Investment
UK first time buyer market saw seasonal slowdown at end of 2015
First time buyer activity in the UK saw a seasonal slowdown at the end of 2015 despite price for this type of buyer falling, the latest property index shows. First time buyer numbers fell in December by 1,300 on a monthly basis, down 4.7%, as the traditional slowdown hit the UK property market but over the course of 2015, the longer term outlook remains healthy for first time buyers, with numbers up by 1.1% between December 2014 and December 2015. The data from the Your Move and Reed Rains first time buyer tracker report also shows that first time buyers find cheaper homes with smaller deposits and secure more affordable mortgages. Also, the average mortgage rate remains at a rock bottom level, with lenders buoyed by recent news that the Bank of England does not intend to raise interest rates for the foreseeable future. According to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, first time buyers have been buoyed by a positive economic climate and a range of Government incentives such as the reduction of Stamp Duty on lower priced properties, designed to lessen at least the immediate costs of home ownership. ‘They increasingly came into their stride as 2015 has progressed. Some of the credit for this revival in activity should also go to first time buyers themselves. Over the course of the year they have toughened up their act and sought to get the best property they can at the best price and it’s a skill that will serve this group well as they head into 2016,’ said Gill. The cost of an average first time buyer home fell on a monthly basis in December from £153,275 to £152,470, a drop of 0.5%. However, over the course of the year, the average purchase price rose by 3.8%, representing an increase of £5,518 between December 2014 and December 2015. In addition, December saw a dip in the costs of getting on the property ladder. The average deposit put down by a first time buyer in December fell by 0.5% month on month to £25,292. This is indicative of a broader trend of deposit costs falling over the course of the year, with the average cost of a deposit dropping by £2,151 or 7.8% between December 2014 and December 2015. The decline in the burden of the average deposit on a first time buyer is reflected by the fact the proportion of an average first-time buyer’s income that is eaten up by the deposit fell from 64.6% in November to 64.3% in December. Between December 2014 and December 2015 the proportion fell by 6.8%. First time buyers in December also benefitted from a reduction in the regular burden placed on their finances by mortgage repayments. In November 19.3% of a first time buyer’s average income was consumed by monthly mortgage payments, by December this had fallen to 19%, the second lowest figure on record. Meanwhile, the average loan to… Continue reading
US pending homes sales more or less unchanged in December
Pending home sales in the United States were mostly unchanged in December, but inched forward slightly, fuelled by a large increase in the Northeast that outpaced declines in the other three major regions. The latest index from the National Association of Realtors increase by just 0.1% month on month and is now 4.2% above December 2014, the 16th month in a row that it has risen. ‘Warmer than average weather and more favourable inventory conditions compared to other parts of the country encouraged more households in the North east to make the decision to buy last month,’ said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ‘Overall, while sustained job creation is spurring more activity compared to a year ago, the ability to find available homes in affordable price ranges is difficult for buyers in many job creating areas. With home building still grossly inadequate, steady price appreciation and tight supply conditions aren't going away any time soon,’ he added. According to Yun, although healthy labour market conditions will persuade more households to buy, it's possible overall demand could be somewhat curtailed in coming months. The stock market's sizeable losses since the start of the year and the effect slowing manufacturing activity is having in some areas, especially in the energy sector, could cause some to hold off on buying. ‘The silver lining from the market turmoil in recent weeks is the fact that mortgage rates have slightly declined. Buyers looking to close on a home before the spring buying season begins may be rewarded with a mortgage rate at or below 4%,’ Yun explained. Existing homes sales this year are forecast to be around 5.34 million, an increase of 1.5% from 2015. The national median existing home price for all of this year is expected to increase between 4% and 5%, down from the 6.8% in 2015. Rents, which have far outpaced wages in recent years, are expected to slightly slow to 3.3% growth in 2016 from 3.6% a year ago. Multifamily housing starts are expected to reach 420,000 units this year, the highest level since 1987. A breakdown of the data shows that the data increased 6.1% in the North east in December, and is now 15.3% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index decreased 1.1% to 103.6 in December, but is still 3.6% above December 2014. Pending home sales in the South declined 0.5% to an index of 119.3 in December but are 1% higher than last December. The index in the West decreased 2.1% in December to 97.5, but remains 3.4% above a year ago. Continue reading
New buy to let tax regime set to lead to higher rents, research suggests
The majority of landlords in the UK believe the Government’s tax changes last year will discourage investment in the buy to let sector, new research suggests. Some 86% believe it will prevent investment some 90% think it will also result in higher rents and overall they believe it will ultimately lead to a shortage of available of rental homes. The research from lettings and property management company Orchard and Shipman Group also reveals that a quarter of landlords will be selling some, or all of their properties, but just 18% of landlords said they would pull out of the market all together. The research also reveals that over 90% of landlords believe they should be free to deduct legitimate costs, just like any other business. More than half of landlords surveyed said they would be raising rents in 2016 to cover the increased financing costs. ‘The Government’s changes to the way buy to let investors are taxed will inevitably impact revenue. The shortage of housing, a growing rental market and rising property prices is driving increased demand for rental properties,’ said Shane Spiers, chief executive officer of Orchard and Shipman Residential . ‘With these market conditions at play, it’s no surprise that landlords will be putting up rents to supplement their income. Unfortunately, it is tenants that will feel the brunt of the tax changes,’ he added. However, he pointed out that the Government’s ambition to make buy to let look less appealing, may yet be thwarted as many landlords and property investors are committed and passionate and will do whatever it takes to protect their interests. ‘Our research shows that the majority of landlords are looking at ways to recover the potential drop in revenue and we are advising landlords on the options available to them. I believe that the buy to let market will pull together to ensure it continues to provide much needed accommodation to meet growing tenant demand,’ added Spiers. Continue reading
