TSI
Rental market expected to be stronger than sales in some parts of London
This year is expected to bring fewer sales and more letting transactions, with strong rental markets across London’s Midtown, City and Docklands, a new report suggests. There will be a two tier sales market with demand for properties up to £1 million continuing to attract buyers and a slower market at prices over £1 million, according to the latest report from property advisors and development consultants Hurford Salvi Carr. However, as the market slowed in 2014, two segments of the market bucked the trend, it reveals. ‘Demand for entry level one bed apartments continued to outstrip supply so that it will be no easier to buy a pied a terre in Central London in 2015 than it was in 2014,’ the report says. The other segment to buck the trend was Docklands, where demand strengthened, as buyers looked to East London, to deliver value for money, although plentiful supply kept a lid on price increases. Over the whole year, property prices rose by an average of 4% in 2014 in City, Midtown and Docklands. Strong demand from UK buy to let investors is expected in 2015 with a concentration on sub £750,000 levels where returns are most attractive. The firm also says that buyers from the UK dominated the residential markets in 2014, accounting for almost 70% of sales, in comparison to 54% in the first half of 2013 and 61% in 2013. Other European buyers also increased their share by a small margin but the big shift was in the proportion of Asian nationals, which dropped from 17% of sales in 2013 to 7% in 2014. Almost 70% of tenants who rented homes through Hurford Salvi Carr in 2014 were overseas nationals. Overall the split was 32% British, 31% other European and 37% from elsewhere in the world with Asians being the most dominant group within that. The Docklands attracted the highest proportion of British tenants at 43%, whereas Midtown attracted more Asian tenants and the City attracted more American tenants. The most common occupation for a tenant is in the financial sector, closely followed by students. The financial sector was more prevalent in the City and Docklands, where it made up over 30%, while students were by far the most common group in Midtown, where they accounted for 62% of all lettings. The relatively high proportion of Asian tenants in Midtown reflects the demand from overseas students at top universities such as UCL, King’s College and LSE. Continue reading
UK house price sentiment moderates
Almost 20% of households in the UK perceived that the value of their home rose in January, according to the latest House Price Sentiment Index which reveals a downward trend in 2014. Some 19.5% of the 1,500 households surveyed across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 3.1% reported a fall, the data from Knight Frank and Markit Economics shows. This gave the HPSI a reading of 58.2, the twenty second consecutive month that the reading has been above 50. The index report points out that the HPSI was on a general downward trend for most of the second half of 2014. January’s reading of 58.2, the lowest in 14 months, was a continuation of this trend and well below the average reading for last year of 61. In spite of the month on month fall, households in all 11 regions covered by the index reported that prices rose in January, led by Londoners at 65.3 and households in the South East at 63, while, households in the North West at 53 and Wales at 53.9 perceived the slowest rates of price growth over the course of the month. In London, perceptions of house price growth moderated compared to the previous month and stand well below the previous high of 74.9 in April last year, suggesting that households are less confident that the value of their property has risen than previously. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, fell in January to 69.5, down from 70.5 the previous month. This was the second consecutive monthly fall in house price expectations across the UK. The future HPSI stands well below its record high of 75.1, which was seen in May 2014. Households in London at 75.3 are the most likely to expect price rises over the next 12 months, followed by those in the South West at 75.1 and the South East at 74.9, the index shows. Expectations of price growth are highest among mortgage borrowers and those who own their home outright with readings of 75.8 and 71.3 respectively, followed by those living rent free at 66.8. ‘House price sentiment has slowed across the country despite the cut in stamp duty introduced by the Chancellor in December. Households in London and the South East signal slower annual rises in house prices this month than last month, an important development as these areas have been the engines of high house price growth over the last year,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Even the prospect of record-low interest rates being in place for longer than anticipated has not been enough to lift expectations for house price growth on a monthly basis in January, however this, coupled with an expected rise in wage growth will likely result in modest price uplifts over 2015,’ she added. Tim Moore, senior economist at… Continue reading
Legal firm gives lowdown on new energy standards for UK landlords
Residential landlords in the UK are at risk of financial penalties and being unable to let their properties if they fail to meet minimum energy efficiency standards (MEES) that come into play in 2018, it is claimed. Law firm Maples Teesdale has warned that the new standards equate to a ticking time bomb that could have a detrimental impact on rental income and property values if left unaddressed. The non-domestic minimum energy efficiency regulations for England and Wales will mean that by 01 April 2018, all relevant properties will have to be improved to a minimum energy efficiency standard before being let to tenants, except where certain exemptions apply. Additional Tenant’s Energy Efficiency Improvement Regulations must be in force by 01 April 2016 and will empower tenants to request consent for energy efficiency measures that may not unreasonably be refused by the landlord. ‘These regulations are likely to have a big impact on the private rented sector. They are presenting a straightforward ultimatum: bring your properties up to scratch in terms of energy efficiency, or risk losing income,’ said Neil Sagoo, partner at Maples Teesdale. The consequences for landlords who do not invest in bringing their properties up to minimum standards are likely to be severe, the firm warns. There will be financial penalties, possibly geared to the rent earned while the landlord is in breach, applied to those who fail to comply and, in extreme cases, a tribunal can force landlords to make the necessary changes. ‘This means that landlords can no longer pay lip service to energy efficiency. Whereas it was once a worthy aspiration, it is becoming is fundamental as fire safety or building regulations and is to be ignored at your peril,’ added Sagoo. Following a brief consultation at the end of last year, the Government has indicated that it aims to have the regulations in place ahead of the May general election. Implementation of MEES is likely to follow in stages, coming into effect on all new lettings from April 2018 and for remaining existing lettings from April 2023. Continue reading
