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US existing home sales fall after three months of growth
Following three straight months of gains, existing home sales in the United States dipped in August despite slowing price growth and a positive turnaround in the share of sales to first time buyers. Total existing home sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co–ops, fell 4.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.31 million in August from a slight downward revision of 5.58 million in July. While none of the four major regions saw sales increase in August, the index report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says that sales have risen year on year for 11 consecutive months and are 6.2 % above a year ago. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, explained that home sales in August lost some momentum to close out the summer. ‘Sales activity was down in many parts of the country last month, especially in the South and West, as the persistent summer theme of tight inventory levels likely deterred some buyers,’ he said. ‘The good news for the housing market is that price appreciation the last two months has started to moderate from the unhealthier rate of growth seen earlier this year,’ he added. The index also shows that the median existing home price for all housing types in August was $228,700, which is 4.7% above August 2014 when it was $218,400. The market has now seen 42 months in a row of year on year gains. The report also shows that total housing inventory at the end of August rose 1.3% to 2.29 million existing homes available for sale, but is 1.7% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 5.2 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.9 months in July. ‘With sales and overall demand higher than a year ago and supply mostly unchanged, low inventories will likely continue to limit options for those looking to buy this fall even with the overall pool of buyers shrinking because of seasonal factors,’ said Yun. The percent share of first time buyers rebounded to 32% in August, up from 28% in July and matching the highest share of the year set in May. A year ago, first time buyers represented 29% of all buyers. Yun believe that when the Federal Reserve decides to lift short term rates, which is expected later this year, the impact on mortgage rates and overall housing demand will likely not be pronounced. ‘With job growth holding steady, prospective buyers can handle any gradual rise in mortgage rates, especially if today's stronger labour market finally leads to a boost in wages and homebuilding accelerates to alleviate supply shortages and slow price growth in some markets,’ he added. NAR released a study earlier this month that examined new home construction in relation to job gains. The findings revealed that home building activity is currently insufficient in a majority of metro areas and is contributing to the ongoing housing shortages and unhealthy… Continue reading
Scottish property market still seen as a good investment despite tax changes
The Scottish property market is still adjusting to political and taxation changes but overall remains an attractive place to invest in real estate, according to a new analysis report. Scotland remains comparatively good value for money, and this is the key driver in the majority of buying decisions but the introduction of Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT ) in April has had an impact. It has contributed to the growth of Scotland’s mainstream residential market, but delayed the recovery of the prime sector in the medium term, says the report from real estate firm Savills. However, Edinburgh is the exception to the rule, where the prime market is attracting buyers from London and overseas who remain cautious about investing outside the capital and the report says that one year on from the Referendum on Scottish Independence, there has been a notable transfer in balance within the residential property market north of the border, with a shift to bottom up growth. The report explains that during the summer of 2014, the Scottish property market was recovering from the economic downturn. The prime residential market was leading the way in the resurgence, with a growing demand for properties above £400,000, particularly in key property hotspots. Consumer confidence was beginning to ripple out, both to other locations and to lower price bands. However, the Referendum raised a number of difficult questions, and the resulting uncertainty stalled the property market. ‘This was felt acutely at the top end, the bracket that had long been boosted by the prevalence of London buyers. A year on, this key target group remains anxious about LBTT and the forthcoming Scottish Rate of Income Tax,’ said Faisal Choudhry, director of Scottish residential research at Savills. ‘In addition, both UK and Scottish Governments have introduced initiatives to support the lower value sector of the market in an attempt to revive both the house building industry and buyers on the early steps of the property ladder,’ he said. ‘Buyers of homes below £400,000 are now receiving further assistance in the form of favourable rates of LBTT. Meanwhile, buyers of more expensive homes are taking on the burden of the new progressive taxation in Scotland,’ he added. The report says that Scotland’s million pound market has felt the biggest brunt of the new taxation changes. The vast majority of sales in this bracket completed prior to 01 April, before LBTT was introduced. While there has been a slight uplift in activity in recent weeks, sales have mostly been focussed on the core locations of Edinburgh, East Lothian, East Renfrewshire and East Dunbartonshire and also in Aberdeen, which saw the most expensive sale since April this year at £2.78 million. ‘As the economy improves, and buyers from both sides of the border adjust to the new taxation structure, we expect this upward trend to continue. While the million pound market is beginning to recover in Scotland’s capital, buyer activity in more provincial locations remains subdued,’… Continue reading
Three bed homes in UK see fastest rent rises, new index shows
UK rents are rising fastest for three bedroom homes with 4.6% year on year growth in August compared to a rise of 3.3% for all UK properties, according to a new index. The new index from Landbay Rental is the first to track rental trends to the county and London borough level in combination with the number of bedrooms. Areas where three bed rental growth is highest are mainly located within commutable distance of London, such as Windsor and Maidenhead up 22% to £1,936, Southend on Sea up 20% to £1,121 and Swindon up 13% to £813. The data shows that across the UK as a whole, rents climbed by 3.3% in the last year to £1,281 and this is well ahead of inflation but while rents continue to climb year on year, the rate at which they are growing has eased from a high of 4.9% in February. It also points out that average UK rents fell between May and July 2015, with August seeing the first monthly rise in rents since March. Across all property sizes, the top rental rises outside of London were Southend on Sea up 12.6%, York up 12.1% and Wrexham up 11.1%. At the other end the biggest fall was in Cheshire were rents were down 6.9%, Aberdeen City down 5.7% and Buckinghamshire down 3.5%. ‘At the national level, rents performed very strongly in 2014 after a dip in 2013. This year has seen rents continue to grow, but at a slower rate. The macro trends at the national level aren’t uniform when you drill into the local level and look at different types of property, which is why we want to establish a rental index that gives landlords, tenants and others interested in the private rented sector access to a more granular level of insight,’ said John Goodall, chief executive officer of Landbay. ‘For investors in the private rental sector, our data makes family homes in the south east look like an attractive proposition. As well as performing well now, rents for three bedroom homes saw the smallest falls when rents dipped in 2013. The challenge for investors looking to benefit is finding suitable properties for professionals at a cost that produces a good yield,’ he added. Continue reading
