Uk
Country house market in UK above £2 million seeing recovery
The UK’s country house market has seen a marked recovery in the £2 million plus sector in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the previous two quarters, according to the latest research. The analysis report from Strutt & Parker also shows that sales levels are now not far off where they were in the fourth quarter of 2014, suggesting that the market uncertainty from the general election has perhaps filtered out. Strutt & Parker’s UK outlook for the remainder of 2015 looks positive and it predicts that there will be sufficient growth in the final quarter of the year to hit the forecast of 5.0% for 2015. Growth over the next few years is also forecast as positive with 5% per annum anticipated. There are, however, uncertainties for the UK market and the upcoming European Union referendum and potential interest rate rises adds further pressures. Despite this, sensibly priced and good quality properties, both regionally and in prime central London, will continue to do well, the firm believes. ‘There remains some uncertainty over the near term outlook for the national housing market. The gradual strengthening in growth within the UK economy is still being met by some caution against risk and interest rates are expected to begin rising early to mid 2016,’ said Stephanie McMahon, head of research at Strutt & Parker. ‘Once rates do begin to rise they may have a dampening effect on the national housing market, most specifically in the mainstream markets where the majority of purchases are dependent upon mortgages,’ she explained. ‘However, two factors should cushion this impact. First, interest rate rises are likely to be gradual, estimated to reach circa 2% to 2.5% over the next five years. Secondly, the majority, 75% to 80%, f recent mortgages have been at fixed rates. Both of these factors should mean that any adjustments in purchasers’ behaviour should also be gradual,’ she added. Her colleague, James Mackenzie, head of the country house department at Strutt & Parker, also agrees that the prime country house market is showing signs of improvement with a lack of high value property on the market and growth in demand over the quarter. ‘However, buyers are incredibly price sensitive as the cost of stamp duty is still a major hurdle. We are hopeful for a normalised autumn and winter,’ he added. Guy Robinson, head of regional residential agency at Strutt & Parker, pointed out that activity in the summer and early autumn months has shown encouraging signs of an improving market. ‘Last quarter, there was strong demand from buyers which has translated into agreed sales. The number of new instructions has remained static, consistent with the previous period,’ he said. Continue reading
House prices in England and Wales see fastest annual growth for six months
The annual rate of house price growth across England and Wales increased to 5.2% in October, the fastest increase for six months, according to the latest property index. Average property prices increased 0.9% or £2,500 last month, equal to £80 a day, to £288,421 and it is the tenth record high recorded this year, the data from the Your Move Reed Rains index shows. The price growth is once again being driven by London, as values in the city increased £24,636 in the last year, the index also shows. Excluding London and the South East of England takes the annual price growth to 3.9%. As far as sales are concerned it was the strongest October since 2007, with the north seeing biggest sales boost due to better levels of supply on the market. But sales of homes worth over £1.5 million were down 35% year on year with this sector still being affected by the Stamp Duty change from almost a year ago. East Anglia saw the strongest year on year rise of any region, with growth of 6.2%, taking the average price for a property in the area to £241,284, Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors pointed out. He also pointed out that in London house prices are recovering from the more subdued growth seen during the second half of 2014. Annually, there has been a 4.4% price increase in the capital, with property values rising by an average of £24,636. However, most of the recent price increases have emanated from the lower rungs of the market with Harrow, Newham and Barking and Dagenham showing the strongest annual growth. ‘These rapid rises are currently outweighing the decline at the top of the market, carrying average values higher. While many commentators are forecasting significant house price growth in London and the UK in the coming years, these need to be viewed in historical context and we’re unlikely to see a return to the unsustainable rises of the past decade,’ said Sexton. ‘Most current predictions are still a slowdown from the past five years of growth, and overall since September 2005 average prices across the country have soared 43.5%, while average property values in London have more than doubled, jumping 104%,’ he added. He also explained that properties worth over £1.5 million have been hit with a stamp duty increase, currently set at 12% of the portion of the property’s value above £1.5 million, up from 5% previously. ‘As a result, sales of homes worth more than £1.5 million have fallen by 35% in the third quarter compared to a year ago. This tax has really put the shackles on the prime market in the capital, as three quarters of these sales since January 2014 took place in London,’ said Sexton. ‘The implications can be seen in the 12.6% annual drop in prices in Kensington and Chelsea, while prices in the City of Westminster have also fallen, 5.5%… Continue reading
Call for UK mortgages to be more user friendly for older people
Building Societies in the UK are being urged to review the maximum age limits for mortgage borrowers to support home owners needing finance into and in retirement as life expectancy rises. This is one of nine recommendations contained in an interim report entitled Lending into Retirement, from the Building Societies Association (BSA) which points out that the UK already has 11.6 million people over the age of 65. By 2034 it is estimated that around a quarter of the population will be 65 plus and lifestyle changes, including divorce, mean that people are tending to buy later and go for longer repayment terms. BSA research shows that around half of 25 to 34 year olds think they will need a mortgage that lasts into retirement and the average age of an unassisted first time buyer has already hit 31. The report also calls for more availability of suitable housing options for older home owners who want to move to a property that meets their changing needs and better cross departmental co-ordination to rationalise Government policy on the treatment of older borrower’s housing wealth. It would also like to see the delivery of regulation that encourages innovation along with the provision of clear information that empowers older consumers and points out that working with insurers would develop policies that enable lenders to mitigate the different risks involved in lending to older borrowers. Other areas for improvement include make holistic financial planning in retirement available, the formation of a cross-industry alliance with other bodies focused on the needs of older consumers and the creation of a mortgage product that adapts to the different stages of a person’s life. ‘We have been working together as a sector to look at this issue and we are making some early recommendations for change. Some put the ball firmly in our court, others can only be delivered in partnership and a few may require regulatory change,’ said Dick Jenkins, chair of the BSA. He explained that the Financial conduct Authority has been involved in preparatory work. ‘We have also sought the views of many others and these will now contribute to the next stage of the project, to deliver progress for those who want, need and deserve to buy a home of their own into and in retirement,’ he added. According to BSA head of mortgage policy, Paul Broadhead, it is natural for the building society sector to kick-start and lead this work. ‘We already tend to have a more flexible approach to lending with higher and sometimes no age limits and a willingness to assess applications considering an individual’s circumstances,’ he said. ‘As the average age of a first time buyer continues to increase, borrowing into retirement is becoming increasingly commonplace, rather than a niche form of lending. This report identifies a number of areas that need further attention if we are going to meet the inevitable growth in demand for borrowing into, and in, retirement,’ he added. ‘The time… Continue reading
