Uk
Prices and sales up in Scotland as market recovers from impact of new land tax
Property in Scotland increased by 1% in October, the biggest monthly climb since April and sales were up 10% year on year, the highest figure for the month for eight years. The latest data from the Your Move index also shows that East Lothian saw biggest boost as new homes developments have pushed prices up 6.3% since September. West Lothian saw the biggest jump in home sales of any area in Scotland, with third quarter sales up 23% on the same period last year. The rise took the average price of home in Scotland to £168,843 and the market over a million pounds is starting to recover with 30 homes in this sector sold between August and October compared to just 14 in the previous three month period. Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, pointed out that average property prices in Scotland increased by £1,600 in October, twice the £761 rise reported in September, as sales of million pound home start again. ‘This growth means that we have seen the largest month on month rise in property values since the introduction of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) in April this year and the fourth biggest monthly jump since the August 2007, at the height of the housing boom,’ she said. She also pointed out that the seaside town of North Berwick has experienced some of the strongest sales activity over the summer, as buyers hunt for somewhere which has an easy commute to Edinburgh. ‘Crucially, the town has seen three homes sold for over a million pounds and completions on premium new homes which has helped fuel this considerable increase in local prices,’ said Campbell. ‘The top of the market now appears to be recovering after being affected by the steeper LBTT. After the introduction of the new levy in April, home sales in this price bracket ground to a halt, but they are now picking up again,’ she explained. ‘The compromise is that higher end sellers are having to reduce the prices of their homes in order to compensate for the increased LBTT tax rate. In Edinburgh, sales of detached homes in the third quarter of 2015 are up 3% year on year, but average prices for these properties have dropped 2% over the same period,’ she added. The index data also shows that so far in 2015 property sales in Scotland for first time buyers and home movers are increasing three times faster than the rest of the UK. ‘The landmark LBTT switch has made it cheaper to buy homes with the first threshold at £145,000. Some 50% of home sales in Scotland are outside the system,’ said Campbell. ‘With the average cost of a flat in Scotland only £134,000, flat sales have jumped 8% in the third quarter of this year, compared to the same quarter in 2014. Low interest rates have also fuelled the rise as we have seen… Continue reading
Rents in UK down by 0.4% in November, latest index shows
Residential rents in the UK fell by 0.4% in November, taking the annual rate of increase from 3.9% to 2.9%, according to the latest index figures to be published. The drop was led by London where rents fell by 0.6% month on month as part of the seasonal slowdown in monthly rent prices, according to the Landbay Rental Index. This took the average monthly rent in the UK to £1,290 and November’s rent increases were fastest for one beds that are most popular with first jobbers and young professionals which were up 4% year on year. The data also shows that three bed properties, which are often rented by families moving for work, saw rents rise by 3.6%. Overall, the index report points out that rents have been on a strong upward trajectory since early 2013 and have climbed 7% since January 2013 when they stood at £1,206, slightly ahead of wage growth which is up 4.8% since January 2013. The rental increase over this period has been led by rent rises for one bed flats, up 8.6% over the same period. The November data also reveals that the South East dominates the areas with the fastest rental growth. York was the only area from outside the South East to feature in the top 10 rental risers. According to John Goodall, chief executive officer of Landbay, London’s rental market is very sensitive to changes in supply and demand. ‘The November dip is likely to reflect softening tenant demand as new hiring slows in the run up to Christmas and fewer people move to the capital for work,’ he said. ‘On an annual basis rental inflation is tracking wage growth quite closely. Scotland was only part of the UK to see rental growth below 2%. The big picture is that we are in the midst of a housing crisis and that wages are rising and both these facts mean that rents are more likely than not to continue to climb next year,’ he explained. ‘With house prices rising at the same time it is little wonder that there is such a strong appetite for investments that are secured against British homes,’ he added. Continue reading
Experts pick out markets that are too hot in the US
San Francisco's housing market has grown so unaffordable that some experts say the market is already in a bubble and it's not the only market in the United States that they are concerned about. A third of the experts surveyed in the latest Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey said the San Francisco housing market is in a bubble and another 20% believe the market is at risk for bubble conditions within the next year. The survey, sponsored quarterly by Zillow and conducted by Pulsenomics, asked more than 100 panelists about their expectations for the housing market. Of those, 66 answered a question about bubble conditions in 20 local housing markets. The survey responses revealed that some housing experts are concerned about over valuation in some of the nation's hottest housing markets and that there is significant disagreement among experts about whether the rapid home value growth in those markets puts consumers at risk. ‘A handful of markets, especially the Bay Area, are very hot right now, and it's possible home values may actually begin to fall somewhat in these places as more residents are priced out amidst rising affordability concerns, especially when interest rates rise,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘Whether those local conditions constitute a 'bubble' is up for debate, even among economists. Without 20/20 hindsight, it's difficult to identify bubbles as they're happening, but it is very clear that nationally we are not seeing a return of the conditions that caused the last national bubble,’ she explained. ‘Tighter lending restrictions today mean we aren't seeing buyers get loans they realistically can't pay back, like we did in years past. It's significant that some experts are starting to worry about bubble conditions, but in my opinion, there's no real danger of a severe crash like the one we all remember from the last decade,’ she added. Some experts said they think bubble conditions are already present in Miami, Los Angeles, Houston, San Diego, and Seattle. A quarter of respondents said they think there is significant risk of a housing bubble in the next three years in Boston. However, the same number of panellists said there is no risk of a bubble in Boston in the next five years. The bubble fears are coming to the surface even as home values overall are expected to gradually level off over the next several years. The ZHPE panel projects an annual growth rate of 3.9% through to the end of 2015, a gradual slowing of the US housing market. Over the next five years, among all 108 panel respondents, the expected average annual home value appreciation rate is now just over 3%. This scenario would result in a national median home value of more than $215,000 by the end of 2020. ‘The long term outlook for US home values has diminished to a three year low, and a clear cut consensus among the experts remains elusive, even at the… Continue reading
