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Downward house growth trend in UK continues, says latest index report

UK house prices increased by 0.3% in May and the annual price growth figures moderated to 4.6% from 5.2% in April, according to the latest index figures. The data from the Nationwide Building Society confirms a gradual downward trend that takes the average price in the country to £195,166. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that this general trend has been in evidence since the summer of 2014 but was briefly interrupted in April when price growth edged up to 5.2% from 5.1% in March. However, annual house price growth is now running at less than half the pace prevailing in the middle of 2014. ‘Over the longer term we would expect house price growth to converge with earnings growth, which has typically been around 4% per annum. However, much will depend on supply side developments and in recent years the rate of building activity has remained well below that required to keep up with population growth,’ Gardner explained. The index report shows that cash transactions remain relatively high in the UK residential market. ‘We estimate that the share of cash purchases in the housing market reached an all-time high of 38% in the first quarter of 2015,’ said Gardner. ‘Continued healthy demand from cash buyers has helped to support transaction levels in recent quarters, since mortgage lending has remained relatively subdued. For example, in the first quarter of 2015 overall housing transactions were down by around 5% compared with the first quarter of 2014, while mortgage completions were around 11% lower,’ he pointed out. ‘Although the 38% share was a record, it was only modestly above the average of 36% prevailing in 2014. The significant rise in the share of cash transactions occurred in the wake of the financial crisis, where a tightening in credit conditions and a deterioration in the labour market limited the number of people able to buy with a mortgage,’ he added. Gardner also said that the current low interest rate environment is likely to have supported the flow of cash into other asset classes in recent years, including UK residential property. The Nationwide data suggests that the share of cash purchases in London is not out of line with the rest of the UK, which can be regarded as a surprise, given the greater involvement of investors, both domestic and overseas, in the London property market. ‘A limiting factor may be that house prices in the capital are over twice as high as the rest of the UK at £408,780 versus £188,566 in the first quarter of 2015,’ added Gardner. Continue reading

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Number of mortgages for UK first time buyers doubles in three years

The number of mortgage products available to first time buyers in the UK has doubled in the last three years, while rates have dropped by 1%, new research shows. Since 2012 the number of 95% mortgages available has increased by 448%, according to a study from online comparison site MoneySuperMarket. But the firm says that first time buyers should always be mindful of the whole cost of a mortgage and not be lured by a headline rate. The number of overall mortgage products available to first time buyers is currently 2,776 and this is partly due to the Government’s Help to Buy scheme. In addition, the average rate on first time buyer mortgages has dropped by 1% in the last three years to 3.26%. With the average loan to value (LTV) required for first time buyers remaining flat over the last three years at 79% compared to 78% in April 2012, those looking to get their first foot on the ladder would need to find a deposit of £31,500 on a £150,000 property. However, under the scheme a 5% deposit on the same property would cost £7,500. The research says there are 170 mortgage deals currently on the market available to those with just a 5% deposit, an increase of 448% since 2012 when only 31 products available. In addition, average rates have decreased by 1.04% to 4.72% on average. ‘The increase in the number of first time buyer mortgages, and the corresponding fall in interest rates, can only mean good news for those looking to get a foot on the ladder. Even better, borrowers who can scrape together a 10 or even 15% deposit will find they are able to get their hands on more competitive deals,’ said Kevin Mountford, head of banking at MoneySuperMarket. ‘The introduction of the Government’s Help to Buy ISA which will see the Government provide up to £3,000 towards a first time buyer’s deposit, could also help prospective home owners get themselves into a new LTV bracket, thus helping them secure a more competitive deal,’ he added. But he pointed out that for anyone looking to buy their first home, it’s important not to be led by interest rates alone when comparing mortgages. ‘Expensive fees can wipe out the potential benefit of a lower rate so it’s worth doing the sums first to ensure you really are getting a great deal,’ he said. ‘Whilst mortgage approvals were up 7% overall on March, this doesn’t mean that lenders’ criteria is becoming more relaxed. After the introduction of the Mortgage Market Review, borrowers not only need to have a strong credit score, they also need to prove that they can afford the mortgage they’re applying for, not only at its current rate but, if rates should rise in the future,’ he explained. ‘Finally, also think about whether you want a fixed or variable rate deal. Fixed provides security that your rate won’t change during the term of the deal. Whilst… Continue reading

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House prices in England and Wales up 0.9%, month on month, latest index shows

House prices in England and Wales increased by 0.9% in April and 5.1% year on year to an average of £179,817, according to the latest index from the Land Registry. But price are still below the peak of the market in November 2007 when prices averaged £181,014. The April data also shows that the London market continues to grow with prices up 2.3% month on month and 10.9% year on year, taking the average price of property in the capital to £474,544. The North East saw the only annual price fall with a decrease of 0.6%. However it is Yorkshire and the Humber which has experienced the greatest monthly price rise with growth of 2.7% while Wales saw the largest monthly decrease with a fall of 1.1%. Overall the number of property transactions has decreased over the last year. From November 2013 to February 2014 there was an average of 73,156 sales per month. In the same months a year later, the figure was 64,196. Government investment in the north of England could be responsible for the boost in some northern regions, according to experts. According to Nicholas Leeming, chairman of national estate agents Jackson-Stops & Staff. ‘London continues to outperform the rest of the country, even though sales levels over £1 million were down year on year in February, probably due to the threat of mansion tax. But increased investment in Yorkshire, Humberside and the evolution of the Northern Powerhouse in Manchester have contributed to a surge in confidence in these areas. Greater Manchester is shaping up to be a great place to invest as major London companies continue to establish a presence in the City,’ he explained. Continue reading

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