Uk
Fringe of prime emerging property markets in London expected to lead growth
Prime property prices in emerging locations in London showed a small rise of 1.3% in the second quarter of 2015 and are down slightly by 0.84% compared to the same period in 2014, new data shows. Demand in South West London continued to be driven by sales, mainly flats, below the £937,500 threshold, following changes to stamp duty at the end of 2014, according to the latest quarterly report from real estate firm Douglas and Gordon. In contrast, larger houses priced above £1.3 million in emerging prime were muted, compounded by the stamp duty issues and mortgage market concerns. In some areas, such as Battersea and Battersea Park, some prices were down 10% year on year. Clapham and Southfields led price increases in the sector, up 3.5% and 3.9% respectively. A weaker second half in 2014 means that for these areas prices have caught up to where they were 12 months ago. Rental growth was also strong, up 1.7% in the quarter, continuing the areas robust performance during a difficult year in the sales market. However, this growth is expected to slow once the sales market picks up. Overall total returns, capital and rental growth, remain attractive for professional investors in emerging prime and capital values are expected to climb 10% in the next 12 months. ‘Whereas there is some evidence of a post-election bounce, unsurprisingly many are taking their time to make decisions and a continuation of the anticipated bounce needs to be tempered with a dose of realism,’ said Ed Mead, the firm’s executive director. He expects the market for more expensive family homes to remain firm in the next 12 months due to the prospect of a mansion tax that affecting the market before the election now no longer there. But he pointed out that volumes are still very thin and the firm’s emerging prime index is only back to where it was 12 months ago. His prediction is for fringe areas to perform best as buyers search for new up and coming areas to buy in. Continue reading
US housing negative equity rates falling, latest data shows
The housing market negative equity rate in the United States is falling but more than half of underwater home owners are nowhere near resurfacing, the latest research shows. More than 4 million US home owners owed the bank at least 20% more than their properties were worth in the first quarter of 2015, according to the report from real estate firm Zillow. That means those homes would have to appreciate at least 20% for their owners to have any chance of breaking even on a sale. While home values are forecast to continue rising, they are expected to do so at a slower pace than recent years. Overall the national negative equity rate dropped to 15.4% in the first quarter, down from 18.8% in the first quarter of 2015. The data also shows that the rate of negative equity improved in all of the 35 largest housing markets in the first quarter of 2015, a sign that, metro by metro and home by home, the country is continuing to recover from the lax lending rules and subsequent housing market bust of the last decade. At the peak of the real estate crisis, more than 15 million home owners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth, putting them in negative equity. Foreclosures, short sales and rapidly rising home values freed nearly half of those home owners, leaving 7.9 million home owners upside down at the end of the first quarter of 2015. Home owners who remain underwater will likely be the toughest to free from negative equity, the report points out. It also explains that while spring and summer are the busiest buying and selling seasons and this year there is high demand for homes in the bottom third of the market, a disproportionate number of those home owners are simply stuck in their homes and can't afford to sell to buyers looking for homes in their price range. The rate of underwater home owners was much higher among the homes with the least value. More than 25% of those who own the least valuable third of homes were upside down, compared to about 8% of the most valuable third of homes. The imbalance was even more pronounced in some markets. In Atlanta, for example, 46% of low end home owners were underwater, compared with 10% of high end home owners. And in Baltimore 32% of low end home owners were in negative equity compared to 9% of those who own the highest value homes. ‘It's great news that the level of negative equity is falling, but what really worries me is the depth of negative equity. Millions of Americans are so far underwater, it's likely they may not re-gain equity for up to a decade or more at these rates,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘And because negative equity is concentrated so heavily at the lower end, it throws a real wrench in the traditional housing market conveyor belt. Potential… Continue reading
Home valuation rush expected for inheritance tax change in England and Wales
There is set to be a rush of home valuations in England and Wales after the Chancellor George Osborne signalled that properties worth up to £1 million will be scrapped from inheritance tax. Currently the tax is levied on homes from £650,000 but in the government’s mini Budget later this week he will raise the threshold. It means that owners of homes worth up to £1 million can pass them on to their children tax free. An analysis of Land Registry data suggests that owners in Gloucestershire, Yorkshire, Somerset, Dorset and Cheshire may be leading the charge to get their homes re-valued. It could also leave looming insurance problems for up to a third of families living in high value or listed homes which are more expensive to repair or rebuild, according to the study by NFU Mutual, a leading rural insurer and financial advice firm. ‘If you don’t know how much your home is worth, then there’s a real danger that you and your family could lose out. Around three in every 10 homes are undervalued by their owners, leaving families at risk of underinsurance and an unexpected tax bill,’ said Nicki Whittaker, high value home specialist at NFU Mutual. Around 80% of million pound homes sold in England and Wales in the last 15 years are in London and the South East but there are concentrations of expensive homes across the rest of the country, including Gloucestershire, Cheshire and Dorset. ‘We expect there will be a rush to re-value these properties as parents and grandparents look to hand down as much as they can to their families. But many of these bespoke and listed properties need more thorough assessment to establish their true worth,’ explained Whittaker. ‘Figures from our valuation partners show many expensive country homes are dramatically undervalued because owners are often unaware that the cost of rebuilding listed and unique properties is so much greater,’ he pointed out. ‘It’s clear from these results that thousands more people need to take action if they want to make sure their biggest financial asset remains in the family. A valuation and some simple tax planning would help to make sure people are fully protecting what is rightfully theirs,’ he added. The Conservative Party outlined plans for a new transferrable main residence allowance in its election manifesto earlier this year. The move, to be announced by Osborne in his Budget speech on Wednesday 08 July 8, would increase the effective inheritance tax threshold for married couples and civil partners to £1 million. Continue reading
