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First time buyers paid more for a home in England and Wales in May
First time buyers in England and Wales paid an average of £173,282 to get on the housing ladder in May, a record high that fuelled by intense competition for properties. This was despite some uncertainty creeping into the housing market ahead of the referendum on the future of the UK in the European Union, according to the latest first time buyer tracker index from real estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. But transactions in the first time buyer sector were down by 0.8% compared to the previous month at 24,900 completed sales in May compared to 25,100 in April. However, the report points out that without a pre-referendum supply shortfall first time buyer numbers would have been even higher. The amount paid by first time buyers was up 2.7% from £168,656 in April and 15.8% more than the average of £149,645 seen in May 2015. First time buyer house prices have now increased by more than £23,000 in the last 12 months and current average prices paid are the highest on record. Across the market as a whole, house prices dipped in May in anticipation of the EU referendum on 23 June, with the latest Your Move House Price Index showing house prices in England and Wales fell 0.4% month on month in May. But the bottom of the market has defied this trend fuelled by unwavering first time buyer demand. The overarching trend remains strong, with first time buyer numbers some 13.2% higher than the 22,000 seen in February and 5.1% higher than a year ago. The tracker report also shows that the average mortgage rate for first time buyers slipped further in May to 3.08%, a new record low, following a fall of 0.37 percentage points over the past year. And while there is a climbing cost of purchasing a home, these cheaper rates mean mortgage repayments have not increased significantly as a proportion of first time buyer’s income. As of May, mortgage repayments accounted for 21.1% of income, just 1.7% more than a year ago. Meanwhile, the average first time buyer deposit currently sits at £27,669, up 12.8% or £3,146 from £24,523 a year ago. When compared to the average first time buyer income of £39,651, this represents an extra 29 days’ worth of salary. As a proportion of income, the average deposit has climbed 6.1% compared to May 2015. Continue reading
New home sales in Australia fall for second month in a row
Total new home sales in Australia fell for a second consecutive month in May 2016 but experts say it is cyclical downturn and nothing to worry about. Total seasonally adjusted new home sales declined by 4.4% following a 4.7% fall in April 2016. The sale of detached houses fell by 6.7% but apartments were up by 4.9%. The data also shows that detached house sales declined in three of the five mainland states with a fall of 11.5% in New South Wales, a fall of 8.2% in Victoria and a fall of 11% in Queensland. But detached house sales increased by 3.8% in South Australia and by 5.4% in Western Australia. The figures should not cause alarm, according to the Housing Industry Association. ‘There is a cyclical downturn ahead for new residential construction activity, as new home sales signal, but the early pull-back will be mild by historical standards,’ said HIA chief economist Harley Dale. ‘We remain of the view that a decline in new dwelling commencements will gather momentum in 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, following four years of growth which has delivered enormous benefits to the broader Australian economy,’ he explained. ‘This economic benefit delivered by new home construction in recent years is unprecedented. It creates a platform for the Federal government to provide leadership on the key issues of new housing supply, affordability and home ownership, which will in turn benefit Australia’s economic growth and future standard of living,’ he added. Meanwhile the HIA’s regular review of Australia’s $30 billion home renovations market show that the sector is very much in recovery mode with 2015 marking the second consecutive year of growth. This followed a deep slump during the early years of the decade. The Renovations Roundup report projects that renovations activity will increase by 2.5% this year with growth of 1.7% forecast for 2017. The HIA also projects that activity will grow by 2.8% in 2018 followed by a 2% increase in 2019, bringing the total volume of renovations activity to $33.30 billion. According to Shane Garrett, HIA senior economist, the recovery in renovations activity is being supported by the environment of remarkably low interest rates and very strong dwelling price growth in key markets. ‘In this context, many home owners have decided to shelve plans to move house and instead conduct major renovations work on their existing homes. The large pool of available home equity has made this possible,’ he explained. ‘However, the pace is growth is being held back by the weakness of earnings growth in the economy and the fragile condition of consumer sentiment. The importance of home renovations activity is often underestimated and it accounted for about 35% of total residential construction during 2015,’ he said. ‘With new home building set to decline over the coming years, the expansion of the renovations market means that its importance will only increase. The revival in renovations activity will provide a welcome offset to the more challenging situation emerging on the new… Continue reading
UK monthly property price growth slowed to 0.2% in May, activity expected to slow further
Residential property prices in the UK edged upwards by just 0.2% in May in the run up to the historic vote on the future of the country in the European Union, according to the latest index. This meant that annual price growth slowed to 4.7%, taking the average price to £204,368, but activity in the market is expected to slow in the coming months due to a spike in March due to stamp duty changes and now the Brexit vote. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that the annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months. ‘In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market due to the volatility generated by the stamp duty changes which took effect from 01 April,’ he said. ‘Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ he explained. He also pointed out that while cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy to let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion. The number of home mover mortgages, which is where second home purchases with a mortgage would show up, increased sharply in March. ‘House purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy to let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag,’ said Gardner. ‘Nevertheless, healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once stamp duty related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track,’ he added. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will tilt the demand/supply balance in favour of sellers and exert upward pressure on price growth once again in the quarters ahead,’ he added. Gardner also explained that it is difficult to gauge how sentiment from overseas buyers will be impacted by increased economic uncertainty caused by Brexit on the one hand and the sharp decline in Sterling on the other, which, if sustained, reduces the cost of UK property in foreign currency terms. He pointed out that property prices in London have been supported by extremely robust labour market conditions as well as strong investor demand in recent years. Indeed, the price of a typical London property… Continue reading
