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US home owners more confident than those who rent, new analysis suggests
Home owners in the United States are generally more confident than renters in their local housing market’s performance, according to the latest research from Zillow. But this confidence gap is widening in areas with rapid home value growth and narrowing in areas with more restrained growth, the firm says. Overall home owners have become more confident about their decision to invest in a home where home values in their area have increased more rapidly. By contrast, renters feel that they cannot escape renting and have lowered their aspirations for homeownership in areas where home values have increased more rapidly. Rapidly rising home values have powerful psychological effects on both home owners and renters and research has shown peoples’ expectations about the future are strongly anchored in recent experience. Rapid asset price growth can contribute to what has sometimes been labelled ‘irrational exuberance’, or overly optimistic and self-perpetuating positive feedback in price trends. Zillow’s Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) is designed to be a forward looking measure of housing market health by gauging the beliefs and aspirations of home owners and renters towards the future state of the housing market. There are two groups, those that have experienced rapid recent home value growth in excess of 9% annually between July 2013 and July 2014, when the survey was last conducted, and those that have experienced more restrained growth of less than 9% over the same period. By this classification, nine metro areas have experienced rapid home value growth and in general, the ZHCI is higher for home owners than for renters. The firm says this is not surprising since, relative to renters, home owners typically have higher incomes and a more optimistic perspective about the economy and housing market. But as the economy has improved, the gap between home owners’ and renters’ confidence index levels has widened in metros where home value growth has been rapid, and narrowed in metros where home value growth has been more restrained. Home owners and renters have very similar perspectives on the overall housing market and the ZHCIs for both groups tend to move together. A larger improvement in outlook among renters is the primary driver of converging optimism levels in slow home value growth markets. But the opposite is true in markets where home values are growing more rapidly. In these markets, optimism levels are diverging. Because home owners’ wealth is largely tied to the value of their home, slower home value growth results in a smaller change in home owners’ housing market outlook. In markets where home values are appreciating at a slower pace, renters have become increasingly optimistic about their potential for future home ownership. The Home ownership Aspirations Index, which measures how optimistic owners and renters are about their future home ownership prospects, increased more for renters in slow growth markets than for home owners. But in markets where home values are rising rapidly, renters are becoming increasingly disillusioned, as they likely see the possibility for future… Continue reading
Pension changes could boost buy to let in UK
Pension regulation changes in the UK could boost the buy to let market as so called silver landlords decide to invest in the sector, it is claimed. Some 32% of people aged 45 to 64 with a pension would consider using some or all of their pension pot to fund a buy to let property as an alternative to a more traditional pension fund, according to research by Direct Line for Business (DL4B). It highlights that the number of 'silver landlords' could increase significantly given the changes in pension regulation which mean that from April 2015, people approaching retirement and pensioners will be able to access as much or as little as they want from their pension pots. Buy to let is becoming an attractive option for people, especially while property and rents rise, according to property lettings expert, Kate Faulkner, as it can deliver some great returns over 15 to 20 years. ‘Given the recent pension liberation announcement, for some it could be good to diversify their investments when approaching retirement, but landlords need to seek financial/expert advice and ensure they understand the returns that property can deliver and especially the tax implications,’ she said. As property and rental prices continue to rise, buy to let can provide a regular income flow while also offering the opportunity for capital appreciation. The research shows that 43% of potential 'silver landlords' would consider it on the basis that it produces regular income. Some 23% are attracted by the perceived security of the investment, 17% by the expected capital appreciation and 9% of potential buy to let investors favour the investment because they would like to invest in something that will allow them to leave an inheritance to their children. The research highlighted the perceived high returns available for landlords as those approaching retirement anticipate an average (median) yield of between 10% and 14% on their investment. ‘Buy to let can be a flexible investment, providing an immediate source of income as well as being a long term asset. As such, it is understandable that people approaching retirement age are considering investing their pension pots in property,’ said Jazz Gakhal, head of Direct Line for Business. ‘However, prospective landlords should understand that buy to let does not come without financial risk. Legal expenses for repossessions and potential damage to property are but just a few of the costs that can take significant chunks out of landlords' annual yield,’ he pointed out. ‘Taking the necessary precautions such as carrying out full reference checks on prospective tenants, inspecting your rental property regularly, and taking out landlord insurance can help to minimise some of the risks faced by landlords,’ he added. Continue reading
Special development corporation set up for strategic west London site
Plans for a major development in West London with up to 24,000 new homes have moved another step closer with the creation of a development corporation at a time when the city needs new housing. The Mayor of London has written to the Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government Eric Pickles confirming his plans to establish the Old Oak and Park Royal Development Corporation (OPDC). The Secretary of State will now lay an order before Parliament in early 2015 to create the OPDC. It is expected that the new body will come into existence with full planning powers over the entire site on 01 April 2015. A vast High Speed 2 (HS2) and Crossrail Station is due to be constructed at Old Oak Common by 2026. The new station will be the size of Waterloo, handling 250,000 passengers a day and acting as a super hub between London and the rest of the UK, Europe and the world. This represents an opportunity to bring unprecedented regeneration to the area and the Mayor believes that the OPDC is the best way to unlock the enormous potential of the site and deliver a £15 billion boost to London's economy over 30 years. The Corporation will act as a single, transparent and robust body to spearhead the regeneration of the 950 hectare site that straddles the boroughs of Hammersmith and Fulham, Brent and Ealing. ‘By 2030 the sprawling industrial land at Old Oak Common could be a thriving new district teeming with tens of thousands of new homes and jobs and a rail station the size of Waterloo. This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to transform this site and there is no doubt that a Mayoral Development Corporation is the best way to unlock its enormous potential,’ said Mayor Boris Johnson. The OPDC will look to emulate the success of the London Legacy Development Corporation that continues to lead the post-Olympic regeneration of Stratford and East London. The Mayor's Office believes that the regeneration opportunity could provide almost 14 per cent of Greater London's employment needs up to 2031. Five of the nation's airports will be linked to the high speed rail network for the first time through the Old Oak Common Station. Central London and Heathrow will be just 10 minutes away, Birmingham will be 40 minutes direct from Old Oak Common and Luton, Gatwick and City Airport will all be within 45 minutes. As well as promoting and delivering physical, social, economic and environmental regeneration, the Corporation will also safeguard and develop Park Royal as a strategic industrial location and attract long term investment to the area, including from overseas. Once established, the proposed OPDC would take on various statutory powers relating to infrastructure, regeneration, land acquisitions and financial assistance. It would also take on planning powers across the Old Oak and Park Royal area, including determination of planning applications. The Corporation will also be able to set a Community… Continue reading
