Uk
UK home owners confident about prices rises in 2016, latest sentiment index shoes
Households across the UK expect house prices to rise in 2016 believe that the value of their home rose in December, according to the latest research. People in London perceived the strongest rate of price growth over the course of the month, while households in the North West reported the most modest rate of growth, the data from the House Price Sentiment Index from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. The strongest growth expectation was in the East of England but the rate of growth expected over the next year eased in six of the 11 regions in January. The figures shows that 20.9% of the 1,500 households surveyed across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 3.6% said that prices had fallen. This resulted in a HPSI reading of 58.7. This is the thirty fourth consecutive month that the reading has been above 50. Any figure over 50 indicates that prices are rising, and the higher the figure, the stronger the increase. Any figure below 50 indicates that prices are falling. January’s reading was a slight decrease from the 59.4 recorded in December, but returns the index to the same level as seen in November. It is just slightly higher the average reading of 58.5 recorded throughout 2015, but remains below the peak of 63.2 in May 2014, reflecting the easing in average UK house price growth seen since then. Households in all of the 11 regions covered by the index reported that prices rose in January, led by households in London at 68.1 and the South East at 64.3, although in both cases these sentiment index readings were slightly lower than in December. The current sentiment index was lowest for the North West at 51.3 and the East Midlands at 52.3, indicating that households in these regions perceived the most modest rise in prices across the UK in January. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, rose slightly in January to 70.5 from December’s 70.3. This is the highest reading since June 2015, but remains below the peak of 75.1 reached in May 2014. Households in the East of England chalked up a record high reading for future house prices expectations at 81.1, indicating they anticipate the largest increase in the value of their home over the next 12 months. Londoners at 79.1 continue to expect strong growth in prices over the next year, with the highest reading for the region since May 2014. Meanwhile, there was a notable drop in the future reading for the North West, down from 67.5 to 62.3 in January, as well as Scotland, which fell to 61.8, down from 65.8 in December, and an average reading of 65.1 throughout 2015. Mortgage borrowers are the most confident that prices will rise over the next year at 76, followed by those who own their… Continue reading
Rents in England and Wales see fastest annual growth since 2011
The private rental sector in England and Wales has seen its fastest year for rent rises since 2011, with values up 3.4% in 2015, the latest index data shows. The rise took average rents to £794 per month with the East of England seeing rents rise at twice the wider annual pace, up 7.8%, followed by London at 6.3%. The data from the Your Move buy to let index also shows that Yorkshire & Humber and West Midlands both saw new all-time record high rents in December. The significant rent rises over the course of 2015 also come despite a month on month drop in the latest market rents, falling 0.6% between November and December. ‘The fact that the majority of tenants can afford higher rents is certainly good news, and should be seen as a positive indicator as we enter 2016. Yet over the longer term, higher rents also raise a serious challenge for the future affordability of housing in this country,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Reeds Rains and Your Move. A breakdown of the figures shows that in December, six out of 10 regions saw monthly falls in rents, in line with the overall month on month drop across England and Wales. This was led by London with rents down 1.6% lower, down 0.9% in the North West and down 0.6% in the North East. Four regions saw rents rise on a monthly basis in December, led by Wales at 1.8%, followed by the South West up 0.9%, and Yorkshire and Humber and the West Midlands both up 0.3%. This took rents in both Yorkshire and Humber and the West Midlands to all-time record highs at £556 and £593 per month respectively. Year on year rents increased in eight out of 10 regions led by the East of England with a rise of 7.8%, London up 6.3%, and the East Midlands up 4.7%. Rents fell by 1% in Wales and by 2.6% in the South East. The index also shows that the gross yield on a typical rental property in England and Wales, before taking into account factors such as void periods, dropped to 4.9% in November, down from 5% in November 2015. On an annual basis, this is fractionally lower than the 5.1% gross yield seen in December 2014. The report points out that accelerating property purchase prices are responsible for suppressing rental yields, but have also boosted landlords’ total returns. Taking into account both rental income and such capital growth, the average landlord in England and Wales has seen total returns of 11.3% over the course of 2015, up from 10.4% in the 12 months to November 2015 and the highest for a year. In absolute terms this means that the average landlord in England and Wales has seen a return of £21,110 during 2015, before any deductions such as property maintenance and mortgage payments. Of this, the average capital gain contributed £12,438 while rental income made… Continue reading
Prices and sales in Scotland expected to keep rising in first quarter of 2016
House prices and sales in Scotland are likely to keep rising in the first quarter of this year following an unusually buoyant December, according to a new report. The latest monthly survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) in Scotland said rising demand from would be buyers and a slight increase in the number of properties coming onto the market led to a rise in newly agreed sales last month. Throughout 2015, surveyors reported almost continual growth in prices and this went on into December, with a net balance of 29 per cent more respondents reporting a rise in house prices. A net balance of 35% of Scottish respondents forecast a rise in transactions in the January to March period, with 24% of surveyors also expecting average prices to increase in this quarter. ‘The Scottish housing market has experienced an unusually buoyant December, with growth in transactions, demand and a small increase in properties coming onto the market,’ said Sarah Speirs, director of RICS Scotland . ‘Despite this growth in new instructions, the chronic shortage of housing supply in Scotland continues to result in rising house prices and rents across the country. To remedy the shortage, Scottish Government policy is, and for a considerable amount of time has been, aimed at supporting demand and, more crucially, the new build market and home ownership,’ she added. RICS has launched its manifesto Shaping Scotland’s Housing Future which aims to inform political parties of the role property plays in driving Scotland’s economic growth ahead of the parliamentary elections in May. It calls on policy makers to recognise the scale of the housing crisis, and elevate housing to the top of their political priorities as well as increasing the supply of housing and taking action to maintain and renew Scotland’s existing housing stock. The report also recommends ta review of tax and incentives around all properties and the creation of a Housing Land Agency, which would work with local authorities and developers identifying land, primarily in areas of market failure, and installing any necessary infrastructure for sites. ‘Adequate housing supply is vital to economic growth and the much coveted stabilising of house prices and rents. It is estimated that between 25,000 and 35,000 homes need to be built, per year, to meet demand adequately. This target covers all tenures, not just affordable housing,’ the report says. ‘An independent agency would work with local authorities and developers by identifying new development sites and installing any necessary infrastructure for sites, primarily in areas of market failure,’ it adds. RICS envisages that land acquired by the agency, through reformed Compulsory Purchase Order (CPO) powers, could be sold to less established participants, such as small and medium enterprises (SMEs), private rented sector (PRS) investors, self-build and co-ownership and thus widening participation and assisting a vibrant SME sector and the wider economy. It also points out that the PRS market in Scotland has been dominated by small scale investments from individual landlords who… Continue reading
