TSI
US farmland market has outperformed other real estate sectors, research shows
The US farmland market has outperformed other US real estate assets over the past 15 years recording an average total return of 13% for agricultural investment properties, a new analysis shows. This performance has been boosted over the last three years by high commodity prices, according to the analysis report form international real estate advisor Savills. It points out that while not immune to volatility, the farmland market has not been affected to the same degree as the residential and commercial property sectors. ‘Farmland and agriculture in the US can offer real opportunities for top investment performance but unlike the UK, where demand from non-farmers is a real driver of value, in the US commodity price fluctuations are likely to have a greater effect on values because of the closer relationship with farm profitability,’ the report explains. This differing weighting of the productive capacity on value is reflected in the income yields. In the US 3 to 6% is achievable in the key agricultural areas of the US, which contrasts with typical income yields of 1 to 3% in the UK. Where land is let in the US the average lease period tends to be shorter averaging from three to five years in order to avoid declining rental yields and to maximise investment returns. In the UK, farm tenancies let in the open market average between five and 10 years. Since 1950, average values across the US recorded an annualised increase of 6.6% with an increased rate of growth during the past 10 years of 8.1%. The corresponding figures for UK farmland are 7.5% and 13.7%. The report explains that these higher UK growth rates are largely explained by a reduced supply and the increased presence of non-farming/investor buyers. In the US, farmers represent 75% of buyers with investors accounting for the remainder while in the UK the proportion of farmers buying during 2014 was 45% with institutional/corporate and non-farmer buyers fairly evenly spread across the rest. ‘For investors looking for scale, high value niche markets and the opportunity for a reasonable income yield, the US is a realistic proposition particularly when combined with the medium to long term capital growth forecasts against a backdrop of a mature and transparent market,’ the report adds. It also points out that the US farmland market is not bound by one law with regard to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and some states and provinces restrict overseas ownership and subsidies are not available to overseas individuals and entities. ‘However, with some advance planning investment can be efficiently structured to preserve the UK tax advantages of investment in farmland while allowing investors access to the US market,’ it says. Currently, relatively little US farmland is held in direct overseas ownership accounting for just 1.15% in 2012 with the largest proportion of overseas ownership concentrated in Maine. The US has more arable land… Continue reading
UK home owners less optimistic about property prices, poll suggests
Optimism in the UK property market has slowed down, with fewer home owners anticipating an increase in the value of their home over the next 12 months, a new survey shows. Just under half, 49%, believe their home will increase in value over the next year compared to 54% in January and 55% a year ago. A further 49% anticipate that the value will stay the same whilst 2% believe it will decrease. The survey from Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks also shows that Londoners are the most optimistic with 73% anticipating an increase in the value of their home, followed by 62% of those in the South East and 56% of those in the East. In sharp contrast 11% of those surveyed in the North East expect the value of their home to decrease, a view shared by 6% in the North West and Scotland. Those living in the South East and London are the most upbeat about rising property prices with 67% in the South East and 64% in London citing this as the main reason for anticipating an increase in the value of their home. In contrast only 37% of those in the North West share this view. The report suggests that the key factor for those who think their home will increase in price is rising property prices as well as the positive impact of the economic recovery. ‘It has been positive to see confidence returning to the property market however our latest research has shown that this is levelling out with a drop in the number of people who believe their home will increase in value over the next year,’ said Steve Fletcher, director of retail banking. ‘There are still a number of property hot spots, such as London and the South East, where property prices are rising and we anticipate that this will continue however this is not mirrored across the UK as a whole,’ he pointed out. He added that the Banks have a range of competitive mortgages including a two year fixed, fee offer product up to 75% LTV at 2.09% and a five year fixed, fee offer product up to 75% LTV at 2.89%, both for re-mortgage applications above £75,000. Continue reading
Prime country house values in UK fall in second quarter of year
Average prime country house values in the UK increased by just 0.9% between April and June and annual growth is down to 2.3%, the lowest for two years, according to a new analysis report. It is an indication that any expectations of a post-election price jump in the prime market were unfounded, says the report from real estate firm Knight Frank. The report points out that one of the key reasons price growth remains subdued, despite the election of a majority government and the removal of the threat of a mansion tax, is the fact that the prime market is still absorbing the recent changes to stamp duty. The change, which came into effect in December, has resulted in higher purchase costs for properties worth more than £1.1 million. Knight Frank says there is anecdotal evidence to suggest that some buyers are factoring the increased cost into offers, resulting in some price adjustments. ‘Additionally, while there was a release of pent-up demand in the weeks immediately following the vote as buyers who had adopted a wait and see approach prior to the election returned to the market, rising stock levels, which peaked to their highest level all year in May, helped to mitigate any significant jump in property values,’ said Oliver Knight of the firm’s residential research team. He also pointed out that the greater political certainty afforded by the election result means there is a more positive outlook for the residential property market as a whole. ‘Interest rates remain at record low levels, economic growth is steady and mortgage rates are competitive,’ he added. Meanwhile, during the second quarter of the year prime city markets continued to outperform more rural locations, with notable price growth in Bath, Bristol and Winchester among others. Prime urban property markets are now, on average, 2% above their 2007 peak, while neighbouring village and rural locations remain 13.2% below peak levels. Continue reading
