TSI
UK landlords seeking more remortgages, buy to let index shows
Some 66% of buy to let loans in the UK in the first quarter of 2015 were for remortgaging compared with just 34% for new purchases, new research shows. This compares with 62% in the final quarter of 2014, according to the latest Mortgages for Business Complex Buy to Let Index. For houses in multiple occupation (HMOs) remortgaging is now an even higher proportion, standing at 73% of HMO mortgages in the first three months of 2015, up from 70% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Moreover, the same trend is even more pronounced for multi-unit freehold blocks (MUFBs) with remortgaging representing 89% of mortgages in the first quarter of 2015 compared to just 42% in the final quarter of 2014. Semi commercial property witnessed the same trend but with a more gradual change, from 86% to 87% of new loans agreed for remortgaging. As landlords have remortgaged in increasing numbers, their average loan to value ratios (LTVs) have crept slightly higher over the course of the last three months. For vanilla buy to let, the average LTV now stands at 66% compared to 63% in the final quarter of 2014. Landlords of HMOs have seen loan to value ratios rise to 70%, up from an average of 64% LTV in the last quarter of 2014. Likewise, MUFB properties are now mortgaged to an average of 67% of the property value, up from 64% LTV in the final quarter of 2014. Semi commercial properties saw a more gradual shift, though for these landlords the average LTV also rose from 64% in the previous quarter to 65% in the first quarter of 2015. ‘Record low mortgage rates are driving wave upon wave of landlords to reassess their finances. A great deal agreed last year may be uncompetitive by today’s standards. So this stampede is completely rational as it represents a charge by landlords to make the most of an unprecedented economic situation,’ said David Whittaker managing director of Mortgages for Business. ‘Remortgaging is often done for the purposes of raising extra capital, and this is clearly reflected in higher loan to value ratios. However, this is by no means an unwelcome trend and could in turn open the door to more new purchases and investment by landlords,’ he explained. ‘Rental yields are healthy and there is a gathering demand from an increasingly prosperous base of tenants. So the fundamentals of the rental market, and of landlords’ finances, are still extremely solid,’ he added. The report also shows that for standard vanilla buy to let property, gross yields have now risen to 6.4% in the first quarter of the year up from 6.3% in the last quarter of 2014. On a similar note, gross rental yields on HMOs have now broken through the ten per cent mark to stand at 10.4%, up from 9.0% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Semi commercial property has also seen yields grow, from 6.4% to 7.5%… Continue reading
Negative equity worse in some parts of US despite home values rising
Home prices are rising in the US but the rate of home owners who owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth is stalled and even worsening in some places for the first time since the recession, according to a new report. Negative equity is going up in 21 of the largest 50 housing markets, indicating many underwater homes are not rising in value, says the latest review from real estate data firm Zillow. More than a quarter of mortgaged homes are underwater in some markets in Florida and the Midwest. The national negative equity rate is 16.9% yet home values rose 5.9% nationally last year. The report also shows that the at the lower end of the market homes are far more likely to be worth less than the balance of their mortgage and the analysis suggests that is because low end homes are losing value. At the peak of the real estate crisis, more than 15 million home owners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth, putting them in negative equity. Foreclosures, short sales and rapidly rising home values freed nearly half of those home owners, but now that trend has reversed in many metros. Indeed, three years into the recovery, home values overall continued to recover while owners of the lowest valued homes, those most likely to be stuck in negative equity, were left behind. ‘Higher negative equity rates have become the new normal. We've long been expecting the negative equity rate to fall more slowly as home value growth also slows, and unfortunately that's exactly what we're seeing,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘Compounding the problem is the fact that negative equity is decidedly not an equal opportunity predator, and looms larger over the bottom 10% of homes, where home owners are least prepared to withstand the assault,’ he added. In Atlanta some 49% of homes in the bottom third of home values are in negative equity, compared to 11% of mortgaged homes in the highest valued third. Among large metros, Virginia Beach at 28.3%, Jacksonville at 27%, Las Vegas at 24.4% and Atlanta at 26.1% had the highest rates of negative equity. Continue reading
House sales flatten in UK due to forthcoming general election, says RICS
Buyer enquiries and house sales have flattened in the UK in the run up to the general election, according to the latest monthly market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. In most parts of the country, the supply versus demand imbalance led to 21% more surveyors reporting a rise in house prices in March, up from 15% in February, and 15% more surveyors expecting prices to increase over the next three months compared with 10% in February but the results for both are significantly lower than in March 2014. Nationally, Northern Ireland continues to outperform the rest of the UK with the strongest house price growth in March and the highest price expectations over the next three months. However, across much of the rest of the UK, particularly in Wales and Scotland, price gains over the next three months are expected to be much more moderate. In London, a lack of prospective buyers saw enquiries and the number of agreed sales both fall for the eleventh consecutive month and 24% more surveyors reported a decline in the number of new properties coming onto the market for sale. However, compared to the start of the year when 42% more surveyors reported a decrease in prices, just 13% more surveyors saw prices fall in March and across the whole of the UK, the average surveyor sold 19.5 properties, reflecting activity since Autumn, although it remains some way down on where it was in the early part of 2014. The boost that was given to the housing market by the Help to Buy scheme has begun to dissipate and activity levels have slipped back as a result, according to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Even more worrying are the tentative signs that price momentum could be set to pick up once again as the supply of stock to the market continues to fall. Anecdotal evidence does suggest that election uncertainty may be having some impact on the market, but underlying the trends visible in the latest survey is a very real housing crisis which will urgently need to be addressed by the next government,’ he explained. ‘It is significant that price expectations nationally are accelerating both at the three and twelve month time horizons and at the latter they are at their highest level since the spring of last year,’ he added. Continue reading
