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England and Wales house prices break new record, even as monthly growth falters
House prices in England and Wales increase £16,446 annually to £290,640, a 6% increase on November last year, according to the latest index figures. But the monthly rate of house price growth fell to 0.6%, slower than the 0.9% monthly uplift seen in October, the data from the Your Move index also shows. Excluding London and the South East, the annual rate of change drops to 4.4% but the capital is not seeing the strongest growth. While the South East overtook East Anglia as the region with the fastest growth in house prices, London dropped to fourth. The index also shows that home sales fell 15% in November, with completed sales for the year still 3.4% behind the same point in 2014. It is predicted that the Stamp Duty 3% surcharge on second homes and buy to let buyers may cause a late winter surge as these kind of buyers hurry to beat the April 2016 deadline for the new higher rate. Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents, pointed out that despite being within grasping distance of the £300,000 mark, it may be a few months yet before average prices reach this symbolic level. He also pointed out that house prices in the South East have risen by an average of 7.1% this month, with values increasing in every local authority in the area. ‘It appears that the double digit price rises first seen in the prime London market, then the other London boroughs, are now rippling out even further to London’s commuter towns, with house prices in Reading rising by 18.3% and Luton increasing 17.3%,’ he explained. He believes that the housing market will need a Christmas boost to sales to beat last year’s figures. And the Chancellor’s changes could be the gift required. ‘House prices soared in the five months following Nigel Lawson’s withdrawal of the multiple mortgage tax relief in 1988,’ said Gill. ‘More recently in Scotland, after the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax was announced there was also a surge in the sales of high end properties to beat the deadline. England and Wales may now feel the same forces, as there will be a growth in demand from both first time buyers with extra financial support and buy to let landlords hoping to invest before the tax changes come into force,’ he explained. ‘While the Chancellor has planned to increase the number of houses being built, none of these will be completed in the next few months. As the number of houses on the market is at an historically low level, those rushing for the April deadline will be fighting for a decreasing number of properties. So we could see a spike in both house prices and sales over the normally frosty winter period,’ he added. He said that this potential surge in demand could be most obvious in places like Salcombe, Devon. The town has the highest percentage of second homes in England. In… Continue reading
Home lending in UK up by 8.5%, but some sectors seeing falls in recent months
Lending for home purchases in the UK increased by 8.5% year on year to £43.5 billion in the third quarter of 2015, according to the latest data from the Bank of England. However, the data also shows that the proportion of lending to first time buyers decreased in the quarter by 0.3% to 20.4% while the value of residential loans advanced to first time buyers increased by £0.6 billion from the third quarter of 2014 to £12.7 billion. The buy to let proportion of lending also decreased from 15.8% in the second quarter of 2015 to 15.6% in the third quarter of 2015 but increased by 1.3% from the third quarter of 2014. Advances, which include by to let remortgages, increased over the past year from £8 billion advanced in the third quarter of 2014 to £9.7 billion in the third quarter of 2015. This is the highest level of advances since the first quarter of 2009. Buy to let balances outstanding were £174 billion in the third quarter of 2015, which, at 14.5% of total residential balances is the highest proportion since the series began in 2007. The data also shows that the proportion of remortgages decreased from 26.2% in the second quarter of 2015 to 24.1% in the third quarter while the proportion of other new lending decreased from 3.6% to 3.4%. The proportion of gross advances at a loan to value (LTV) of over 90% decreased by 0.7% to 2.8% in the third quarter of 2015 while the proportion of gross advances to borrowers with a single income multiple of more than four time increased by 0.9% to 10.3%. According to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, we can expect to see borrowing advance further after the Chancellor’s stimuli unveiled in the Autumn Statement. ‘With £15 billion of funding for housing measures taking prominence in his agenda, this will have given the green light to a queue of first time buyers, particularly in London, where there will be a designated Help to Buy scheme to reflect the accelerated house price growth in the capital, and the extra booster needed to help buyers onto the ladder,’ he said. ‘First time buyers have already been making tracks in the third quarter and in London we’ve seen this as part of wider demographic shift as domestic players and mortgage buyers become more prevalent in the housing market, while overseas investors take a temporary step back to digest the higher stamp duty payable on top-end purchases,’ he explained. ‘But proportionally, across the country, remortgaging activity has been taking up a larger chunk of the lending pie recently, as existing home owners try to build up their defences ahead of an expected interest rate rise in 2016. But the rankings may change in the run up to April’s stamp duty increase for second homes, and buy to let lending is likely to rev up quickly, as investors… Continue reading
Property stamp duty costs in Australia up almost 8% in six months
Stamp duty taxes on property in Australia have increased by 7.9% in the last six months and the bill is now equivalent to almost four months’ worth of earnings, the latest research shows. According to the report from the Housing Industry Association in November 2015 the typical stamp duty bill nationally rose to $19,045 from $17,653 in June. The report also points out that stamp duty is causing mortgage repayments to increase by $1,165 per year, or $34,955 over a 30vyear loan term. ‘The cost of stamp duty has a significant negative multiplier effect causing a downward financial spiral for households. Apart from the immediate effect of being over $19,000 worse off, stamp duty results in mortgage interest payments increasing by about $15,900,’ said HIA senior economist, Shane Garrett. ‘Damage from the tide of stamp duty doesn’t stop there. Home buyers have smaller deposits after stamp duty is paid and must bear larger mortgage debt. As a result, significantly higher LMI charges must then be paid,’ he explained. ‘On a standard home purchase of $527,000, stamp duty can push the LMI premium up by another $7,855. If that’s not bad enough, a further layer of mortgage interest is added on top of the LMI premium if it is capitalised,’ he pointed out. ‘The end result is that the typical stamp duty bill of $19,045 can snowball up to about $50,000 once LMI and mortgage interest are factored in. This is an unacceptable burden to place on ordinary home buyers,’ he added. ‘As state governments rely more and more on revenue from stamp duty, they have been blinded to the obvious consequences of these costs have on prospective first home buyers. Last week’s Productivity Commission report also noted the huge disincentive that stamp duty places on older households wishing to downsize,’ he concluded. A breakdown of the figures show that buyer in the Northern Territory Shane continued to suffer the highest stamp duty bills at $25,600, followed by Victoria at $24,700 and New South Wales at $23,600. Queensland continued to offer the lowest stamp duty bills by a comfortable margin at $6,300 followed by Tasmania at $9,300. Stamp duty bills are the fourth highest in the ACT at $18,400, followed by Western Australia at $16,300 and South Australia at $15,400. Continue reading
