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Lack of suitable homes prevents over 55s in UK from moving

More than 500,000 home owners aged 55 and over in the UK want to move but do not because of lack of suitable housing, new research has found. Some 19% in this age group considered moving in the past two years but have not done so while 23% who considered moving said that a lack of suitable housing was the main reason they did not do so. The stress and upheaval of moving as well as not wanting to be away from friends, neighbours and community are also obstacles to moving, according to the annual home owner survey conducted by YouGov for the Home Owners Alliance and BLP Insurance. The survey report says that with the recent Brexit decision, it is uncertain what the impact on new housing is likely to be but this does not take away from the fact that tackling the UK housing shortage remains a pressing concern. So called last time buyers, we have been told, could help ease the housing crisis in the UK, it suggests. If older home owners living in homes that are under occupied moved to smaller properties it would free up more housing stock. There are an estimated 11.4 million homeowners age 55 and over. Overall some 30% of home owners aged 55 and over said stress and upheaval are reasons for not moving compared to 21% of all home owners while 23% did not want to move away from friends compared with 17%. Prices are not as much of a barrier at 22% compared to 31%. When thinking about a future move, top priorities are similar regardless of age. Good build quality is important to 71%, spacious rooms 72% and parking 69%. However, compared with UK home owners generally, a greater proportion of home owners age 55 or older identify availability of parking at 77% to 69%, low running costs at 70% compared to 59%, proximity to shops at 66% to 55%, good transport links 56% to 47%. ‘The recent Brexit decision means we are now in the midst of uncertain times and new housing is likely to be a victim. Government needs to focus efforts on negotiating a European exit but they must not drop the ball in delivering new housing that meets the needs of last time buyers,’ said Paula Higgins, chief executive officer of the Home Owners Alliance. ‘House builders can't be allowed to sit on their hands and land bank. The government needs to keep them building and building houses that meet the needs of last time buyers as well as first time buyers,’ she added. According to Kim Vernau, chief executive officer of, BLP Insurance, the issues highlighted in the survey that face last time buyers are as acute as those issues encountered by first time buyers. ‘If we wish to provide the required quality of housing that addresses these concerns we desperately need an appropriate mix of well-designed homes alongside adequate local infrastructure… Continue reading

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UK gross mortgage lending up 16% in June month on month

Gross mortgage lending in the UK reached £20.7 billion in June, some 16% higher than May’s lending total of £17.8 billion, and 3% higher than the £20.1 billion lent in June last year. The data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) shows that this is the highest June figure in eight years when gross lending reached £22.6 billion in 2008. Gross mortgage lending for the second quarter of 2016 was therefore an estimated £56.1 billion but this is 10% lower than the first quarter of this year, but 8% higher than the second quarter of 2015. ‘The result of the European Union referendum is likely to affect the housing market, but there remains considerable uncertainty,’ said CML senior economist Mohammad Jamei. ‘Although mortgage firms have ample lending capacity, activity levels are likely to bear the brunt of any market adjustment over the next six months or so, as buyers and sellers wait to get a clearer idea of where we might be headed,’ he explained. ‘But as with the economy, the UK housing market’s starting position is relatively favourable, with transactions having increased by almost 80% from post-crisis lows. Over the next six months, activity is likely to soften modestly, while lending will be driven more by remortgaging and less by house purchases,’ he added. ‘We also expect some form of monetary easing to be undertaken by the Monetary Policy Committee when it meets on 04 August, given the uncertain outlook that has set in after the vote result,’ he pointed out. According to John Goodall, chief executive officer of peer to peer platform Landbay, this spike in mortgage lending levels in June suggests both home buyers and sellers refused to sit on their hands in the run up to the EU referendum result. ‘The market has been something of a rollercoaster ride since the Stamp Duty stampede at the start of 2016, but while the mortgage market continues to find its new normal, its foundations continue to show strength,’ he said. ‘We’re yet to see the long term effects of the Brexit vote on market activity, but it’s clear that the UK’s housing shortage will remain the pivotal issue in defining the future health of the sector. Theresa May has made her political intentions clear for further housebuilding pledges, but must recognise the vital importance of the private rented sector in the housing mix,’ he pointed out. ‘Even with a radical programme to combat housing shortages, supply has a mountain to climb before it catches up with demand, so even a moderate house price correction would do little to hamper the UK’s reliance on the buoyant buy to let market,’ he added. Continue reading

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Brexit hits UK commercial property market sentiment

Sentiment in the UK’s commercial property market has dampened significantly since the referendum vote to leave the European Union with investment demand falling sharply, most notably in London. The heightened sense of caution is visible across both investment and occupier sides of the market, with uncertainty pushing rental and capital value projections into negative territory, according to the latest commercial property market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. It shows that and increasing share of respondents across the UK now feel the market is in an early downturn phase and the 12 month capital value and rental projections have now moved into negative territory. On a UK wide basis, occupier demand failed to rise for the first time since 2012. The headline net balance fell from +21% previously to a reading of zero in the second quarter of the year. Declines were reported in the office and retail areas of the market but demand proved somewhat more resilient across the industrial sector. The regional breakdown shows the occupier demand gauge moderated across all parts of the country, although the shift was most noticeable in London. Alongside this, availability remains constricted, with the supply of leasable space more or less unchanged in the office and retail sectors during the second quarter, while industrial availability continued to decline. Worries over a potential hit to business confidence, caused by political and economic uncertainty, appear to be reflected in respondents’ rental outlook. This is especially the case over the shorter term. Indeed, the headline three month rent expectations net balance dropped from +26% to -7% in the second quarter. The office and retail sectors experienced the steepest decline, with the reading for both now comfortably in negative territory. In the industrial sector, although the net balance softened notably, it remains positive given the very tight supply and demand conditions. When the results are disaggregated, the rental outlook is most negative in London. Over the next 12 months, rents are projected to fall by around 3% at the all-sector level. Within this, rents across the secondary retail sub market are expected to come under the most significant downward pressure. The survey report points out that the weakness in demand is perhaps even more visible on the investment side of the market. During the second quarter the investment enquiries series fell sharply, posting a net balance of -16%, down from +25% in the first quarter of the year. What’s more, all traditional sectors covered in the survey experienced a drop-off in investor interest. Foreign investor demand declined at an even greater rate, as the net balance fell to -27%. While respondents in virtually all parts of the UK noted a decline in overall investment enquiries, the trend was again most pronounced in London. In fact, at -41%, the investment enquiries gauge for the capital was the weakest since 2009. Back at the UK wide level and, despite a softening demand backdrop, the supply of… Continue reading

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