Uk
UK property sales fell considerably in April, latest data shows
Residential property sales in the UK fell by 45.2% between March and April and was probably due to a boost in the previous weeks to beat the stamp duty surcharge for additional homes. The provisional seasonally adjusted UK property transaction figures from HMRC for April 2016 was 84,280 residential and 10,090 non-residential sales. April’s seasonally adjusted figure is 14.5% lower compared with the same month last year and the report says that the large increase in sales for March 2016 followed by the substantial reduction in April is likely to be associated with the stamp duty surcharge of 3% for buy to let properties and second homes. However, the report points out that whilst April 2016 is lower than April 2015, it should be noted that the total for March and April 2016 is still substantially higher than the corresponding period last year. The additional property rates were announced in the Autumn Statement 2015 for England, Wales and Northern Ireland, and in the Scottish Government's draft 2016/2017 budget for Scotland. The HMRC report also says that additional non-tax factors may have played a role as well, for example the Bank of England's plans to curb buy to let mortgages resulting in a rush to purchase. For April 2016 the number of non-adjusted residential sales was about 59.2% lower compared with March 2016. The number of non-adjusted residential transactions was 18.7% lower than in April 2015. Greg Bryce, managing director at SearchFlow, said it was inevitable that there would be a significant fall in April and he pointed out that if you take into account the total for March and April, activity levels are still substantially higher than the corresponding period last year. ‘The activity levels are widely recognised to be attributed to the additional surcharge and unreflective of any market malaise. Our latest conveyancing sentiment survey reveals that a third of conveyancers are expecting activity levels to increase by 1% to 10% over the next three months,’ said Bryce. ‘However, as expected, uncertainty surrounding the referendum is setting in, with 40% unsure how the market will perform over the next three months. But with the economy strong, employment level high, interest rates low and the economic and housing policies unlikely to change very much, the clear majority believe that regardless of the referendum result, activity levels will remain buoyant for the second half of the year,’ he added. The fall in sales was in line with industry expectations, according to Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move. ‘With thousands of pounds potentially at stake there was a clear incentive for landlords to complete ahead of the 01 April deadline, and the falling off of transaction volumes confirms the vast majority did so,’ he said. He pointed out that the drop follows data published by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) last week, which highlighted that mortgage lending fell 29% between March and April and he… Continue reading
Rents, sales and prices record moderate falls in Dubai in first quarter of 2016
The Dubai residential real estate market is experiencing moderate declines in rents and sales prices and transaction volumes are also down, according to the latest UAE property review. The analysis report from Asteco suggests that a focus on affordability is becoming more prominent in the emirate’s real estate market. Whilst no significant rent reductions were recorded during the first quarter of the year this may have been due to limited supply and the general trend continued to be towards increased competition amongst landlords. Leasing demand was stable in the first two months of 2016, however, a slowdown was recorded from March onwards, especially for more expensive properties where take-up was slower than usual. On average, rental rates stabilised in the affordable segment, and declined by 2% and 3% for mid and high end apartments, respectively. Asteco says that this minimal decrease was due to a combination of landlords trying to retain tenants rather than insisting on higher renewal rates, a decrease in the number of newcomers to the city, and in some sectors, housing allowance cuts and redundancies. Compared to the previous quarter, sales prices remained stable, with the exception of high end apartments and villas where 2% average declines for both markets were recorded. However, according to the Dubai Land Department (DLD), the first quarter of 2016 was considerably worse than the first quarter of 2015 as the overall residential transactions by total value were down by 25%, transaction numbers by 17% and the average sales price by 11%. Leasing activity at the beginning of the year started well, however, enquiry and transaction levels tapered off in March. The report suggests this was partially due to property owners keen to retain their existing tenants, and therefore willing to negotiate rental rates instead of having a property vacant. As a result, fewer tenants were seeking to move to a new unit. Asteco also noted a tendency for the more expensive units in buildings to remain vacant for longer, as tenants became more conscious of their spending habits. Whilst declines were limited over the quarter, year on year comparisons indicated an average of a 4% decline across the board. The most affected areas were those that had seen previous rapid rental increases for a relatively undifferentiated product. For instance, Jumeirah Lake Towers recorded a 12% decline year on year. ‘Indeed, whilst the community is attractive overall, the quality of most residential towers are below the tenant’s expectations considering the high rental levels. We have noted an increase in demand for affordable units. However, rental rates have not fallen far enough to warrant tenants to relocate from the Northern Emirates to Dubai yet,’ the report points out. ‘This is further compounded by the fact that for a similar priced product in the Northern Emirates would equate to a much smaller unit in Dubai. For instance, AED60,000 would mean a two bedroom unit in Sharjah as opposed to a studio or a small… Continue reading
Demand from buyers in UK falls to two year low
Demand for housing in the UK is at its lowest level in two years with the number of house hunters making enquiries down by a fifth in April, new research shows. Estate agents also reported that the number of sales made to first time buyers fell in April. The April Housing Market report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) shows there were 325 house hunters registered per member branch on average last month. This was the lowest number recorded since March 2014, when there were 313 house buyers recorded at each estate agent branch. This means demand has decreased by 22% from 417 in March. Last month, the supply of houses available for buyers also decreased by 35% from 54 properties available in March to 35 in April. Some 26% of the total sales made in April were to first time buyers, a decrease of 2% compared to March. However, some 33% of estate agents expect sales to this group to increase following the buy to let stamp duty changes as buy to let landlords exit the market, potentially freeing up properties for first time buyers. The monthly research also found that 24% of estate agents expect house prices to decrease and a further 23% expect demand to decrease if Britain votes to leave the European Union in the referendum on 23 June. Indeed, a recent Brexit report from the NAEA and that Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) revealed that by 2018, a Brexit would reduce the average UK house price by £2,300 to £300,900. However, if Britain remains in the EU, the average UK home could cost £303,000 by 2018. ‘It’s no surprise that demand dropped significantly in April. Some 80% of agents saw an increase in purchasers trying to beat the buy to let stamp duty changes before the 01 April deadline, so we expected to see a slow down immediately following the deadline,’ said NEA managing director Mark Hayward. ‘Whilst the number of house hunters registered per branch dropped in April, the supply of available housing to buy also fell quite sharply, so supply and demand are still moving in the opposite direction, rather than balancing out,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the upcoming EU Referendum means we’ve entered a period of uncertainty, as buyers put off their hunt in anticipation of the result, and what might happen to prices as a result,’ he added. Continue reading
