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Average prices in England and Wales up 0.4% in May to new high
Average house prices in England and Wales increased by 0.4% in May to reach a new high of £277,178, the fourth price record set this year, the latest index data shows. However monthly property price growth is still only a third what it was a year ago, according to the LSL house price index. Year on year price were up 4.5% and excluding London the annual growth was 4.4% as London was knocked into fourth place with price rises accelerating in North of England. Only a few months ago price rises in London were skewing the annual figure, but not anymore. Indeed, the data shows that home values in Kensington and Chelsea are now 16% below their peak in the autumn 2014. The LSL index data also shows that home sales were down 14% year on year in May as a lack of supply suppresses housing market activity. Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents, pointed out that the 0.4% boost in compares to 1.2% at the same point 12 months ago, but he believes that the recovery is still underway. He also pointed out that there are now only four regions across the country where house prices are still dallying below 2007/2008 benchmarks and it is those areas which have most catching up to do and where price increases have typically been smaller, where growth is now accelerating. For instance, while average property values in the North are still 4% lower than during the pre-crisis years, this region has experienced the fastest increase in the rate of annual growth recently, up from 2.3% in March to 3.6% in April. Price rises in the North West, South West, and East Midlands are also on the up, at the same time that growth in London is waning. ‘This has knocked the capital back into fourth position in the rankings of regional house price growth over the past 12 with the annual rise in London estimated to now be less than 12% of what it was in of July last year and 2.4% in May 2015, down from 20.7% in the summer of 2014,’ explained Gill. He also explained that on a monthly basis, London house prices have dropped for the third successive month since the start of the year. It is the higher priced boroughs which have seen the biggest price falls, and Gill said this is a side effect of costlier stamp duty on top-end properties. For example, home values in Kensington and Chelsea, the most expensive London borough, have dropped 6% in the past year, and are now 16% below their peak in September 2014. This falloff at the top tiers of the market has cooled activity levels too. Home sales in London have dropped 16% year on year in the three months to April 2015, the most significant drop-off of all regions. Continue reading
Fewer homes coming onto the market in UK, despite positive election result
Hopes for a post-election supply bounce in the UK residential market fail to materialise and selling instructions fell for the fourth month in a row, according to the latest monthly report. Indeed, the average stock of houses per surveyor has fallen by around 12% since the start of 2015, the data from the May report by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors shows. But prices are not suffering with 38% more surveyors expecting higher house prices over three next three months and new buyer enquiries are rising at the fastest rate in over a year. The RICS report shows that house prices rose again in May, and at a quicker pace than in April, as the stock of homes per UK surveyor fell to a record low since the data series began in January 1978. While 34% more surveyors saw prices rise in May, the same month in which the Nationwide Building Society estimated that the average price of a home in the UK has now climbed to £195,000, supply to the market declined with 19% more surveyors reporting a drop in new instructions. Despite the rise in new buyer enquiries, which increased from a net balance of 4% in April to 18% in May, many respondents to the survey expressed some surprise at the lack of post-election bounce in fresh supply following the unexpectedly decisive outcome to the poll. The North West and London saw the sharpest drop in instructions compared with April. More ominously, UK wide listings have now failed to see any meaningful growth since the middle of 2013. Additionally, although respondents' reported a slight improvement in credit conditions with higher perceived loan to value ratios on mortgages to first time buyers and existing home owners, the average number of newly agreed sales per surveyor rose only very marginally to 19, down from 23 in May 2014 and up from 18.9 in April 2015. At a regional level, unbalanced price growth continues to be particularly marked across the market. Surveyors reported the highest price growth over the last three months in the North West, Northern Ireland, East Anglia and the South West. But London is now seeing a slight turnaround, following seven consecutive months in which the net balance for prices was in negative territory, it has now been positive for two months in succession. In the lettings market, tenant demand continued to increase in May on a non-seasonally adjusted basis extending an uninterrupted run of demand growth into a fifth straight month and respondents' anticipate rents will rise across all parts of the UK over the next three months, with expectations most elevated in the East Midlands and the South West. ‘There had been some hope that the removal of political uncertainty would encourage more properties onto the market but the initial indications are that this is not proving to be the case. As a result, it is hardly surprising that prices across much of the… Continue reading
Prime London lettings market sees demand exceed supply post-election
The prime London lettings market has experienced a complete shift this month from a quiet lull before the election to a mass influx of new applicants registering since polling day. The latest market report from agency W.A. Ellis, part of the JLL Group, indicates that while the mid-term break is normally a quiet period this year the firm has seen a 20% increase in tenancies starting year on year with the seasonal student market in full swing and demand exceeding supply. However, Lucy Morton, director at the firm, pointed out that when trying to secure accommodation for the start of the school year in September, few landlords will agree to their property sitting empty until then so it may be necessary for students to wait until July or August before starting their search, or take their chosen property now in order to secure it. ‘Our market share in super prime continues to rise month by month with huge success in the super prime sector of the London lettings market recently,’ she explained. This included a six bedroom house in Herbert Crescent with a guide price of £8,950 per week and a seven bedroom house in Justice Walk with a guide price of £8,500 per week. ‘This time last year we informed you of Mayor of London Boris Johnson’s launch of the London Rental Standard (LRS). People differ in opinion as to whether this scheme has been a success or not, however, the Mayor’s office has pointed to figures showing 331 lettings agents managing an estimated 121,000 properties have already signed up. We fully support the initiative,’ added Morton. Continue reading
