TSI
New housing developments do not impact on surrounding house prices
A new study has shown that new house building in the UK has little discernible and consistent impact on local house price patterns. The report by LSE London at the London School of Economics and Political Science and jointly commissioned by Barratt Developments, the largest house builder in the UK, and the NHBC Foundation, examined whether a new development will always reduce prices or reduce the rate of increase in prices in the immediately surrounding area. Examining the impacts of eight recent residential Barratt developments on their local areas, the research concluded that prices did not decline as a result of development, although sometimes there may be some limited impact during construction. Once the developments were completed, the local areas generally moved with the market. One of the most common concerns of home owners across the UK is that a new build residential development nearby will reduce property values in the local area. For many people their new home is their largest single investment. The selected sites all involved fewer than 300 units and were substantially completed within the last five years. Spread across the South and Midlands these sites are typical of housing development outside city centres or wholly rural areas. The aim was to exemplify ‘ordinary’ developments mainly on sites where there had been objections, some significant, at planning permission stage prior to development. Five sites were built on land with previously higher amenity value, and three were built on land that previously had lower amenity value including derelict industrial land. Specifically, the research found that house price changes in the surrounding streets and the broader three or four digit postcode districts suggest that new developments may stabilise or even increase prices in the immediate areas once development is complete where the market is generally stable and rising. They also suggest that there is almost no evidence of Longer term negative impacts. For sites where a high level of opposition was experienced throughout the planning and construction processes, this opposition tended to decrease once the development is completed. In one case where there were high levels of opposition, at least half of all eventual purchasers of the new homes previously lived within five miles of the development. ‘Few would argue that the UK needs to build substantially more homes to avoid a housing crisis, but despite this, local opposition remains one of the main obstacles to achieving this,’ said Neil Smith, head of research and innovation at NHBC. ‘It is understandable that home owners will be anxious to protect their investment in their homes, and concerns about the negative effects of new developments have compounded the issue,’ he explained. ‘While there are clearly a number of factors affecting property values in specific areas, this research challenges the assumption that new build developments will adversely affect local house prices,’ he added. Philip Barnes, group land and planning director at Barratt Developments Plc, acknowledged that one of the understandable fears of new development is that… Continue reading
Property prices creeping up on Spanish island of Mallorca
Property prices in the Spanish island of Mallorca are creeping up for the most sought after locations and sales are also rising, including at the lower end of the market. The latest real estate analysis of the island’s property markets shows that the recovery is well underway with prices up by an average of 10% for the best quality homes in the top destinations. Indeed, Engel & Völkers, which has 16 offices around the island, reports that sales increased by 27% in the first half of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014. The firm says that confidence in the market and a flux of foreign buyers, mainly German speaking, British and Scandinavian, have fuelled the initial price increases of 10% to 15% for top quality properties in high demand prime locations. Hot spots tend to be coastal locations such as Andratx in the south west of the island where, according to the latest Spanish land registry figures for 2014, Engel & Völkers dominated the market in Andratx and accounted for 70% of all transaction volume. In Palma the historic old town and the fashionable port areas of Portixol and Molinar apartments with outdoor space are at a premium and for these type of properties prices have increased by approximately 10% over this time last year. Son Vida is experiencing a boom with demand for contemporary style properties with sea views. The sale of plots has trebled since this time last year and in the South West, where over 40% of all sales are made to foreigners, prices have increased by approximately 10% over this time last year. The report says that buyers in the region are demanding top quality, sea views and Mediterranean design and new trends include concierge serviced apartments. It is predicting a further 10% increase in prices for top properties. Prices are stable in the West of the island with no significant increases recorded over last year while in the centre and South sales up by over 120% over this time last year. Prices are stable with increases of up to 10% for top locations. Hot spots in the North include Pollensa Town and the Port with increasing interest for the coastal areas of Mal Pas and Alcanada. Buyers want quality and frontline positions and prices predicated to increase by 10% in 2016. In the North East prices are stable here the lower end of the market selling well for properties under €500,000. The report says buyers are looking for bargains and specifically for fincas and townhouses which are less expensive here in comparison to other areas closer to Palma. In the South East the sales picture is similar to this time last year with prices remaining stable. The area continues to represent good value and investors are currently buying a range of properties from €300,000 to €3 million. Continue reading
UK house price sentiment dips slightly
The UK’s residential property market is likely to see continued house price momentum in the second half of 2015 but sentiment is down from last year’s highs, the latest index shows. Households still believe the value of their homes is rising and the July House Price Sentiment Index from Knight Frank and Markit Economics has now been in positive territory for 28 months in a row. However, July’s reading of 58.6 was a slight decrease on the 59.5 recorded in June, but it was still the second highest reading so far this year, an indication that households across the UK are still confidence that house prices are rising. Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit Economics, pointed out that UK house price sentiment in July was comfortably above the year and a half lows seen during February. ‘A gradual rebound in households’ property value perceptions has been underpinned by strong demand conditions so far this summer, alongside an underlying lack of supply and the continued low mortgage rate environment,’ he explained. He believes that these factors are likely to support house price momentum through the second half of 2015, but added that tighter mortgage lending rules and stretched affordability have brought down UK households’ expectations of future house price growth from last year’s record highs. Indeed, the future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, fell marginally in July to 70.2, from 70.5 in June. On a rolling three monthly basis to July the future HPSI is 70.2, the same as the previous three months, an indication that expectations for future house price growth have flat lined. ‘Overall expectations for future house price growth remain firm, underpinned by a strengthening labour market, improving economy and ultra-low mortgage rates,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘There is now more discussion about possible interest rate rises, but this, as well as the property tax announcements in the Summer Budget, has had little impact on average expectations for the direction of travel for house prices,’ she explained. ‘However, there are regional differences in the data, with the widest spread between the future HPSI reading in the North East and London than at any time since March last year, reflecting the differing dynamics of housing markets across the country, with local economic factors leading to a disparity in the levels of house price growth,’ she added. Continue reading
