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Steady growth for UK commercial property returns and rental values in June
Commercial property returns and rental values saw steady growth in the UK in June but capital value growth slowed, according to the latest index report. Overall, rents across the UK grew by 0.2% in June, matching the trend for the year to date despite uncertainty in the build up to the EU referendum, according to the latest CBRE Monthly Index. But capital values grew by 0.1% over the month, a drop on 0.2% in May although the 0.6% total returns for the month matched returns seen almost every month of the year to date. In the first half of 2016 as a whole, rental value growth hit 1.1%, trailing the 1.7% seen in the same period of 2015. Capital values grew by 0.6% for the first six months of 2016, some way shy of the 4.1% in the first half of 2015. Total returns were also lower, from 6.7% in the first half of 2015, to 3% in the first half of 2016. The reports says that this lower return partly reflects an increase in stamp duty land tax in March. The retail sector experienced rental growth of 0.1% in June, above trend for the year so far, but capital values, which had been flat in April and May, fell by 0.2%. Total returns in the sector were 0.3%, compared with 0.5% the month before. The industrial sector experienced a strong monthly performance, with rents increasing by 0.4%, equal to its best monthly performance in 2016. The office sector saw rents grow by 0.3% in June, an improvement on the 0.2% of both April and May and in line with trend so far this year, while capital value growth slowed slightly from 0.4% to 0.3%. London offices mirrored this overall trend. Rental values rose by 0.3%, faster than the 0.2% seen in May, and capital value growth slowed from 0.6% in May to 0.5% in June, producing total returns in June of 0.8%. The London office market saw some outliers. Rental values in West End and Midtown offices were flat, down from 0.1% growth in May, while capital value growth also cooled to 0.2% from 0.5% in May. Offices in the City of London also experienced muted growth in the month, with rental growth of 0.2% and capital value growth of 0.1%, down from 0.6% and 0.3% respectively in May. ‘Overall, rents and capital values continued to grow in June, with the industrial sector in particular showing strong growth in a month of significant uncertainty. Clearly, capital value growth has slowed, but occupier demand has remained high across the country, pushing up All Property rental growth as fast as any other month this year,’ said Miles Gibson, head of research at CBRE UK. ‘These figures reflect CBRE valuations carried out in the days immediately following the referendum vote, but July’s monthly index will give a much clearer… Continue reading
Average rents in England and Wales fall by 0.2% month on month
Average rents for homes to let across England and Wales fell 0.2% in May month on month and now stand at £792 per month, according to the latest index data. This compares to a long term average monthly rise of 0.4% over every May since the recession but they are still up 1.8% over the last 12 months, the data from the buy to let index from Your Move and Reeds Rains shows. However, on an annual basis rents have seen half the annual rate of rental growth seen at the start of 2016, when in January this stood previously at 3.6%. According to Adrian Gill, director of lettings agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, the number of properties to let coming on the rental market has disrupted the normal dynamics of supply and demand. ‘Landlords escaping a much larger stamp duty bill by completing their purchases before 1st April have now finished their repairs and paperwork, with these homes to let competing for tenants in May and into June. That short term mismatch has made May an exceptional month, with excellent deals available for some prospective tenants,’ he explained. He believes that overall the tax changes to the buy-to-let industry will discourage some property investors, and most of the properties that became available to let in May will have been planned purchases brought forward from later in the year. ‘The net effect will not be more properties to let, quite the opposite. If new regulations and taxes produce a drought of homes to let, then the overall shortage of housing in the UK will only bite harder for tenants. Meanwhile, this heightened shortage and possibly higher rents as a result could also protect landlords somewhat from the financial effects of more punitive rules and regulations,’ Gill pointed out. A breakdown of the figures show that rent rises in London have slowed to just 1.0% over the year to May 2016. This compares to a peak seen in September 2015 when rents in London were 11.6% higher than a year before at the time. By contrast, the East Midlands have witnessed rent rises of 7.3% over the year, followed by the West Midlands with 5.5% annual rent rises and the East of England with 3.6%. All 10 regions of England and Wales have seen rents in May higher than a year ago. However the joint slowest annual rent rises have been in Wales and the South East, both seeing rents rise just 0.5% over the last 12 months. London also leads the negative trend on a monthly basis with average rents in the capital falling 0.7% between April and May, a faster drop compared to a more modest drop of 0.2% in the month before. London is followed by the East Midlands where rents are 0.6% lower than a month ago and Yorkshire and the… Continue reading
Average rent for a two bed home in London set to surpass £2,000 a month
Average monthly rents for two bedroom homes are expected to reach £2,000 by the late summer of this year, according to new research. It currently stands at £1,867 per calendar month, up 2% already since the beginning of the year, according to the London Rental Market Report from estate agents Portico. Given that tenancies which begin in September are typically 11% higher than tenancies that begin in December, Portico is predicting that two bedroom rents will reach £2,008 per calendar month by September this year. And with two people sharing the cost of a two bedroom home, that is £1,004 per calendar month each, this shared rent figure will use 46% of the average London monthly net salary. The report shows that Ealing has seen the largest increase in rent at 6.9%, taking the rent for a two bedroom home to £1,825 per calendar month, followed by Richmond-upon-Thames at £1,934 for two bedrooms per calendar month, a rise of 6%, and Lambeth at £2,051, a rise of 5.8%. However, average rents have fallen for two bedroom homes across seven London boroughs, including Westminster and Kensington and Chelsea where they are down by 5.7% and 1.1% respectively. Bromley has recorded the greatest decline in monthly rents for all properties with a reduction of 6.3% over the first quarter of this year, followed by Hillingdon with a fall of 4.4% and Kingston-upon-Thames down 4.1%. ‘The majority of London boroughs are seeing rent increases anywhere from 1% to almost 7% so for landlords who may be feeling under particular pressure given recent government announcements, this may provide some welcome news,’ said Robert Nichols, Portico managing director. ‘But our latest report also shows some significant rent drops. Bromley is down over 6% with Kingston and Hillingdon also experiencing 4% falls. All in all, these declines won't prevent the average two bed rent tipping over the £2,000 mark later this year,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures show that the largest increase in rent for all home types was in Hammersmith and Fulham along with Lambeth with a rise of 4.7%, followed by Ealing at 4.6%, Westminster at 4.3% and Kensington and Chelsea at 4.2%. For two bedroom homes the largest rent increase was in Ealing at 6.9%, followed by Richmond-upon-Thames at 6%, Lambeth at 5.8%, Lewisham at 5.2% and Wandsworth at 5.1%. The largest decrease in rents for all home types was in Bromley with a fall of 6.3%, while rents were down by 4.4% in Hillingdon, by 4.1% in Kingston-upon-Thames, by 4% in Haringey and by 3.7% in Enfield. For two bedroom homes the largest fall in rents was in Westminster with a decline of 5.7%, followed by Harrow which fell 3%, Bromley down by 2.6%, Redbridge by 1.3% and Enfield by 1.3%. Continue reading
