Uk
UK asking prices up just 0.4% but first time buyers paying much more
Property asking prices in the UK increased by the modest amount of just 0.4% in May, taking the average price to £308,151, according to the latest index figures. But it is first time buyers who have faced the highest rises, with the data from property portal Rightmove showing that for this segment of the market asking prices increased by 6.2% month on month and 11.4% year on year. In some areas first time buyers have seen prices rise even more with Croydon, Dartford and Luton recording an annual price surge of 18%. Those moving up the housing ladder have fared better with second steppers seeing prices fall 0.8% month on month, but they are still paying some 8.1% more than a year ago. The report points out that it was speculated that the investor activity drop-off after the April additional home stamp duty deadline would act as a brake on prices at the lower end of the market. However, intense investor activity, with March transaction numbers up a massive 80% on last year, exacerbated the property drought in this sector and is now causing upwards price pressure. This resulted in prices for properties with two bedrooms or less, typical first time buyer homes, increasing. ‘If you were expecting a long period of price doldrums at the lower end of the market following the mass exit of the buy to let brigade, this month’s 6.2% price rise will come as a big surprise,’ said Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst. ‘Properties at the lower end of the market were the most common target for the investor community, and the immediate aftermath of the tax deadline saw new seller asking prices drop in this sector for just one month. The 1.4% fall reported in April’s index appears to have been a very short lived knee jerk, with an average price surge of £11,298 this month for properties coming to market with two bedrooms or fewer,’ he explained. ‘It remains to be seen if these prices can be achieved and there may be some over pricing in the market; it is also a reflection of better quality property coming to market in this sector which is now targeting owner-occupiers rather than landlords,’ he added. He pointed out that since November when it was announced that an extra 3% stamp duty would be charged on additional homes and its implementation at the end of March, the price of property coming to market in this first time buyer/investor sector increased by 3%. In just four weeks it has now risen by 6.2%, the highest monthly rise recorded for this sector since February 2012. The report also show that demand for typical entry level property remains high, with searches on Rightmove specifying two bedrooms or fewer being up by 47% in April compared to April 2015 in spite of waning investor interest. In contrast, fresh supply for this sector is down by 1.5% in the last four… Continue reading
UK farmland values down 3% in first quarter of 2016
As uncertainty around the UK referendum on the country’s future in the European Union grows, values for farmland fell by 3% in the first quarter of 2016, dropping back below £8,000 an acre. The drop was the largest quarterly since the 5% decrease that occurred following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Knight Frank. It shows that around 25% fewer acres of farmland had been advertised by the end of March, compared with the same period in 2015. However, despite the uncertainty and value drop, a recent survey by Farmers Weekly shows that 60% of farmers will be voting to leave the EU on 23 June. The report also looks at what has happened to farmland prices since the UK joined what was known as the European Economic Community (EEC) in 1973. Data from the Ministry of Agriculture/DEFRA shows land values increased sharply around the time, even managing to beat the hyper-inflation of the 1970s. Over the long term that trend has continued with land values outpacing inflation. But the sobering trend for farmers is how agricultural commodity prices have failed to keep up. The report also points out that investors’ priorities have changed dramatically over the past year, as they are now looking much further afield and for value-add opportunities such as diversified income streams or development potential And it also shows that prime country house prices rose by 0.3% on average in the first quarter of 2016, taking annual growth to 2.4%, down from 5.2% in 2014 but there was a notable rise in activity in the first quarter of the year with Knight Frank figures showing a 24% rise in sales volumes across the prime country market, compared with the same period in 2015. Activity was focused on the sub-£1 million market, which showed strongest price growth of 4% across the last 12 months. Homes worth £5 million or more saw values fall by 2.7% in the same period. ‘From weighing up the hugely complex issues surrounding the EU referendum, to coping with a slump in agricultural commodity prices and working out what the implications of the latest changes to the planning system could be for them, estates, farms and other rural businesses are having to take some extremely big decisions,’ said Andrew Shirley, head of rural research at Knight Frank. ‘Long term strategic planning can be extremely helpful when it comes to coping with such challenges and there are also exciting opportunities to be grasped and the level of innovation and entrepreneurship in the countryside has never been greater,’ he added. According to James Del Mar, Knight Frank’s head of rural consultancy, the tax environment for the rural landowner in the UK is becoming more challenging, particularly for those who are domiciled elsewhere. ‘At the same time, the pent up demand for new housing and infrastructure, combined with changes to the planning system, presents what some… Continue reading
New analysis suggests Brexit vote is affecting prime central London lettings market
The lettings market in prime central London has weakened rental as tenants capitalise on the current economic uncertainty including the upcoming referendum on the future of the UK in the European Union. The latest analysis report from specialist residential investor advisors London Central Portfolio (LCP) says that the rental market is reflecting a slowdown as a result of economic strains. It shows that whilst new lets have seen consistently positive rental upticks over the last five consecutive quarters, averaging a 5.5% increase overall, the market is beginning to subdue, according to the published statistics. Against a backdrop of falling stock markets, a collapse in oil prices and Brexit uncertainty, new lets have achieved just a 0.3% increase over the last quarter. This has been exacerbated by the predictably quieter Easter and May bank holiday period. The analysis, however, shows that re-lets are showing a significantly weaker picture, with a 1.2% fall in rents over the last quarter, following a fairly static picture over the course of the year. The report says that this is due to applicants being attracted to brand new properties, without any sign of previous use, coupled with a significant uptick in rental stock available. This has increased by 26.7% from 23,039 to 29,198 in the last three months, attributable to a reduction in transactions in the sales market which has led to more properties being available for rent. ‘The overall suppression in rents reflects a market dynamic which was conspicuous during the credit crunch, as tenants capitalise on economic uncertainty to leverage up their bargaining power. This has been compounded by companies cutting their relocation budgets in the face of global instability and, in some cases, delaying relocations in the run up the EU referendum,’ said Naomi Heaton, chief executive officer of London Central Portfolio. ‘In light of the current market conditions, landlords may need to be more flexible to accommodate the higher negotiating power of applicants and to prevent void periods which may erode any increase in rent ultimately achieved. For as long as this cycle lasts, landlords also may need to be more open to remedial and upgrade works between tenancies,’ she explained. ‘A slowdown in the re-let market has been compensated by continued positive renewal increases by tenants in situ. With Landlords often able to achieve contractual rental increases, above that which can be achieved in the open market, average rental growth of 3.3% in the last quarter has been seen in contrast to the softer market elsewhere,’ she added. The report also points out that despite the somewhat gloomy picture generally, corporate belt tightening means that small one and two bedroom properties are reinforcing their position as the hardest working sector of the market. Appetite for these mainstream rental properties remains strong, with void periods down to just 23 days on average. For these properties, the area around Marylebone, Fitzrovia… Continue reading
