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Property prices up 9.6% year on year in Canada, sales up 11%
Average residential property prices in Canada were 9.6% higher year on year in June while sales activity is up 11% compared to a year ago, the latest index data shows. On a monthly basis national homes sales edged back, however, down 0.8% from May to June, according to the index from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). But sales levels in May and June marked the strongest monthly readings in more than five years and June sales were up from the previous month in about half of all local markets, led by increases in Hamilton-Burlington and in the Durham Region of the Greater Toronto Area. And average prices are being pulled up by growth in Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto. Without these two locations then year on year growth is just 3.1%. Also, the monthly increase in sales there was offset by monthly sales declines in Ottawa and Montreal. The actual, not seasonally adjusted, national average price for homes sold in June 2015 was $453,560 but excluding Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto it was a more modest $346,904. Low interest rates are helping boost consumer confidence and home sales activity this summer, according to CREA president Pauline Aunger. But she added that low interest rates are benefiting sales in some areas more than others. All real estate is local, with trends affected by a combination of local and national factors. Gregory Klump, CREA's chief economist, explained that records sales prices in Greater Toronto would be even higher were it not for an ongoing shortage of listings for single family homes in the area. ‘The combination of strong demand and a shortage of listings is continuing to fuel single family home price increases,’ he added. The number of newly listed homes for sale was little changed, down a marginal 0.2% in June compared to May, marking the third consecutive month in which they remained stable. There was roughly an even split between the number of local markets showing an increase in new listings and those showing a decline. The national sales to new listings ratio was 57.2% in June. Although little changed from its reading the previous month, it is up from the low of 50.4% in January when it reached its most balanced point since March 2013. The ratio has risen steadily along with sales over the first half of the year while new supply has remained stable. A sales to new listings ratio between 40 and 60 per cent is generally consistent with balanced housing market conditions, with readings above and below this range indicating sellers' and buyers' markets respectively. Continue reading
House price growth confidence hit new high in UK after general election
Confidence in the outlook for house price growth in the UK hit its highest level in four years following the general election in May, but dropped back last month. The dip in confidence in June comes despite continued rise in real wage growth, together with record low numbers of homes available for sale pushing average house prices over £200,000 for the first time ever, according to the Housing Market Confidence Tracker report from the Halifax. House Price Optimism (HPO) hit +68 in May 2015, and although it slipped back slightly in June to +64 it remains substantially higher than at the beginning of the year when it was +52 in the January survey. Nevertheless, while the May high was short lived, the percentage of Britons predicting an increase in the average property price of more than 5% over the next 12 months has still risen from 34% to 38% in the last quarter, comparing the March and June 2015 measures, respectively. This increased optimism also corresponds with a fall in the net figure for buying sentiment from +35 in February 2015 to +25 in June 2015. Some 56% said in June they think it will be a good time to buy property over the next 12 months, compared to 61% who said this in February 2015. At the same time there’s been an increase in the net figure for selling sentiment from +27 in February 2015 to +32 in June 2015. With the Governor of the Bank of England saying improving economic figures means an interest rate rise has moved closer, 48% expect mortgage interest rates to be higher in 12 months’ time compared to 45% in the first quarter of the year. Londoners are less likely than those in any other region to say it is a good time to buy at 38% compared with 56% of Britons overall, making it the only region where the proportion who think the next 12 months will be a bad time to buy exceeds the proportion who think it will be a good time. Those in the South East are more confident than in any other region that house prices will be higher in 12 months’ time at 90% compared to 69% of Britons overall, with those in the North East and the West Midlands the least likely to say this, both at 59%. ‘Economic growth, together with increasing real earnings growth and historic low mortgage rates are all supporting the continued rise in house price optimism. It’s not been a smooth increase though as while there was a noticeable spike in optimism straight after the General Election result, this has now fallen off slightly,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘A key factor in maintaining optimism over house price growth has been the fact that the stock of homes available for sale is currently at record low levels. If this growth is to be sustainable then we need to… Continue reading
Demand could push up prices in popular parts of Spain
Enquiries from international buyers for property in Spain have reached record breaking levels at a time when prices are still falling but demand could push up values in popular areas. Spanish property portal Kyero, which lists more than 200,000 homes from 3,000 estate agents, said it has had its busiest ever quarter and properties prices from €50,000 to €100,000 are proving most popular. The firm’s latest quarterly report shows that 28% of all enquiries were for properties at €100,000 or less and they are also proving popular with domestic buyers. The report also suggests that prices could start rising because of the demand. Valuations company Tinsa has released data which shows that a total of 35 popular locations have seen price rises between the first quarter of 2014 and the same period in 2015. The previous year saw just four of those areas register price increases. The upward movement indicates that those seeking properties in the €50,000 to €100,000 range might soon have to up their budget in order to get what they are looking for. The Kyero research confirms that Spain's coastal areas are some of its most popular with second home buyers looking for a holiday home with easy access to beaches. Alicante, home of the Costa Blanca, is the most popular province, according to the Kyero report with 31% of all enquiries focusing on that region. Malaga was the second most popular area, accounting for 15% of total enquiries. ‘Spain's beaches offer some fantastic, family friendly holidays and many of those buying here want to own a property within a short walk or drive of at least one beach. Apartments are by far the most popular choice, accounting for 39% of all enquiries during the last quarter, 10% ahead of villa enquiries,’ said Kyero founder Martin Dell. ‘Many families like the idea of owning an apartment that comes with a shared swimming pool that the condominium company maintains. It's less hassle and expense than owning a villa with its own pool,’ he added. The Kyero report also reveals that it is three bedroom properties that command the most interest, with 32% of all enquirers looking for properties of that size. Two bedroom properties came a close second, with 30% of total enquiries. Meanwhile, the Tinsa data shows that overall the average price of new and used homes declined by 1.1% in the first half of 2015 compared to the same period of 2014 but the Mediterranean Coast and Islands standing have performed better. Prices in the Balearic and Canary Islands increased by 4.4% in the first six months of the year, while prices on the Mediterranean Coast increased by 1.8% in the same period. The biggest falls in prices have been seen in cities with declines of up to 3.7%. Since the peak of the market in 2007 average property prices have fallen by 41.8%. The Mediterranean Coast is the area where values have been adjusted most, with an… Continue reading
