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Demand for UK commercial property surges, latest analysis shows
Demand for commercial property in the UK is growing close to its fastest pace since 1998 and, along with a surge in investment, reflects the widening economic recovery, according to the latest survey. In the first quarter of 2015 the UK saw its 10th consecutive quarterly acceleration of demand for commercial properties, with 46% more respondents seeing greater interest, the commercial market report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows. Occupier activity is now at its highest since 1998, highlighting a more broadly balanced economic expansion, says RICS and overseas buyer enquiries are 34% more compared to 17% in the fourth quarter of 2014. In the investment market, enquiries also increased significantly, with 49% more surveyors seeing more prospective investors, continuing the trend of rising demand which began towards the end of 2012. The survey also reveals that availability is falling with 38% more surveyors seeing fewer commercial properties on the market and RICS says that the impact of these tighter market conditions on rental expectations has resulted in them edging upwards to the highest headline level reading since 1998. This is particularly apparent across the industrial and office sectors, while retail rental expectations continue to lag behind. Looking ahead respondents expect, the office sector to perform most strongly with London leading the way despite increasing concerns over the valuation of prime property in the capital. Significantly, there is also increasing confidence that the more upbeat mood will impact on secondary space with rents and capital projections positive in all locations. According to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, the strength of the latest commercial property survey suggests that the underlying momentum of the economy will continue to accelerate through the course of this year. ‘What is particularly encouraging is that a better tone to the results is visible in all parts of the country and increasingly in secondary as well as prime space. Given that these indicators have historically provided a strong steer as to the performance of the economy two to three quarters out, it is hard not to be encouraged by the conclusions of this report,’ he explained. Mark Bladon at Investec Structured Property Finance, said that the lack of supply is also having an impact on investment strategies with more investors looking at alternative opportunities in the search for more attractive yields. ‘Student accommodation has long been viewed as an alternative asset class but Investec believes it could be now be viewed as mainstream. We are also seeing consolidation in other alternative property sectors such as serviced apartments and retirement living, where yields are higher,’ he pointed out. ‘For momentum to continue, or for the alternative sectors to reach their full potential, the financing market will need to remain nimble and innovative in the face of these shifting trends,’ he added. Continue reading
UK residential rents up by over 2% in last 12 months, latest data shows
Private residential rental prices paid by tenants in Great Britain rose by 2.1% in the 12 months to March 2015, the latest index shows. Rental prices grew by 2.1% in England, 2.1% in Scotland and 0.8% in Wales in the 12 months to March 2015, according to the data from the Office of National Statistics. Rental prices increased in all the English regions over the year to March 2015, with rental prices increasing the most in London at 3.2%, the data also shows. It's no surprise rents are rising, according to Matt Hutchinson, director of flat and house share site SpareRoom.co.uk. ‘We have a chronic shortage of housing in the areas where jobs are being created, so rents continue to rise as supply fails to meet demand. In some areas of London we're seeing up to 13 people compete for every room advertised during peak months,’ he explained. He believes that whoever forms the next government after next month’s general election will need to look at introducing policies aimed at making housing, of all tenures, genuinely affordable. ‘The upward pressure on rents is rapidly making the situation both unmanageable and unsustainable for tenants,’ he added. Steve Bolton, chairman of Platinum Property Partners, pointed out that the blame for rising rental prices is often attributed to landlords, but it is because there are simply not enough suitable rental properties coming on to the market. ‘Rental demand is growing as first time buyers struggle to access the housing market and the UK’s workforce becomes increasingly mobile. At the same time, the number of new rental properties is lagging behind, creating a dangerous imbalance between supply and demand that is pushing rental prices upwards,’ he said. ‘Buy to let investors need to consider how they can meet growing rental demand in a way that is affordable for consumers. Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs) are a great way of creating high quality rental accommodation by making the most of existing housing stock,’ he explained. ‘They are also far more affordable than renting a one bedroom flat, providing young professionals with high quality accommodation that also enables them to save for their long term financial goals,’ he added. Continue reading
UK election not harming house price sentiment, latest index suggests
Households in the UK perceive that the value of their home rose in April despite the uncertainty being created by the country’s forthcoming general election, the latest sentiment index shows. Some 20.9% of the 1,500 households surveyed across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 4.5% reported a fall, according to the House Price Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. This gave the HPSI a reading of 58.2, the 25th consecutive month that the reading has been above 50 and a slight increase on last month’s reading of 57.5, suggesting that households believe prices continued to rise in spite of the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election. ‘The outcome of the election may be uncertain, but there are some key factors underpinning house prices at present. Confidence in the economy continues to grow while the cost of living has stopped rising,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Mortgage rates have dipped to a new low, making owning a home for those who can clinch a mortgage deal cheaper than at any time before. The cost of buying a home for the majority of purchasers has also fallen after the reform of stamp duty in December last year. A lack of supply of homes for sale in recent months has also boosted prices,’ she explained. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, also rose in April to 70.2, up from 69.6 in March and the highest reading so far this year. According to Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit, the UK housing market showed resilience in the face of upcoming election uncertainty, with April’s survey highlighting the first back to back monthly rise in house price sentiment for almost a year. ‘Reduced pressure on household finances, improving labour market conditions and low mortgage rates continued to support house price sentiment in April. However, stretched affordability and tighter lending conditions are keeping a lid on house price momentum,’ he said. He pointed out that on a regional basis, people living in the East of England are the most likely to anticipate rising property values over the next 12 months, followed by those living in the South East. Meanwhile, the gap between UK wide house price growth expectations and those in the capital fell to its joint lowest since the start of 2011. The report also shows that some 6.5% of UK households said they planned to buy a property in the next 12 months, up from 5.7% in March. On a regional basis, nearly one in 10 households in Wales is planning a purchase in the next 12 months, followed by those in the East of England where 9.5% of households said they would be buying a property in 2015. Individuals aged between 25 and 34 are more likely to be considering buying a home in… Continue reading
