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Capital city property prices up just 0.5% in June with five seeing values fall
There was a 0.5% rise in capital city dwelling values in June with Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart recording another substantial rise but five cities recorded falls. Higher dwelling values across Australia’s two largest capital cities continued to push the CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index to new record highs, with dwelling values across the combined capital cities rising by 0.5% in June to be 8.3% higher over the past 12 months. The June results continued to show a rebound in housing market conditions after CoreLogic reported weaker results for the final quarter of 2015 when the combined capitals’ index was down 1.4%. However, the pace of capital gains in June was substantially lower than the April and May results when CoreLogic reported a 1.7%, and 1.6% month on month lift in capital city dwelling values. ‘The monthly growth rate reduction is likely to be very much welcomed by state and federal government policy makers and regulators who may be concerned about a sustained rebound in capital gains,’ said CoreLogic Asia Pacific research director Tim Lawless. He pointed out that home values in Sydney have been rising for four years, and have increased by a cumulative 59% over this time frame. Melbourne dwelling values have been rising for the same length of time and have moved 41% higher over the growth cycle to date. The combined capitals’ headline result was driven by a strong 1.2% rise in Sydney dwelling values, and a 0.8% gain across Melbourne’s housing market. Hobart values also showed strong conditions with dwelling values moving 1.8% higher over the month. A breakdown of the figure shows that in Sydney prices increases 1.2% month on month, 6.8% quarter on quarter and 11.3% year on year to a median price of $780,000 while in Melbourne they increased by 0.8%, 3.5% and 11.5% to $587,500. In Hobart growth was 1.8%, 1.9% and 6.2% to a median price of $341,500. In Brisbane prices fell 0.1% month on month but were still up 2.2% quarter on quarter and 5.3% year on year to a median price of $475,000 while in Adelaide they fell 1.3% month on month but were up 0.8% quarter on quarter and 2.2% year on year to $420,000. In Perth prices have fallen across the board, down 0.8% month on month, down 3% quarter on quarter and down 4.7% year on year to $505,000 with a similar story in Darwin with a month on month fall of 1.6% a quarter on quarter fall of 2.5% and a year on year fall of 1.1% to a median price of $510,000. Canberra is seeing prices fall for the first time in over a year. Values were down 1.1% month on month but still up 2.6% quarter on quarter and 3.9% year on year to a median price of $560,000. ‘While the higher rates of capital gains in Sydney and Melbourne can be tied back to strong economic conditions, and high rates of population… Continue reading
Brexit uncertainty affects prime country houses in UK
Prime country house prices in the UK fell by 0.2% between April and June as uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the EU referendum filtered through to the market. On an annual basis, price growth over the year to the end of June 2016 eased to 1.3%, down from a recent high of 5.2% in 2014, according to the latest index from real estate firm Knight Frank. It is the first quarterly fall since late 2012 and prices for larger properties in the £2 million and above sector fell by even more, down 1.1%, the data also shows, taking the annual rate of growth to 0.7%. In contrast, properties priced at under £2 million recorded an average rate of growth of 0.4% over the quarter, taking the average rate of growth to 3.3%. The index reports that there was a softening in demand in the immediate run up to the vote, with potential purchasers awaiting the outcome of the referendum. The number of viewings conducted in June was 10% lower than the same month last year, and there was also a dip in new buyer enquiries. However, it points out that the EU referendum has not been the only factor at play in the market. ‘Higher purchase costs as a result of two stamp duty increases in the space of 18 months have also had an impact, weighing on price growth in some sectors of the market, most notably for homes valued in excess of £2 million,’ said Knight Frank associate Oliver Knight. The strongest markets continue to be in prime urban locations, where price growth has outperformed that in more rural locations, the report also points out. Looking ahead, the report explains that all eyes will now turn to the impact of the UK’s vote to leave the EU on the market. ‘There is likely to be a further period of uncertainty as the terms of the UK’s exit are worked out and this has the potential to affect some parts of the market as discretionary buyers weigh up the implications,’ said Knight. ‘However, the primary drivers of this market remain unchanged, with schools and key transport links remaining a draw for town and city markets. Prime prices are still 14% below their previous market peaks on average and, as such, there may be scope for outperformance in the short to medium term,’ he added. Continue reading
Residential asking prices up 5% across Ireland in second quarter of 2016
Asking prices for newly listed properties in Ireland increased by 5% nationally and by 3.6% in Dublin in the second quarter of 2016, the latest figures show. As housing supply continues to decline, average time to sale agreed has fallen to just four months, according to the property report from MyHome in association with Davy. The report says that Brexit may dampen medium term expectations but the UK’s decision to leave the European Union is not expected to have material impact on the Irish housing market in 2016. It also says that while the sharp gains in asking prices mainly reflect the recovery in house prices across the country with newly listed properties in Dublin rising by a more modest amount this is still four times the 0.9% increase recorded in the capital in the first quarter of the year. The mix adjusted asking price for new sales nationally is now €231,000 and €326,000 in Dublin, an increase of €11,000 for both markets compared with the first quarter of the year. For the entire stock of properties listed for sale on the MyHome website the national mix adjusted figure is €213,000, up 2.5%, the biggest quarterly increase since the third quarter of 2006. In Dublin the figure is €296,000, up 2%, which brings it back above the level seen in the second quarter of 2011. The author of the report, Conall MacCoille, chief economist at Davy, said the supply shortage and wage inflation were the key factors underpinning the latest price surge and pointed out that the number of homes for sale is down 6.7% on last year to 23,520, which is close to historical lows. ‘Not surprisingly properties are selling increasingly quickly with the average ‘sale agreed’ time falling to just four months, a new low. Outside of Dublin it has fallen to 4.8 months, the first time it has fallen below five since the financial crisis of 2008. While the government has outlined ambitious housing plans, there is no prospect of the shortage of housing supply being alleviated by new construction in the near term,’ he explained. ‘At the same time, home buyers are feeling the heat and reacting to the lack of supply by taking out ever higher mortgage debts, helped by rising wages and growing consumer confidence. In May the average mortgage approval for house purchase rose to €208,000, the first time that the average mortgage approval has exceeded €200,000 since the series began in 2011,’ he added. MacCoille believes that overall the data points to sharp gains in Irish house prices through the remainder of 2016. ‘While the potential impact of Brexit remains something of a wild card, its overall impact on the Irish economy and broader fears regarding the health of the European economy could help to temper medium term expectations for house price growth,’ he said. ‘However that probably won’t emerge until… Continue reading
