Uk
UK house prices see high growth in East and South East
UK house prices increased by 0.8% in September and were 6.1% year on year, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statists (ONS). House price annual growth was strongest in Northern Ireland at 10.2% followed by England at 6.4% and there was a 1.1% rise in Wales and Scotland. Annual house price increases in England were driven by the East with year on year growth of 8.4% and the South East up 7.4%. But excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 5% in the 12 months to September 2015. The data also shows that in September 2015, prices paid by first time buyers were 4.3% higher on average than in September 2014. For owner occupiers prices increased 6.9% for the same period. Neal Hudson, associate director of Savills research, pointed out that the continued growth in the ONS house price index highlights the impact of increasing competition by mortgage lenders on a low stock housing market. ‘Potential buyers that have a deposit are benefiting from historically low mortgage rates, increasing net lending, and are now able to borrow record high multiples of their income. That is despite the introduction of tougher affordability tests following MMR last year. The average buyer no longer has an average income, and so home ownership remains a dream for the many who still aspire to it,’ he added. The growth is being driven by constricted supply and fewer home owners selling, according to Rishi Passi, chief executive officer of Oblix Capital. ‘Improving economic conditions, rising wages and postponed interest rate rise expectations are all also bringing more buyers to the market, stoking up demand and inflating prices in the lower end of the market,’ he said. ‘The good news is that rising prices in this band will attract further investment and provide opportunities for developers, especially SMEs and should lead to an increase in attention paid to providing houses for this underserved end of the market,’ he added. Alex Gosling, chief executive officer of online estate agents HouseSimple, believes that there is likely to be a slight cooling in price growth in the coming weeks leading up to Christmas. ‘But, while demand continues to significantly outstrip supply, and interest rates remain static, we could well see a price spurt at the beginning of 2016. The market desperately needs a boost in new properties being listed if supply is ever to come close to catching up with demand,’ he added. First time buyers could be being outbid by existing home owners because they are more reliant on mortgages which are constrained by tougher lending criteria, according to Rob Weaver, director of Investments at property crowdfunding platform Property Partner. ‘Despite cheap finance, the tightening of the lending rules has made it increasingly difficult to get a mortgage and hence may be having a negative impact on supply. Longer term, property remains a good, solid investment… Continue reading
UK rents not showing signs of seasonal slowdown, says latest monthly index
UK rents increased by 0.7% month on month in October to £1,294, showing no signs of the seasonal slowdown that normally hits the UK rental market in the autumn, according to the latest index. Rents increased across most of the county with the only exception being Scotland which saw a marginal monthly fall of 0.1% to £696, the data from the Landbay Rental Index shows. The report suggest that the latest rises indicate that the UK’s housing shortage combined with growing pay for many and unemployment levels hitting their lowest level since 2008 have put an end, at least for the time being, to the usual seasonal fall in rents that starts in the autumn. In fact the last time there was a sustained period of falling rents was in the winter of 2012/2013, when rents saw monthly falls from August 2012 to April 2013. Rents increased every month in 2014 and have been strong this year, seeing only small month on month decreases between June and August before increasing again in September and October. Typically an autumn seasonal slowdown in the rental market is caused by lower tenant demand after heightened demand in the summer from students, first jobbers moving for work, and the expiry of annual contracts that originated in previous summer rental rushes. The fact that it did not happen last year and shows no signs of arriving this year demonstrates that the UK private rental sector is seeing a period of consistently high demand and insufficient supply of properties. October’s rent increases were fastest for three bed properties, which are often rented by families moving for work, up 4.7% year on year and one beds that are most popular with first jobbers and young professionals, up 4.4%. Increases in the UK are being driven by London and the southeast. In October London rents increased by 4.1% to an average of £2,063, whilst rents in the southeast rose by 3.4% to £1,033. The impact of London on the national private rental sector is becoming increasingly evident by the surge in rents among commuter hotspots. Southend on Sea, historically not well known for its commuter town status, has seen consistently faster growth in rents than the national average. The seaside town’s one hour direct train into London and recent gentrification have played their parts in an annual rental increase of 9.7%, to an average of £759 per calendar month. Out of the top 20 areas of the UK outside of London to see the fastest rent increases, just Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Bath were outside of the southeast. ‘Seasonality has always been a strong feature of the UK’s rental market so the fact that it appears to be declining in influence is a powerful sign of the increasing strain the private rental sector is under to house the UK population,’ said John Goodall, chief… Continue reading
Asking prices down 1.3% in England and Wales, but seasonal dip lower than usual
Asking prices in England and Wales fell 1.3% month on month but are still up 6.2% year on year, taking the average to £292,572, according to the latest index data. It is the smallest drop in new seller asking prices during the seasonal November slowdown since 2011, according to the Rightmove report and the online portal says that it is indicative of even higher prices next year. Prices fell in all regions with Wales seeing the biggest monthly fall of 3.7%, taking the average asking price to £196,471 and both the South West and the North East saw a fall of 2.3% taking the averages to £279,643 and £142,917 respectively. Yorkshire and Humber saw a monthly fall of 2.2% to an average of £167,343, in the North West there was a fall of 1.9% to £171,709, while the South East and the West Midlands recorded a decline of 1.1% to £384,001 and £196,471 respectively. There was a 1.6% fall in asking prices in Greater London taking the average to £619,866, a fall of 0.6% in the East Midlands to £187,148 and a decline of 0.3% in the East of England to £315,568. The report points out that sellers who come to market in the run-up to Christmas typically set lower asking prices as buyers are harder to attract at this time of year. However, this November’s price dip of 1.3% or £3,977 is much less marked than usual, and is the smallest seen at this time of year since 2011. According to Rightmove director and housing market analyst Miles Shipside this indicates a positive underlying outlook for the year ahead among home owners, with research by Rightmove showing them to be in a confident mood and largely unfazed by the risk of higher interest rates in 2016. Given these findings, and the likelihood that demand will continue to outstrip supply, prices look set to increase again in many locations in 2016. Shipside expects it to be a short lived dip in asking prices. High home owner confidence is demonstrated by Rightmove research, with a sample size of over 23,000, which reveals that the majority, 85%, don’t think their financial situation will worsen in the next year. Despite the possibility of a 2016 rate rise that could increase mortgage repayments for many, 41% of home owners said they thought their household’s financial situation would get better over the next 12 months. Another 44% said things would stay the same, with only 15% forecasting they would get worse. Some 69% were also of the opinion that property would continue to rise in price over the next 12 months, with only 7% expecting prices to be lower. ‘Home owners have had a smooth ride over the past six or so years with a 0.5% base rate, so you would think that more might have concerns about the extra drain on their financial resources when the base rate inevitably goes up. Whether in 2016 or early… Continue reading
