Uk
Edinburgh property market seeing strong demand and steady price growth
The residential property market in Edinburgh is experiencing high demand, especially at the middle to high end of the market, new reports show. The long term picture is one of steady growth. A comparison of property prices by agents Strutt & Parker shows that in March 2015, the month leading up to the introduction of the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT), and March 2016 reveals a 26% fall in average value. In March 2015 prices averaged £320,466 but in March 2016 this was down to £237,226, much of which has been put down to the distortion caused in the market by LBTT last year. However, the average value in March 2016 is significantly up on the average price in March 2014 which was £209, 624 and March 2013 when it was £200,744, indicating a steady upward trajectory in property prices. ‘The drop in average value simply serves to underline the huge spike in sales before the introduction of LBTT in April last year and it highlights the importance of experience when interpreting housing market trends,’ said Blair Stewart, head of Edinburgh City Residential Sales at Strutt & Parker. ‘It is not surprising that the 2016 average property price is less in comparison. It is more important to look back over the last three years during which time, taking 2015 out of the equation, we can see a steady rise in the city's average property price,’ he pointed out. In March, there were 247 sales in Edinburgh of which 225 were £300,000 to £750,000, 13 in the £750,000 to £1 million range and nine at over £1 million, up from 159 in February and 146 in January but down from 363 in March 2015, again underlining the surge in sales before the introduction of LBTT. ‘The high volumes and associated lower values in Edinburgh are partly reflective of a surge in the purchases of investment properties before the LBTT surcharge was introduced at the start of April. In general, additional and investment properties are lower in value, which is illustrated by both the jump in transactions and drop in average value,’ Stewart explained. ‘Correspondingly, we have noticed an adjustment in the average sale prices of the properties we are selling in Edinburgh change from around £780,000 in 2015 to approximately £600,000 in 2016. However, these figures also show a strong performance in the market in the first months of 2016 and I am confident we will see that continue into the summer,’ he added. He also pointed out that behavioural changes following two tax regime changes in a year are still playing out so a true picture of the market will become clearer over the next six months once there can be an analysis of figures which have not been distorted by either LBTT or the additional 3% surcharge on additional homes introduced this April. Agents CKD Galbraith is also reporting that demand for middle to high end residential property in Edinburgh city… Continue reading
Rents in the UK continue to trend upwards, latest rental index shows
Residential rents increased in all but one region of the UK over three months to April taking the average rent, excluding Greater London, to £764 per month, the latest index data shows. It means that the average rent in the UK outside of Greater London us now 5.1% higher than a year ago while the average rent in London is now £1,543, up 7.7% Scotland and the East Midlands lead the way with fastest rising rents while the North West is the only region to register declines in rent, according to the HomeLet rental index for April. The index report says that fears that higher stamp duty charges on buy to let rental property purchases might destabilise the market have so far proved unfounded. Indeed, HomeLet’s figures show that rents agreed on new tenancies across the UK over the three months to the end of April have continued to grow at remarkably consistent rate. The index also shows that rents on new tenancies signed over the three months to April 2016 were, on average, 5.1% higher than in the same period of last year. That was barely changed from March’s figure of 4.9%, with rent rises having remained in a very narrow band since the beginning of the year. However, in London rents on new tenancies signed over the three months to the end of April were 7.7% higher than a year ago, the third successive month that London has registered this rate of increase. The latest figures show that rents in Scotland are currently rising faster than anywhere else in the UK, with new tenancies costing 11.4% more than in the same period a year ago while the East Midlands saw a rise of 7.9% in rents compared to last year. London’s rental market, where the average rent on a new tenancy is now £1,543, also continues to see rents rise more quickly than in most other areas of the country. The 2.6% gap between rent rises on new tenancies in London and the rest of the UK, where rents average £764, is barely changed on the previous. Just one area of the country, the North West of England, saw lower rents on new tenancies over the three months to March, as was the case in the previous month’s index. However, the speed at which rents are falling in the region continues to slow, to an annual rate of just 1% over the three months to April, compared to 3.5% over the three months to March. Rents agreed on new tenancies in April alone were 1.7% higher than in March. ‘It may be that over the next several months, the trends observed in the rental market begin to reflect the signs of some slowdown in the rate of house price growth that we are now beginning to see and that will be something to watch closely,’ said Martin Totty, chief executive officer of HomeLet… Continue reading
Uncertainty over UK referendum on EU already affecting property markets
The forthcoming UK referendum on the future of the country in the European Union is already affecting property markets with uncertainty creeping into decision making, according to a new analysis. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has looked at what the impact is currently and also assesses what the outcome of a leave and a stay vote might be. It points out that its recent residential market surveys indicate a chronic shortage of housing across the UK. Residential investment transactions in the residential sector have slowed and limited house buying transactions across the house price spectrum. ‘This is not unexpected as there's usually a slowing of residential transactions before any national poll. After an election vote we typically see the residential sector recover and bounce back as stability and confidence returns,’ the report says. ‘Should the UK opt for a Brexit, we could assume that uncertainty could linger while the UK Government negotiates new trade deals and relationships with the EU and third countries,’ it adds. The analysis report explains that the lower to middle priced property market is, in the main, directed by domestic participants so the uncertainty has had less impact on demand and house prices at this end of the market when compared to the higher end. However, a significant number of higher end properties, particularly those in London and the south east, are purchased by EU and non-EU individuals and the report suggests that a Brexit could see less demand for higher end properties from these individuals, thus relieving pressure in demand for higher end residential areas. ‘We can, therefore, suggest house prices could decrease in the immediate to short term,’ the report states. It also suggests that there could be an effect on student accommodation. There was over $6.5 billion of investment in the UK student accommodation sector in the first three quarters of 2015. ‘Changing higher education enrolment rules could deter international students thus affecting demand for student and PRS accommodation,’ it adds. It also points out that the concern is generated by a series of unknowns for decision makers. There is risk generated by the debate in the lead up to the June referendum, uncertainty over the referendum outcome, uncertainty over the process for exit if it comes to that. There would also be uncertainty over the renegotiated package if the UK remain in the EU and uncertainty over the exit negotiation period and potential trade deals. ‘Anecdotally, this uncertainty has already had an impact on decisions in property markets and heightened the perception of risk attached to the UK. Investors are hesitating, occupiers re-planning their footprints, and building pipelines are slowing,’ the report says. It explains that the impact of the referendum has been likened to the uncertainty and risk created in domestic and FDI investments markets by General Elections, and the nearest comparator is the Scottish Independence referendum in September 2014. But RICS believes that the impact of the EU referendum is greater than those,… Continue reading
