TSI
Mortgage arrears and repossession downs in the UK, latest data shows
The proportion of UK mortgages in arrears or ending in repossession fell in the first quarter of this year, according to the latest figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. A decline was experienced in all arrears bands, and across both owner occupier and buy to let lending. The total proportion of all mortgages with arrears equivalent to more than 2.5% of the mortgage balance was 1.03% at the end of the first quarter, down from 1.05% in the fourth quarter of 2014, and well down on the 1.24% recorded at the same time last year. In numerical terms, there were 113,900 loans in arrears. Of these, just 24,400 were in the most severe arrears band at more than 10% of balance, equating to 0.22% of all mortgages. This is the smallest number and proportion of mortgages in the most serious arrears band since the end of 2008. The proportion of mortgages resulting in repossession in the first quarter was 0.03%, down from 0.04% in the fourth quarter of 2014 and 0.06% in the first quarter of last year. The number of repossessions was 3,100, down from 4,200 in the fourth quarter of last year, and 6,400 in the first quarter of 2014. ‘Although complacency would be misplaced, the underlying picture continues to be one of improvement and a continuing reduction in mortgage arrears and repossessions,’ said CML director general Paul Smee. ‘The message remains the same: don't delay in contacting your lender if you are experiencing temporary payment problems, as lenders want to help you resolve them, and will only take possession of property as a last resort,’ he added. Meanwhile, the latest figures from the Finance and Leasing Association (FLA) show that the number of second charge mortgage repossessions fell 45.3% in the first three months of 2015, compared with the same period last year. ‘Second charge repossessions are continuing to fall as second charge lenders continue to do all they can to help customers in financial difficulty,’ said Fiona Hoyle, head of consumer credit at the FLA. Continue reading
Office rental growth hits record highs in South East of England
Vacancy rates across the South East of England office market are at their lowest since 2001, driving rental growth to hit record highs in towns across the region, new research shows. The M25 vacancy rate stood at 5.9% in the first three months of 2015 but this falls to 4.2% when only new and Grade A space is analysed, low by London, UK and global standards, says the data from the latest office leasing report from Knight Frank. It also shows that availability fell by 13% compared to a year ago, across all grades of stock, moving the market back towards the landlord’s favour. Following the re-election of a Conservative led Government and financial market rally, economic performance of the region is improving and there is an expectation of a further boost to demand, it points out. Strong investor demand and a lack of deliverable product is holding back stock volumes in the investment market, where we are seeing a hardening of yields across the spectrum, with investors increasingly factoring in likely rental growth during hold periods. Prime yields now stand at 5.00% NIY and the combination of weight of money and lack of product is expected to drive yields down further moving forward in 2015. ‘2015 has started positively supporting our view that take up in the M25 will be almost 30% ahead of 2014, and above the 10 year average,’ said Emma Goodford, head of national offices leasing team, Knight Frank. ‘Vacancy levels are heading towards crunch point in combination the market seeing rental growth across a growing number of key centres. In some cases rents are now at an all-time high- motivation for occupiers to identify and secure the best space now. The election has removed uncertainty and will drive demand,’ she added. According to Tim Smither, head of South East investment, Knight Frank, the investment market continues to strengthen, with prime yields standing at 5% NIY. ‘We expect this yield compression to continue for the rest of the year, driven by a combination of a lack of stock, significant levels of equity looking to be deployed and anticipated rental growth in most core markets,’ he said. Continue reading
English regions start to outpace house price growth in London
House price growth in the South East and East Anglia has overtaken London for the first time in four and a half years, according to the latest index covering England and Wales. Overall, across England and Wales, house price growth picked up on a monthly basis in April, climbing 0.2% but the annual rate of property price growth has halved since last summer, down to 5.3% in April. The data from the LSL index shows that the average house price is now £275,961, a new high for this year and excluding London the annual growth is 4.1%. The data also shows that in the first quarter of the year sales were down 10% but the firm expects that to change as the political uncertainty that affected the market in the run up to the general election disappears. ‘Annual price growth is still cooling, but mainly due to some recent negative monthly price rises. The direction of travel is clear and accelerating and most importantly, momentum is picking up where it was lacking before,’ said Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors. ‘By contrast, annual price rises in London have fallen sharply. As a result, the capital has been knocked off its perch by the South East and East Anglia, who have now edged ahead of London with the strongest year on year increase in property values of all regions across the country, at 7.1% and 6.9% respectively. In contrast, annual growth in London has shrunk from 9% in February to just 6.8% in March 2015,’ he pointed out. ‘This is the first time for nearly four and a half years that London has not been leading the pack in terms of regional house price growth, as higher stamp duty rates take some of the shine off high end properties in prime central areas,’ he added. The data shows, for example, that in the City of Westminster, where the average property is now worth £1,382,965, prices dropped 5.2% during the month of March, as pre-election speculation of a mansion tax put a dampener on enthusiasm for the most exclusive London homes. London also saw the sharpest decline in completed home sales between the first quarter of 2015 and the same period a year ago, falling 16.5%. ‘Election uncertainty has now vanished, so arguably London’s unique property market could see a fresh boost. But this mansion tax effect is one for the very top of the market. Away from the prime hotspots, affordability is still the biggest factor holding back further price rises and owning a London home is still more of a dream than even an aspiration for millions,’ said Sexton. ‘The head start that the housing market in London has traditionally exercised over the rest of the UK is retreating, and more of an even playing field is emerging instead. Average property values also hit new highs in greater Manchester and Birmingham, as demand in… Continue reading
