Investment
US pending home sales up for 19 months in a row
Pending home sales in the United States increased slightly in March for the second consecutive month and reached their highest level in almost a year, according to the latest index. The Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, increased by 1.4% in March and is now 1.4% above March 2015. It means that after the slight gain, the index has increased year on year for 19 consecutive months and is at its highest reading since May 2015 and Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it signals a solid beginning to the spring buying season. ‘Despite supply deficiencies in plenty of areas, contract activity was fairly strong in a majority of markets in March. This spring’s surprisingly low mortgage rates are easing some of the affordability pressures potential buyers are experiencing and are taking away some of the sting from home prices that are still rising too fast and above wage growth,’ he explained. He also pointed out that in the short term, the healthy labour market and favourable borrowing costs should lead to sustained buyer demand and a durable pace of sales. However, Yun he believes that the consequences from a failure to construct more single family homes in recent years are starting to impact some top job producing markets, where endless supply shortages continue to limit choices for buyers and are driving up prices beyond what a growing share of households can comfortably afford. ‘Demand is starting to weaken in some areas, particularly in the West, where the median home price has risen an astonishing 38% in the past three years. As a result, pending sales in the region have now declined in four of the last five months and are lower than one year ago for the third month in a row. Closed sales in the region in March were also below last year’s pace,’ Yun said. A breakdown of the figures show that the index in the Northeast increased 3.2% and is now 18.4% above a year ago while in the Midwest the index inched up 0.2% but is now 4% above March 2015. Pending home sales in the South rose 3% but are still 0.6% lower than last March and the index in the West declined 1.8% in March and is now 7.9% below a year ago. Continue reading
Rents in UK edging upward in first quarter of 2016
Rents in the UK, excluding London, increased by 0.8% in the first quarter of 2016 and are 3.9% higher than the first quarter of 2015, the latest index data shows. In Greater London they increased by 1.3% quarter on quarter and are 1.6% higher than a year ago, according to the figures from Rightmove. This takes the average rent in Greater London to £2,021 and in the rest of the UK to £761. The figures also show that rents have seen growth in 2016 compared to a quarterly decline of 1% in London and 0.8% elsewhere in the fourth quarter of 2015. After Greater London the North West was the strongest performing region in the first three months of the year with a rise of 1.1% with the South East and the East of England both falling by 0.1%, though the East of England’s annual increase of 5.9% still sees it outstrip all other regions. The top five growth areas outside of Greater London year on year were Harpenden, Luton, Rushden, Corby and Salford with rents up 14.3%, 12.8%, 12.7% 12.6% and 11.7% respectively, taking averages to £1,217, £828, £619, £585 and £797. The Rightmove data also shows that interest in buy to let properties fell in March, with new purchases from buy to let investors down 27% compared to the same month last year. This reversed the upward trend between December and February which saw a 24% year on year increase in buy to let enquiries. This was probably due to the looming April change in stamp duty which saw a new 3% rate levied on buy to let properties and second homes. ‘This waning of interest definitely seems to predict a slowdown in the buy to let market, but what’s not yet clear is if this will only turn out to be a short term pause. It could be that some investors are waiting until the tax changes have some time to bed in before they review their business and continue to make purchases,’ said Sam Mitchell, Rightmove’s head of lettings . ‘If this removes some of the competition for smaller properties then it could spell good news for many first time buyers with a deposit ready as they may find now is the ideal time to make a move,’ he added. The report suggests that buy to let investors not deterred by the tax changes and looking for the best yields could consider buying in areas in the north such as Durham and Merseyside. The top four locations for best yields are all in these counties, with Peterlee in Durham highest at 9.1%, followed by Bootle in Merseyside at 8.6%. In third place is the neighbouring town of Birkenhead offering a yield of 7.8% and fourth is Stanley in Durham at 7.7%. ‘These areas where you can buy a two bed property for around £60,000 to £70,000 seem to offer a sound investment as long as the demand is there from… Continue reading
Property prices in Ireland still rising but growth has slowed compared to a year ago
Residential property prices in Ireland increased by 7.4% in the 12 months to March 2016, down slightly from the 8% recorded in February. The latest data from the Central Statistics Office also show that while house prices are still rising the growth has slowed. In March 2015 the annual rise was 16.8%. Month on month property prices increased by 0.3% compared with no change recorded in February and an increase of 0.9% recorded in March of last year. In Dublin residential property prices increased by 0.9% in March and were 3.9% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices increased by 1.2% in the month and were 4.1% higher compared to a year earlier. Dublin apartment prices were 1.6% higher when compared with the same month of 2015. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland decreased by 0.2% in March compared with an increase of 0.7% in March of last year. Prices were 10.5% higher than in March 2015. It means that house prices in Dublin are now 34.3% lower than at their highest level in early 2007. Apartments in Dublin are 41.2% lower than they were in February 2007. Residential property prices in Dublin are 36.3% lower than at their highest level in February 2007. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland is 35.4% lower than their highest level in September 2007. Overall, the national index is 33.6% lower than its highest level in 2007. Continue reading
