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Tracker report confirms UK property sales soared in first quarter of 2016
Property sales in the UK were 10% higher in the first quarter of 2016, boosted by a rush in demand for buy to let and second homes due to a stamp duty surcharge, new figures show. Some 275,002 transactions were registered between January and March, up 10% from the previous first quarter record from 2014, when 251,042 transactions were logged, according to the latest Conveyancing Market Tracker report from Search Acumen. The report points out that the 2014 rush was due to a surge of activity ahead of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) rule changes in April 2014, as consumers moved to secure mortgage finance and complete deals before affordability checks were tightened. The latest tracker, which uses Land Registry data, also shows that sales volumes in the first three months of 2016 were also up 15% year on year, as conveyancers pushed second home buyers and landlords to completion before the introduction of the new 3% stamp duty surcharge which was introduced on 01 April 2016. The report points out that the potential for a time lag due to extended timelines for Land Registry applications being completed means the higher volume of conveyancing transactions may also continue into the second quarter of 2016. Year on year, those firms ranked 11 to 20 in terms of transactions completed experienced the biggest growth from the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, with their transaction volumes rising 24% from 801 to 994 on average. Firms ranked from 21 to 50 experienced the second best year on year growth rate, with average sales in the first quarter up from 551 to 665, a rise of 21%. Overall, the top 1,000 firms in the market experienced 16% annual growth, compared with 11% outside the top 1,000. It means that the aggregate market share for the top five firms has now been 6% or less for each of the last five quarters since the fourth quarter of 2014 as competition has heated up further down the ranks. ‘Conveyancers’ services have been in high demand so far this year as buyers of second homes and buy to let properties have created a stampede to beat the April 2016 stamp duty deadline,’ said Mark Riddick, chairman of Search Acumen. He pointed out that the artificial stimulus of government intervention has put major pressure on workloads, more than the firm has seen in the opening exchanges of any year since the recession and topping the pre-MMR rush of 2014. ‘Our analysis points to another interesting trend in the market, where challenger firms have enjoyed the biggest benefits of the year on year rise in transactions. As conveyancers pause for breath after the stamp duty frenzy, there may be some who are left licking their wounds or feeling their business performance could have been better,’ explained Riddick. ‘Periods like this, when services come under pressure from extra demand, can be testing all round, and it’s important for conveyancers to ensure their… Continue reading
Commercial property lending market in UK seeing renewed confidence
Confidence has returned to the commercial property lending market in the UK as new loan originations hit a post crisis high, new figures shows. Indeed, the value of outstanding loan books saw its first increase since 2008, according to the most comprehensive study of the UK’s commercial property lending market from De Montfort. The total amount of outstanding debt at the year end in 2015 was £168.4 billion, representing a 1.9% increase from £165.2 billion at the year-end in 2014, and the first increase recorded since 2008. Overall some £53.7 billion of loan originations were recorded during the whole of 2015, compared to £45.2 billion in 2014 and while new lending volumes rose, the proportionate increase moderated to 18.8% in 2014/2015, compared to a post-crisis record of 51.2% in 2013/2014. The report says that further evidence that the market has recovered can be seen in the decline of almost 50% in the value of distressed loans, that is those in default and in breach of financial covenant. At the year-end in 2015, the value of distressed loans reported to the research was £12.1 billion, compared to £23.2 billion a year earlier and £47.6 billion at the end of 2009. Loan to value (LTV) ratios on existing loans continue to fall, reflecting the rise in commercial property values and banks continuing to lend on similar terms to recent years. At the year-end in 2015, some 87.5% or £123.5 billion of outstanding debt had a LTV ratio of 70% or less, compared to 77% or £107 billion at the year-end in 2014 and 63% or £99 billion at year end in 2013. Outstanding debt with a LTV between 71% and 100% represented 7.5% or £10.6 billion of the market, and just 5% or 6.9 billion had a LTV greater than 101%. Notably, average lending LTVs fell during the course of 2015 for all sub-sectors, suggesting good lender discipline despite the strength of the market. Although they still dominate the market, UK banks and building societies saw their market share continue to decline. They represented 34% of new loan originations at year end in 2015, the lowest level ever recorded by the research, compared to 39% the previous year. The proportion of outstanding debt held on their books also fell, from 49% of the total at year end in 2014 to 45.5% in 2015. For the first time, insurance companies were the second largest category of new loan originators, representing 16% or £8.57 billion of the total in 2015. The exposures of insurance companies now account for 15.1% or £25.4 billion of the market, compared to 12.7% or £21 billion in 2014. Regional distribution of outstanding loans showed a strong bias in favour of central London; 43% of the total outstanding debt is secured against real estate in the capital city, the highest result ever recorded by the research, and a dramatic increase from the 26% recorded in 2010. This indicates… Continue reading
Residential rents falling across much of Scotland, latest index shows
Scottish rents increased just 0.6% year on year and were down 0.4% month on month in April, marking the smallest annual rise seen since the start of 2013, the latest index shows. Across Scotland the average rent now stands at £542, but Edinburgh and the Lothians shun the wider slowdown with a record 10.5% jump in rents since last year. The data from the Your Move index also shows that tenant arrears are escalating as the level of late rent climbed for the second consecutive month, up to 11.6%. The annual rise represents a significant downturn in rates of year on year growth from 1.1% recorded in March, and 2.1% in February and average rents are at their lowest since April 2015. Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland, pointed out that overall rents haven’t risen at such a leisurely place for three years but the market is seeing many price fluctuations and also isn’t uniform across the country. ‘The lettings market is always at the mercy of local supply and demand, and in Edinburgh and the surrounding areas we’re seeing extraordinarily fast rent rises, as tenant competition shines brightest around the glow of the jobs market. Supply and demand need to strike a lasting equilibrium to prevent rent growth taking off and leaving tenants by the wayside and that’s a tall order in today’s regulatory environment,’ he explained. He also pointed out that landlords are up against a considerable number of hurdles, including a higher rate of stamp duty on property purchases, reductions in tax relief, and the Private Tenancies Bill. ‘While levied at landlords, these measures could soon hurt thousands of tenants too if buy to let investment retreats as a result and there are less houses and flats to rent,’ he added. On a monthly basis, rents were cheaper in all but one region of Scotland in April. The Highlands and Islands had the fastest drop in average rents in April, falling 1.7% on March, reducing typical rents in the region to £537 per month, the lowest level seen since December 2014. Rents in Glasgow and Clyde fell on a monthly basis for the fourth consecutive month, down by 1% in April to £538 while in the East of Scotland rents were 0.6% lower in April than in March, while the South experienced the smallest month on month reduction, down by 0.1%. Edinburgh and the Lothians is the only region to experience an increase in rents since March, up a solid 0.8% month on month following on from rises of 0.2% in March and 0.3% in February. In the longer term, rents also fell across the majority of Scotland year on year in April. Of the three regions to see rents decrease on an annual basis, Glasgow and the Clyde had the steepest drop with average rents 3.9% lower than in April 2015. Rents… Continue reading
