Investment
New home loans falling in Australia, latest data shows
New home loans in Australia saw a further decline in February from the high levels of late 2015, according to the latest report from the Housing Industry Association. Despite a growth in the total number of owner occupier loans, excluding refinancing, new home loans fell by 6.5% month on month and were 2.7 per cent lower than a year earlier. During February the number of loans for the construction of new dwellings eased back by 1.9% in seasonally adjusted terms, while the number of loans for the purchase of new dwellings fell by 15.4%. Compared with a year earlier, loans for dwelling construction were down by 2.8% and there was a 2.6% decline in the number of new dwelling purchase loans over the same period. However, HIA senior economist Shane Garrett said that it is important to remember that new home lending volumes are still high by historic standards. ‘The decline in new home loans during January and February is consistent with our view that new home building will moderate during 2016 from last year’s record highs even though the number of new home starts this year is still likely to be one of the highest on record,’ Garrett explained. ‘While the markets that have risen on the recent wave of construction are likely to continue to perform in the near term, there is a risk that markets which didn’t fully participate in the boom may find this more painful,’ he pointed out. ‘It is vital that state governments are prepared to step in and offer support to our industry as required over the next few years,’ he added. Compared with a year earlier, the number of loans to owner occupiers building and buying new homes in the three months to February 2016, increased most strongly in the Northern Territory with growth of 37.4%, followed by growth of 20.2% in New South Wales and 9.3% in Victoria, New home lending volumes also rose in South Australia by 4.7%, in Queensland by 3% and in the Australian Capital Territory by 2.5% but over the same period, lending volumes fell in Tasmania by 33.1% and in Western Australia by 20.4%. Continue reading
Buy to let borrowing surges in UK, probably due to stamp duty change
Home owners in the UK borrowed £8.7 billion for house purchases in February, up 4% month on month and 21% year on year, according to the data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. They took out 48,000 loans a rise of 4% compared with January and up 12% on February 2015, the data also shows. First time buyers borrowed £3.4 billion, up 3% on January and 21% on February last year, a total of 22,000 loans, some 3% more month on month and 11% more than a year ago. Home movers borrowed £5.3 billion, up 4% on January and up 20% compared to a year ago. This totalled 26,000 loans, up 4% month on month and up 14% on February 2015. Remortgage activity totalled £4.8 billion, down 17% on January but up 37% compared to a year ago. This came to 28,400 loans, down 15% month on month but up 24% compared to a year ago. Landlords borrowed £3.7 billion in February, unchanged month on month but up 61% year on year. This came to 23,700 loans in total, up 1% compared to January and up 47% compared to February 2015. Paul Smee, director general of the CML, pointed out that there has been substantial increases in house purchase and remortgage activity year on year already in 2016 but warned that this reflects the sluggish market in early 2015, perhaps driven by election uncertainties. ‘Buy to let has also seen substantial year on year increases, with particularly strong growth in remortgaging, a pattern which we have seen in the buy to let sector the past six months,’ he said. ‘Activity has been boosted by landlords seeking to complete purchases before tax changes in April. We do not expect activity to show such strong year on year growth later in the year,’ he added. According to Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partners, it is significant that three in five buy to let loans are now for remortgage, with the number and value of these loans rising significantly year on year. ‘Landlords are clearly taking advantage of the low rates available on the market, especially as they will soon lose the ability to claim their mortgage interest payments as an allowable business expense,’ he said. He suggested that the 7% monthly increase in the number of buy to let purchase loans is perhaps an early indication of some landlords pushing to complete ahead of the changes to Stamp Duty implemented this month. ‘We expect to see an even greater rush of activity reported for March as landlords seek to complete on purchases,’ he explained. He pointed out that buy to let activity could plummet in the future as the cost of running a buy to let business continues to grow due to recent Government legislation. ‘The introduction of Section 24 of the Finance (No. 2) Act 2015 is a real threat as many landlords in the sector could find themselves… Continue reading
Spanish home sales continue their upward trend with prices also showing signs of recovery
Home sales in Spain have recorded their highest figure for three years having increased by 15.8% in February compared to the same month in 2015. The data from the National Statistics Institute is further evidence that the housing market recovery remains underway after a stutter in January saw transactions fall 2.9% after 16 months in a row of growth. It would appear that the recovery is being led by existing homes rather than new builds. Sales of existing homes increased 21.4% year on year while sales of new homes fell by 0.2%. The data also shows that in the first two months of 2016, home sales increased by 6% compared to the same period in 2015 and again this growth was led by existing homes which saw a rise of 13.7% compared to new home sales falling 15.5% in this period. Andalucía saw the largest number of sales followed by Catalonia, Madrid and Valencia. The lowest number of sales were recorded in La Rioja, Navarre and Cantabria. In relative terms, all of Spain’s regions registered increases in home sales, except for La Rioja and Castilla y León with falls of 8.6% and 3.9%, respectively. The regions where housing transactions increased most were the Basque Country with growth of 50.3%, Asturias up 40% and Cantabria up 38.9%. Meanwhile, data from the latest house price index from property portal Fotocasa shows that the price of existing homes increased by 0.5% in the first quarter of the year to an average of €1,627 per square meter. This seems to confirm that the housing market recovery is now being seen in terms of price growth as it is the first quarterly rise for the first quarter of any year since 2007 when prices increased by 1.6%. On top of this a trend is emerging as the Fotocasa index also recorded quarterly price increases in the second and third quarters of 2015 of 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively. The data also shows a year on year price rise of 0.6% for existing homes in March, the highest annual increase since October 2007, when prices rose by 1.2%. Again, a trend is emerging. Year on year prices increases were recorded in 2015 in July, October and November at 0.1%, 0.1% and 0.3% respectively. Since the peak of the Spanish property market in April 2007 when prices averaged €2,952 per square meter, they have fallen by 44.9% so there is some way to go before values catch up but the initial signs of improvement are there. Quarter on quarter the picture is also positive with eight regions seeing increased prices compared to the last quarter of 2015. This was led by the Canary Islands with growth of 6.3%, the Balearic Islands up 2.2%, Valencia up 1.4%, Andalucía up 1.2%, Madrid up 1%, Catalonia up 0.9%, Navarre up 0.2% and Cantabria up 0.1%. The most expensive house prices are in the Basque Country at €2,736 per square meter, followed by Madrid at €2,225 and Catalonia… Continue reading
