock when rates do start to climb and we remain concerned that many will fall into problem debt as a result. We must not forget that renters, too, are likely to be affected as extra mortgage costs are passed on by landlords,’ she explained. ‘Households now have a window of opportunity to re-assess their budgets, look again at their borrowing and think about how they will cope with higher interest rates. It is crucial… Continue reading
US existing home sales fall after three months of growth
Following three straight months of gains, existing home sales in the United States dipped in August despite slowing price growth and a positive turnaround in the share of sales to first time buyers. Total existing home sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co–ops, fell 4.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.31 million in August from a slight downward revision of 5.58 million in July. While none of the four major regions saw sales increase in August, the index report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says that sales have risen year on year for 11 consecutive months and are 6.2 % above a year ago. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, explained that home sales in August lost some momentum to close out the summer. ‘Sales activity was down in many parts of the country last month, especially in the South and West, as the persistent summer theme of tight inventory levels likely deterred some buyers,’ he said. ‘The good news for the housing market is that price appreciation the last two months has started to moderate from the unhealthier rate of growth seen earlier this year,’ he added. The index also shows that the median existing home price for all housing types in August was $228,700, which is 4.7% above August 2014 when it was $218,400. The market has now seen 42 months in a row of year on year gains. The report also shows that total housing inventory at the end of August rose 1.3% to 2.29 million existing homes available for sale, but is 1.7% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 5.2 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.9 months in July. ‘With sales and overall demand higher than a year ago and supply mostly unchanged, low inventories will likely continue to limit options for those looking to buy this fall even with the overall pool of buyers shrinking because of seasonal factors,’ said Yun. The percent share of first time buyers rebounded to 32% in August, up from 28% in July and matching the highest share of the year set in May. A year ago, first time buyers represented 29% of all buyers. Yun believe that when the Federal Reserve decides to lift short term rates, which is expected later this year, the impact on mortgage rates and overall housing demand will likely not be pronounced. ‘With job growth holding steady, prospective buyers can handle any gradual rise in mortgage rates, especially if today's stronger labour market finally leads to a boost in wages and homebuilding accelerates to alleviate supply shortages and slow price growth in some markets,’ he added. NAR released a study earlier this month that examined new home construction in relation to job gains. The findings revealed that home building activity is currently insufficient in a majority of metro areas and is contributing to the ongoing housing shortages and unhealthy… Continue reading
Scottish property market still seen as a good investment despite tax changes
The Scottish property market is still adjusting to political and taxation changes but overall remains an attractive place to invest in real estate, according to a new analysis report. Scotland remains comparatively good value for money, and this is the key driver in the majority of buying decisions but the introduction of Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT ) in April has had an impact. It has contributed to the growth of Scotland’s mainstream residential market, but delayed the recovery of the prime sector in the medium term, says the report from real estate firm Savills. However, Edinburgh is the exception to the rule, where the prime market is attracting buyers from London and overseas who remain cautious about investing outside the capital and the report says that one year on from the Referendum on Scottish Independence, there has been a notable transfer in balance within the residential property market north of the border, with a shift to bottom up growth. The report explains that during the summer of 2014, the Scottish property market was recovering from the economic downturn. The prime residential market was leading the way in the resurgence, with a growing demand for properties above £400,000, particularly in key property hotspots. Consumer confidence was beginning to ripple out, both to other locations and to lower price bands. However, the Referendum raised a number of difficult questions, and the resulting uncertainty stalled the property market. ‘This was felt acutely at the top end, the bracket that had long been boosted by the prevalence of London buyers. A year on, this key target group remains anxious about LBTT and the forthcoming Scottish Rate of Income Tax,’ said Faisal Choudhry, director of Scottish residential research at Savills. ‘In addition, both UK and Scottish Governments have introduced initiatives to support the lower value sector of the market in an attempt to revive both the house building industry and buyers on the early steps of the property ladder,’ he said. ‘Buyers of homes below £400,000 are now receiving further assistance in the form of favourable rates of LBTT. Meanwhile, buyers of more expensive homes are taking on the burden of the new progressive taxation in Scotland,’ he added. The report says that Scotland’s million pound market has felt the biggest brunt of the new taxation changes. The vast majority of sales in this bracket completed prior to 01 April, before LBTT was introduced. While there has been a slight uplift in activity in recent weeks, sales have mostly been focussed on the core locations of Edinburgh, East Lothian, East Renfrewshire and East Dunbartonshire and also in Aberdeen, which saw the most expensive sale since April this year at £2.78 million. ‘As the economy improves, and buyers from both sides of the border adjust to the new taxation structure, we expect this upward trend to continue. While the million pound market is beginning to recover in Scotland’s capital, buyer activity in more provincial locations remains subdued,’… Continue reading
