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Renting costs twice as much as owning a home in US cities
People renting a home in the United States can expect to pay twice as much of their incomes on their rent than an owner on mortgage payments, new research has found. It means that it is more affordable to buy a home now in most US metros than it was 15 years ago, even for those putting down less money on a home, according to a Zillow analysis of third quarter income and home value data. Renters, however, continue to pay an increasing share of their income to their landlords as rents soar and incomes remain flat. On average, US home buyers making the nation's median income and purchasing the typical home spend 15.3% of their income on their monthly house payment, down from the historical norm of 22.1% during the pre-bubble period from 1985 to 1999. On the other hand on average, US renters spent 29.9% of their monthly income on rent in the third quarter of 2014, up from 24.9% historically. Younger buyers, earning less money in many areas and making smaller down payments on a home, should expect to spend slightly more of their income on mortgage payments at around 17.4%. The Zillow report says that homes for younger buyers remain affordable thanks to continued low mortgage interest rates and their tendency to shop for less expensive properties. However, the report warns that continuously rising rents across the country could drive more people into the home buying market, but they also make it more difficult for first time buyers to save for a down payment. A breakdown of the figures shows that Washington DC renters can expect to spend 27.1% of their income on rent, up from 16.2% historically while in Miami, rent as a percentage of income has risen from 26.5% before the bubble to 44.5% currently. ‘Despite rising home values, homeownership remains very accessible for buyers that can scrape together a down payment, even if that down payment is relatively modest, find a home to buy and secure financing,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘But what keeps me up at night is the fact that it still remains so difficult for so many potential buyers to make those particular stars align, largely because renting is so unaffordable these days,’ he explained. ‘It's very difficult to come up with a down payment when so much of your monthly pay cheque, especially on an entry level salary, is going to your landlord instead of into your savings. Buying conditions are getting better every day, and in time the allure of fixed housing payments and building wealth through home equity will draw more buyers out of rentals and into home ownership,’ he added. The report also points out that home ownership rates in the US have steadily declined, even as the housing market has recovered, in part because millennials have delayed their entry into the housing market. But it is likely that by the end of 2015, millennials aged 23 to 34, will overtake Generation X as the biggest… Continue reading
Number of Scottish households facing higher moving costs set to rise
More households in Scotland could potentially see the upfront cost of moving rise when the new Land and Building Transaction Tax rates come into force in April 2015, a new analysis suggests. In October, during the draft Scottish Budget, John Swinney, the finance secretary, announced that from April next year Scotland would be scrapping the current stamp duty system and replacing it with a LBTT. At the time the Scottish government said that up to 90% of home buyers would be better off under the new regime but this was before Chancellor George Osborne announced stamp duty reforms last week. Following the LBTT announcement real estate firm Knight Frank looked at the numbers and found that, based on the rates announced and compared to the stamp duty system that was in place across the UK at that time, the new LBTT would favour buyers of properties at £325,000 or less, where less tax would be payable. Sales above £325,000 would incur a higher rate of tax. However, the firm has now re-done the calculations based on the stamp duty changes which will apply in Scotland until the change and the point at which it now becomes more expensive to buy a property under the new LBTT system has fallen from £325,000 to £254,000. Knight Frank says that this means that a lot more households could potentially see the upfront cost of moving rise when the LBTT rates come into force in April. According to figures from the Registers of Scotland, the average price of a detached property is higher than £254,000 in nearly a third of all the local authorities in the country. Under the current system, a house costing £390,000 will incur a stamp duty payment of £9,500, whereas the upfront costs under the new LBTT system for the same property will be 72% higher at £16,300. ‘Prior to the introduction of the new levy in four months’ time, we expect to see an increase in the number of prime sales and homes coming to the market as both buyers and vendors look to move before costs rise,’ said Oliver Knight. ‘Homes worth £250,000 plus accounted for 72% of the total £215 million stamp duty take in Scotland last year. The new regime could hit receipts at this end of the market if there is a slowdown in transactions, and perhaps raise questions among policy makers about the rate structure,’ he added. Continue reading
London prime property rent rises set to outpace house growth in 2015
London prime property prices are expected to grow by 3% to 5% in 2015 but strong tenant demand is expected to boost rental prices by 10% over the next year, the latest forecast suggests. Uncertainty over the outcome of the general election is likely to boost the corporate lettings sector in particular and London property prices will ease into a slower rate of growth, according to estate agent Marsh & Parsons. They expect prime London house prices to rise up to 5% in 2015, compared to the 11.4% increase witnessed over the past 12 months. Annual growth is forecast to be strongest in outer prime London where typical house prices are 25% lower than across prime London as a whole, fuelling higher demand. But in the most expensive prime central areas of the capital, prices will climb by 3%. Marsh & Parsons expects the feel good factor to remain into 2015 for sellers and with mortgage rates as competitive as ever, it is also continues to represent a good opportunity for buyers too. ‘The London housing market gave a stellar performance in the first half of 2014, but there won’t be quite the same encore next year. However, the curtain certainly isn’t going down on price growth. After touching the brakes in recent months, property values will continue to climb steadily again in 2015, albeit at a more modest and orderly pace,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘Demand for prime London property remains stable, and after adapting to the mortgage market reform (MMR) changes and tighter affordability measures introduced this year, buyers are more motivated than ever, maintaining sales momentum and ensuring that property prices will not stand idle,’ he explained. ‘The general election will act to stimulate the market, removing much uncertainty and drawing a line under any hesitation from buyers and sellers, but this isn’t to say that the first five months of the year will be a write off as London won’t stop working,’ he added. Marsh & Parsons expects more vigorous growth in prime London rents, forecasting increases of 10% throughout 2015. The firm points out that following a period of largely stagnant rental prices, rents in prime London have climbed steadily during 2014, and the pace of growth will pick up over the next 12 months. Corporate tenancies have grown 14% in 2014 compared to the same period in 2013, and burgeoning demand for corporate lettings and relocations will ensure continued expansion of this sector next year. ‘The rental market will be where much of the action takes place in 2015. Those relocating to the capital for work are now biding their time before purchasing their own portion of London property, until question marks surrounding additional property taxes are erased,’ said Rollings. ‘This will push demand in the corporate lettings sector even further, and the biggest rental increases are predicted to be among one or… Continue reading
