Uk
UK home owner lending down month on month which CML says is usual winter dip
Home owner house purchase lending totalled £10.7 billion in November, down 9% on October but up 18% on November 2014. The latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders also shows that first time buyers borrowed £4.2 billion, down 9% on October but up 14% on November last year. Home movers took out 32,300 loans, down 10% month on month and up 9% compared to November 2014. In total, this was £6.5 billion borrowed, down 10% on October but up 20% year on year. Home-owner remortgage activity was down 9% by volume and 14% by value compared to October. Compared to November 2014, remortgage lending was up 24% by volume and up 36% by value. Gross buy to let lending fell month on month, down 6% by volume and 8% by value, but the substantial growth year on year continued. ‘As expected, mortgage lending activity eased back as the normal dip in the winter months began,’ said Paul Smee, director general of the CML. ‘There was still growth across all lending types in November compared to the year earlier suggesting continued improvement. Our forecasts anticipate that gross lending will continue a slow but steady upward trajectory over the next two years,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures shows that house purchase lending in the UK in November saw a decrease month on month by volume and by value of mortgages advanced, but compared to November 2014 volumes and amount borrowed overall increased. As previously reported, UK gross lending overall in November totalled £20.5 billion, down 6% on October but up year on year by 27% compared to November 2014. This was the highest lending level in the month of November since 2007. First time buyer lending declined by volume and by value compared to October, but saw a year on year increase in loan numbers and amount borrowed. Competitive mortgage rates mean first time buyers continue to pay low levels of their monthly household income to service the capital and interest rate payments of their mortgage at 18.3% in November, joint lowest average percentage level since we began tracking this in 2005 alongside June and September 2015. Home movers borrowed £6.5 billion in November, this was down compared to October but was the highest November level since 2007. Home movers spent 18.2% of their monthly gross household income to pay capital and interest repayments, unchanged on October but a decrease compared to November 2014. Remortgage activity saw a decrease by volume and by value in November compared to October, but increased year on year to have the highest volume of remortgage loans in the month of November since 2011 and the most borrowed in the month of November since 2008. Gross buy to let lending decreased in November compared to October but was substantially up on last year. Buy to let remortgage continues to be the driver of… Continue reading
Fewer Chinese and Russians buyers likely for prime central London market in 2016
There is likely to be fewer Chinese and Russian buyers in the prime central London property market in 2016 but a rise in interest from the Middle East, particularly Iran, is forecast. Overall there is unlikely to be much growth in this market which has been hit by increased property tax charges with more set for second home and buy to let buyers in April. ‘We are cautiously optimistic about 2016, however the market is unsettled and liquidity is down. We don’t expect much growth in the central London market as a whole, except for the very best stock which we believe will keep increasing in value,’ said Rory Penn of property agents VanHan. ‘Prices at the top end of the market may adjust to compensate for increased tax costs. We expect there to be fewer Russian and Chinese buyers in the market than in previous years; the strength of the pound means that London is not currently considered to be such good value for money,’ he explained. ‘It is expected that sanctions against Iran will be lifted next year, and we are already seeing interest from wealthy Iranians looking to buy property in central London but we expect to see a drop in demand for some new build developments, such as Battersea Power Station, as the market is becoming over saturated,’ he added. One area where the firm does expect to see continued demand is Mayfair. ‘There is a lot of development going on and a high level of interest from foreign buyers who are still attracted to the social aspect,’ said Penn. Sales were better than expected for the firm in 2015 with seven residential sales in the £10 million to £50 million with an average transaction size of £16 million which included a £50 million house in central London, one of the largest residential transactions in the area. But it also points out that it remains to be seen what effect property tax will have in the coming months. ‘The slowdown in the prime residential markets last summer had less to do with the election and more to do with the changes in taxes relating to buying and holding residential real estate, although this has had less impact at the very top end of the market,’ said Penn. ‘As the luxury market has become more saturated, discerning buyers are increasingly looking for a boutique, bespoke service. Sellers are increasingly looking to sell properties off-market,’ he added. Continue reading
Average prices in England and Wales up 6.6% year on year
Average house prices in England and Wales increased by 6.6% year on year to an average of £292,077, according to the latest index figures to be published. This means that the average house prices has increased by £17,963 since December 2014 but property values in central London fell by 8.7% on average during 2015, dragged down by higher stamp duty, the index report from Your Move and Reeds Rains shows. The annual price growth figures falls to 4.7% of London and the South East are excluded from the calculation and month on month prices increased by 0.6%. Outside of these top five central Boroughs, London prices increased by 11%, the biggest increase, followed by the East Midlands, driven by a 10.6% annual rise in Nottingham’s house prices. Where sales are concerned it was the strongest December for since 2006, with transactions up 7.1% year on year as buyers compete for fewer homes on the market. Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors, believes that the highest year on year house price growth for 10 months may prompt existing home owners to move up to the next rung of the property ladder in 2016, freeing up homes at the bottom for first time buyers. ‘The rise in property prices has been propelled so far by a sinking supply of houses coming onto the market, compared with increasing enquiries from potential buyers eager to clamber aboard the property ladder,’ he said. ‘If the current speed of house price growth continues into 2016, the value of the average home may soon pass the £300,000 watermark, having reached £250,000 in December 2013. Property price rises have certainly left the recession in their wake, with house prices passing the £200,000 milestone only in October 2005,’ he added. He also pointed out that prices are probably set to rise further during the first quarter of 2016 before the Government’s new house building programmes have a chance to boost the supply of property on the market. The data shows that in Kensington and Chelsea, London’s most expensive borough, prices fell by 14.2% year on year and Sexton explained that the tax changes announced in 2014’s Autumn Statement increasing the rate of stamp duty on homes worth over £1.5 million to 12% has had an effect. ‘While price increases in the central boroughs used to keep England and Wales’ house price growth afloat, since January they have been anchoring down the average price increases in London and the country overall,’ he said. ‘The reality is that there has been an undercurrent of growth in the rest of London, with values outside these top end boroughs rising by 11% year on year. The increase has been strongest in the cheaper boroughs, with Newham seeing 23.8% annual growth. But the overall price rise across the capital has been submerged by the top end, with the annual change in London standing at just 5.6%, below the UK average,’ he added. He also explained that the 8.1%… Continue reading
