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Prices dip in prime outer London as election cools demand
Prices in prime outer London fell in October, ending a period of 40 consecutive months of growth, according to the latest report from Knight Frank. A decrease of 0.2% was the first fall since May 2011, which meant annual growth slowed to 10.1% from 11.8% in September. Despite the fact annual growth eased, it exceeded the figure of 8.4% in October last year. Knight Frank forecasts growth in prime outer London will slow to 3% in 2015, predominantly due to the possibility of a mansion tax after the general election in May next year, though we expect cumulative growth of 26% between 2015 and 2019 as demand continues to exceed supply. Doubt also surrounds the timing of an interest rate rise even though weak wage growth and low inflation means the likelihood of a near term increase has receded. ‘The combination of this uncertainty and the fact prices have risen strongly over a prolonged period of time means annual growth will unavoidably slow, which it has been doing since the summer,’ said Tom Bill, He pointed out that in many cases, more realistic asking prices have re-awakened the interest of buyers. The most marked decrease was in Fulham where prices fell 1.1% in October. The area has a high number of houses worth between £2 million and £4 million, which could potentially be liable for mansion tax. Meanwhile, there was growth in east London, with prices increasing by 0.4% in Wapping and 0.1% in Canary Wharf in October, the only two Knight Frank offices in prime outer London to record a rise. Bill explained that both areas benefit from their relative proximity to London’s two financial centres of the City and Canary Wharf, the fact they have fewer £2 million plus properties and the emergence of high quality new build schemes in east London that lifts prices in the re-sales market. Rental values fell 0.1% in October and the annual decline was 0.9%. Despite the decrease, demand rose in the third quarter of 2014, which meant quarterly growth remained positive, as figure two shows. Meanwhile, yields jumped by the most in over three years to 3.59%, their highest level in seven months. The Knight Frank Prime Outer London Index, established in 1997, is the longest running and most comprehensive index covering the prime outer London residential marketplace. The index is based on a repeat valuation methodology that tracks capital values of prime outer London residential property. Continue reading
Research reveals UK estate agents tactics for making a property more sellable
British estate agents are not always popular but new research reveals the lengths they will go to sell a property by making it more suitable for viewings. They will literally don rubber gloves to clinch a sale with many opening windows to get rid of bad smells, flushing the toilet and hiding inappropriate items on display, according to the research by Big Yellow Self Storage. Many agents have had to clean properties and hide items ahead of viewings. Some 36% said they have had to open windows to get rid of smells, 31% have pushed things under a bed and 29% have tidied up mess. Others have resorted to age old tactics to increase desirability with 22% turning on lights to create the impression of greater brightness and 15% brewing fresh coffee to create a homely atmosphere. The research also shows that 21% have tidied items away into cupboards, 17% have sprayed air freshener, 12% have flushed the toilet before viewers arrive and 10% have encouraged the property owner to get rid of large items. ‘Every agent wants to get the best price they can for their sellers, but many of the ways they do this go unnoticed. Agents get a bad press, but the research reveals that they’re often going above and beyond and undertaking less appealing tasks to make sure a property is presentable at viewing time,’ said property expert Kate Faulkner. The research also reveals agent’s tips on boosting a property’s sale price. Ways that reap particular dividends include clearing kitchen of small appliances such as kettles and toasters which can add £973 in value, creating an open plan living area adding £972 in value and de-personalising the property by removing ornaments and knick knacks adding £948 in value. It also found that in some cases, de-cluttering by removing bulky items to maximise space pushed the sale price up by as much as 11%. In fact, each square foot of floor space freed up is estimated to be worth an average of £238 by agents researched. ‘The UK is in the grip of a housing squeeze with the smallest homes in Western Europe, so space is increasingly desirable for buyers, as agents well know. Our research found that a fifth of buyers wouldn’t make an offer on a property because it was too cluttered, so it’s in the interests of agents to advise vendors on how they can maximise the space in their homes to clinch that sale,’ said Anthony Chenery, Big Yellow spokesperson. Some 95% of estate agents say de-cluttering leads to homes selling for more and 38% insist it increases the sale price 'every time' and yet only 56% have recommended short term self storage to clients as an aid to selling their home. Overall the study found that two thirds of sellers who de-cluttered before viewings received a higher offer than expected of £4,811 more, on average. ‘Self storage allows vendors… Continue reading
General election set to slow UK prime property market
The UK’s prime housing market is expected to slow in the run up to next year’s election and resume steady growth thereafter, but a mansion tax could change the outlook dramatically. According to international real estate adviser Savills in its five year forecast report a mansion tax could negatively impact five year growth by an average of five percentage points. The high value prime markets, that is the top five to 10% of homes by value, have already been impacted by increased stamp duty, the introduction of an annual tax on enveloped dwellings (ATED) and the closure of certain tax loopholes. The rate of price growth has begun to slow, particularly in London. After five and half years of price growth and having absorbed a number of tax rises, London looks fully valued, particularly given the uncertainties surrounding the mansion tax as election year approaches. On this basis, Savills has issued two forecast scenarios: a central scenario and a second based on its estimates of the number of properties in different price bands over £2 million and the scale of possible mansion tax charges given current Labour party proposals. ‘Two out of the main political parties still favour some form of mansion tax so owners and buyers will be rightly factoring it into their decisions as the election approaches,’ said Sophie Chick, senior research analyst as Savills. ‘It would take some time for the markets to accurately price in the impact of a mansion tax, but the threat of it has already slowed the market. If it becomes clear that a mansion tax is to be introduced after May 2015, we would expect an immediate price adjustment before the market more rationally finds its level,’ she added. Without a mansion tax the Savills central forecast would see average prime UK house prices slipping 0.5% in 2015, assuming no further increases in the taxation of high value properties. Growth would be expected to resume post election, averaging 22.7% over the next five years across all prime London markets. Regionally, the recovery is yet to become fully established and the market has capacity for price growth to continue through next year, albeit averaging just 1%, the report says. Five year growth is forecast to average 23.9% across the UK, outperforming prime London, with prime commuter and lead city locations expected to show the strongest growth. Savills believes that a mansion tax, if implemented in the form most recently discussed, would trigger average price falls of 5% across prime London in 2015 and a fall of 3% across the prime regions. In a worst case scenario, the value of prime London properties over £10 million could fall by 10% and homes worth over £3 million regionally would fall 7%. Homes below the mansion tax threshold would not escape its effect, but the proposed progressive structure of the tax would limit the trickledown effect, with small falls of 2% anticipated. By 2017, the top end… Continue reading
