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UK house prices set to rise by 6% this year, says RICS
Acceleration in national house price growth in the UK is being reinforced by the continued imbalance between falling new instructions to sell and rising buyer demand, according to the latest market report. The August 2015 residential market survey report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) says that the shortage of housing stock is driving prices higher and the organisation now predicts that house prices are set to rise by 6% in 2015. The RICS price indicator reached a 15 month high in August, with a net balance of 53% more respondents reporting price-rises, and firm growth being seen across all areas of the UK. Further analysis, using Office for National Statistics’ data as the comparator, indicates that prices now look likely to rise in the region of 6% over the course of 2015, compared with 3% predicted at the beginning of the year. The strongest price growth is forecast in Northern Ireland, where prices are now anticipated to rise by 11% throughout 2015. Both near and medium term price expectations series from the survey are reflective of the imbalance between demand and supply. Some 37% more members are expecting prices to continue to rise over the next three months and 76% over the coming year. Meanwhile the agreed sales balance edged upwards for the fourth successive month but a more robust recovery in activity is continuing to be held back in part by the lack of stock on the market. The data also shows that new buyer enquiries increased for a fifth month in succession, with 22% of respondents reporting a rise in demand, led by significant improvements in the West Midlands, Wales and the North West. New instructions, however, have yet to record any meaningful upturn since the middle of 2013, pushing average stock levels to record lows. 'While the UK housing market has seen some substantial volatility in demand over the last 18 months, the most consistent feature has been a distinct shortage of new instructions,' said RICS economist Michael Hanley. 'With respondents reporting another fall in appraisals during August, and looking at general market conditions, we have no reason to believe this will change in the near term. Therefore, despite the fact that demand has been picking up in recent months, we have lowered our forecast for transactions for 2015 from 1.25 million to 1.2 million. Alongside this, we have revised our expectations for price gains this year up to 6%,' he explained. When it come to the lettings market the report reveals that tenant demand rose at a steady pace for the eighth successive month, outstripping the modest pick-up in new landlord instructions. Accordingly, rents are expected to increase in the near term, with 34% of respondents predicting a rise in rents during the next three months. 'Given current market conditions, the latest data unsurprisingly shows house prices continuing to rise, and at an accelerating pace. As such, house price inflation has now quickened in each of the last seven months following a sustained period of easing towards the… Continue reading
UK sees strong month on month price growth, latest index shows
Residential property prices in the UK increased by 2.7% between July and August and are up 9% compared with a year ago, according to the latest index figures from the Halifax. The data from the lender also shows that on a quarterly basis, from June to August, prices were 3% higher than in the previous three month period. It is the biggest monthly price rise since May 2014 when it was 3.8% but the index report points out that monthly movements can be volatile and the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend. The index report also shows that buying still cheaper than renting. The average monthly costs associated with buying a three bedroom house in the UK for a first time buyer was £666 in June 2015, some 8% or £56 lower than the typical monthly rent paid on the same property type at £722 a month. With the price of a typical first time buyer home rising by 8% over the past year, the difference between the cost of owning and the cost of renting has narrowed from £85 to £56 over the past year. 'The underlying pace of house price growth is strong. The shortage of second hand properties for sale on the market is resulting in upward pressure on house prices,' said Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. 'At the same time, economic recovery, real earnings growth and very low mortgage rates are supporting housing demand. Strengthening demand and highly constrained supply are likely to mean that house price growth continues to be robust in the short term,' he added. However, according to Rob Weaver, director of property at residential investment platform Property Partner, for many people, weak supply and the resultant price growth have become an almost insurmountable barrier to getting on the property ladder. 'With supply so low, consumer confidence healthy and mortgage rates still at record lows, strong price growth is a trend that can only continue in the months ahead. If prices carrying on rising at this rate, even many haves will become property have nots,' he said. 'House price growth in August hit its highest level in 16 months, as the number of homes being marketed fell to record low levels. Sellers are just not coming to the market and no-one really has an answer to how to tempt them back,' he explained. 'We are in danger of seeing the days of free wheeling price growth, and we know where that ended up. There needs to be a focus on creating more supply, because without properties coming to the market, prices will continue to grow and the market will continue to become more and more volatile,' he added. Jonathan Hopper, managing director of the buying agents Garrington Property Finders, believes that price growth is being driven by a curious mixture of strength and starvation. 'Britain's economic strengths of wage growth, low inflation and bullish sentiment, are… Continue reading
Apartments near Royal Parks in central London attract high price premium
The selling prices of apartments situation on roads surrounding the five central Royal Parks in London have increased by 172% in the last decade, new research has found. This is compared to prices for other prime properties in London that are not close to this prestigious group of green space that include Regent’s Park, Kensington Gardens, Hyde Park, Green Park and St James’ Park. Hyde Park, which stretches across central London, has seen the greatest rises. Between 2013 and 2014 alone, the premium commanded by properties in close proximity to the park was 23.8%, according to the Parkside premium Report by Dataloft. 'London as a city is rightly proud of its green spaces, which define the centre of London and provide more outside public space than New York, Paris or Tokyo. The Parkside Premium Report mirrors our experience of the market,' said Gary Hersham of Beauchamp Estates. He explained that living next to a park is increasingly a priority for many buyers in the prime London property market.'In 2012, for example, an influx of super luxury developments pushed the premium for living parkside to 32% over other prime central London areas,' he said, adding that close proximity to a Royal Park is a pre-requisite of many high net worth individuals purchasing in London. Hyde Park, in the borough of Westminster, is the most sought after park to live close to. The south side of Hyde Park, driven by key sales in developments such as One Hyde Park and 4-5 Princes Gate, has reportedly achieved sales values of up to £9,000 per square feet and in doing so set record prices in London. The report notes that the north side of Hyde Park has achieved values of around £3,500 per square feet. The north side of the park also has less of a gap between parkside properties and the surrounding areas when compared to the south, with a 43.2% premium to live parkside for the north versus a 67.7% premium for apartment properties on the south. Hersham pointed out that the rise in the premium for parkside properties boosted by UK domestic buyers. Some 26% of those living around Hyde Park also own another home and 38% are within the UK. The report also shows that apartments by the five central London Royal Parks have commanded a premium of 20% in the year 2014/2015, compared to just a 5% premium in 2005. The most marked jump in price premiums for living parkside was between 2006 and 2007, with an 11% rise in premiums. This can be explained by the myriad of luxury developments launched that year such as One Hyde Park, which reportedly set the world record for a penthouse selling price. The report also looks towards the future of this sector of the property market. 'The report shows beyond all doubt the difference that being situated next to a Royal Park can… Continue reading




