TSI
Small developers could be hindered by UK court ruling on affordable homes
The UK courts have delivered a blow to small residential developers, potentially making schemes of up to 10 homes economically unviable, according to legal experts. The decision, which concerns the exemption small residential developers have previously had from contributions towards affordable housing, will particularly affect urban residential development and small rural sites, according to law firm Coffin Mew. The exemption was introduced by the government to encourage residential developers to bring forward smaller housing schemes and to redevelop compact urban and rural spaces to help meet the chronic housing shortage. However, two local authorities, Reading and West Berkshire, have successfully challenged this exemption, arguing that it would have a negative effect on affordable housing numbers. ‘This decision is a major blow for smaller residential developers looking to bring forward schemes in urban environments,’ said Nick Leavey, partner and head of commercial property at law firm Coffin Mew. ‘The economic viability of small schemes is often on a knife edge, and this decision is likely to pull the rug from underneath those difficult to develop sites. It is also likely to have a negative effect on land values for future deals, exacerbating the housing crisis in the South East further. Nobody wins from this decision,’ he added. Meanwhile, real estate industry in the UK has seen an 11% growth in jobs due to the recovery in the property market. Jobsite Indeed research found that opportunities for trainee estate agents, quantity surveyors and property managers are among the top five. London, Manchester and Birmingham top the list for vacancies. Also, the number of people actively looking for careers in this industry has increased 10% since 2014, which the firm says suggests that job seekers are starting to realise the potential within this market. ‘The return of positive conditions in the UK housing market for both buyers and sellers, suggest it’s prime time for job seekers in this sector to take advantage of such opportunities,’ said Gerard Murnaghan, Indeed’s vice president for the EMEA region. Continue reading
New home permissions reach record in NZ but not enough to meet housing shortfall
Planning permission for new homes in New Zealand in the first half of 2015 was higher than any previous year, new data shows, but not enough to match current shortfall. Between January and June 2015 some12,057 new dwellings, worth almost $4 billion, were consented, according to the figures from Statistics New Zealand. The new building consent figures show the total floor area for the new homes was 221 hectares, enough to cover an area twice the size of Wellington Airport. In the month of June some 2,042 new dwellings were consented nationally, up 2% compared with June 2014. However, in seasonally adjusted terms, the number was down 4.1% from May 2015. Numbers in Auckland increased by 18% but in Canterbury consents decreased by 13%. ‘New dwelling consents growth this month was led by Auckland, which offset the fall in Canterbury,’ said business indicators manager Clara Eatherley. The data also shows that the total value of consents for all buildings in June 2015 was $1.3 billion, comprising $832 million for residential buildings and $454 million for non-residential buildings. However the number of new homes being built in Auckland continues to fall well short of what is required to meet the region's population growth. It is estimated that 13,000 new homes a year are needed in Auckland just to keep pace with current population growth, which is an average of 1,083 consents a month. That means that current consents were just under two thirds of what is required and the supply of new homes will need to increase by around 50% from current levels before demand and supply start to get back into any sort of equilibrium. A new report suggests that Auckland's housing shortage might not peak for another three years and could last for more than a decade. According to the Auckland Council's Housing Project Office (HPO) the shortfall could rise rapidly to 25,000 homes in 2018, compared to current levels of roughly 15,000. The HPO looked at the rate of population change, the number of dwellings required, and the likely rate of consenting to estimate how many homes would need to be built between over the next 15 years. Officials said consent numbers were continuing to increase and it was not unrealistic to assume Auckland could get to 12,000 dwelling consents a year by 2021 and if 90% of consented dwellings were built, Auckland's shortfall could be eliminated by 2027. Recently the Productivity Commission put the current shortfall at 32,000 homes and said 13,000 homes would be needed each year to accommodate new growth. Continue reading
Central London prime property market set to be subdued into the autumn
Subdued activity levels in the prime central London property market are likely to continue until the autumn as buyers and sellers digest recent tax changes, a new analysis suggests. Annual growth was flat at 2%, down from 7.9% in July 2014, according to the latest prime central London sales index from real estate firm Knight Frank. Furthermore, while total sales volumes in England and Wales fell 11%, the number of £2 million plus deals in London was down by 25% in the first quarter of 2015. A breakdown of the figures for price growth in the year to July 2015 shows the biggest rise was seen in the City and Fringe with growth of 6.6%, followed by Islington at 5.8%, Mayfair at 3.6%, Southbank at 3.4% and Marylebone at 3.2%. South Kensington saw prices rise by 1.9%, St Johns Wood saw growth of 1.5%, Hyde Park 1.2% and Belgravia 1%. Price growth fell by 3.8% in Notting Hill, was down by 1.2% in both Knightsbridge and Chelsea and down 1.8% in Kensington. ‘In the period between the general election and the summer holiday, buyers in London have taken stock of new market conditions and appear less inclined to rush into making decisions,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. ‘A succession of tax changes has contributed towards low single digit annual growth, meaning buyers and sellers are more prepared to sit on the side lines until later this year, unafraid of missing out on the imminent return of stronger growth,’ he explained. ‘More discretionary buyers are waiting to see how readily recent policy changes will be absorbed. While there seems to be some short-term hesitation around recent alterations to non-dom legislation, it is December’s rise in stamp duty which appears to have had the single biggest dampening effect on demand as buyers digest the reforms,’ he pointed out. ‘Despite the strong underlying economy, the number of tax changes, which have a particularly strong impact on London, means the market is undergoing a period of readjustment,’ he added. The report explains that last December’s rise in stamp duty for properties worth more than £1.1 million appears to have contributed to more subdued activity. Indeed, London accounted for 13% of transactions across England and Wales in the first quarter of this year, but contributed 46.9% of stamp duty revenue, up from 43.4% in the same period in 2014 under the old stamp duty system. Meanwhile, properties worth in excess of £1 million in London accounted for 1% of deals in England and Wales but the revenue contribution increased to 25.8% from 19.8% last year. Overall stamp duty in England and Wales is down in the first quarter, as the government predicted, though it expects house price inflation to help make up any short fall in coming years. Continue reading
