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More first time buyers boost existing home sales in the US
Boosted by a greater share of sales to first time buyers not seen in nearly four years, existing home sales in the United States maintained their upward trend in June and increased for the fourth month in a row. Only the Northeast of the nation saw a decline in sales in June and sales to investors fell to their lowest overall share since July 2009, according to the latest monthly index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Existing home sales were up 1.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million in June from a downwardly revised 5.51 million in May. After last month's gain, sales are now up 3% from June 2015 and remain at their highest annual pace since February 2007. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, the four month streak of sales gains through June caps off a solid first half of 2016 for the housing market. ‘Existing sales rose again last month as more traditional buyers and fewer investors were able to close on a home despite many competitive areas with unrelenting supply and demand imbalances,’ he said. ‘Sustained job growth as well as this year's descent in mortgage rates is undoubtedly driving the appetite for home purchases but looking ahead, it's unclear if this current sales pace can further accelerate as record high stock prices, near record low mortgage rates and solid job gains face off against a dearth of homes available for sale and lofty home prices that keep advancing,’ he pointed out. The index data also shows that median existing home prices for all housing types in June was $247,700, up 4.8% year on year and it means that prices have now increased for 52 months in a row and surpass May's peak median sales price of $238,900. Total housing inventory at the end of June dipped 0.9% to 2.12 million existing homes available for sale and is now 5.8% lower than a year ago while unsold inventory is at a 4.6 month supply at the current sales pace, which is down from 4.7 months in May. The share of first time buyers was 33% in June, up from 30% in May and a year ago and is the highest since July 2012 when it was 34%. Through the first six months of the year, first time buyers have represented an average of 31% of buyers compared to 30% in all of 2015. ‘The modest bump in June sales to first time buyers can be attributed to mortgage rates near all-time lows and perhaps a hopeful indication that more affordable, lower priced homes are beginning to make their way onto the market,’ said Yun. ‘The odds of closing on a home are definitely higher right now for first time buyers living in metro areas with tamer price growth and greater entry level supply, particularly areas in the Midwest and parts of the South,’ he added. The data also shows that all cash sales… Continue reading
Prime commercial property rents up across UK in second quarter of 2016
Rents across the UK’s prime commercial property increased by 1% in the second quarter of 2016, boosted by near record levels of rental growth in central London shops, according to a new report. The latest CBRE’s Prime Rent and Yield Monitor shows that in a quarter characterised by uncertainty around the European Union referendum, prime yields remained stable, implying flat capital values overall. Rents grew significantly across several sectors during the quarter, with high street shops and industrial rents rising 2.8% and 1.4% respectively. Central London saw the greatest rental growth among high street shops driving up overall shop rents, increasing by 8.9% over the last quarter, some way ahead of the 0.2% rental growth in shops across the rest of UK. Indeed, a third of the tracked locations in Central London saw rent increases over the quarter, showing that retailers are still willing to pay premium rents for the limited stock available in the most sought after streets of the capital. Prime yields remained almost flat during the quarter, rising by 4bps to remain close to 5.4%. Yields from prime shops and shopping centres remained unchanged over the three months, while the office sector also saw little yield fluctuation, ticking up 1bp. Industrials and retail warehouses were the main drivers of the slight uplift in overall yields in the second quarter. ‘The second quarter wasn’t exactly business as usual for the UK’s political and economic landscape, but despite the heightened uncertainty in the run up to the referendum vote, the commercial property sector demonstrated strong underlying health, with yields largely unmoved in core markets,’ said Miles Gibson, head of UK research at CBRE. ‘In particular, ample demand for commercial space pushed up rents nationwide, especially in prime London retail, which saw some of the highest rental growth on record. The capital is open for business, and remains an attractive proposition for occupiers seeking to locate in a world leading global city, and investors and landlords capitalising on this desire,’ he pointed out. ‘Although the shadow cast by Brexit means rental growth is unlikely to grow at this pace next quarter, the UK is well positioned to capitalise on the demand for new space,’ he added. Continue reading
Sales up almost 5% in Scotland but prices down
Property sales in Scotland increased by almost 5% year on year in the second quarter of 2016 but prices have fallen by 2.3% over the same period, according to the latest official data to be published. Sales were up 4.9% to 25,760, the data from the Registers of Scotland shows, the highest volume of sales for this quarter since 2008/2009 with the average property price down to £164,326. A breakdown of the figures show that the highest percentage rise in volume of sales was recorded in Argyll and Bute, with an annual increase of 24.5% compared with the same quarter the previous year. Edinburgh City recorded the highest volume of sales at 3,178, a rise of 8.6%. The largest percentage fall in volume of sales was in Aberdeen City, which showed a drop of 19.5% to 1,063 residential sales compared to the same quarter last year. The highest percentage fall was recorded in West Dunbartonshire, with an average price of £105,859, a fall of 12.7% compared with the same quarter the previous year while East Renfrewshire recorded the highest average at £241,364, an increase of 11.7% compared with the same quarter the previous year, which was also the largest percentage rise of all the local authorities over the year. The total value of sales across Scotland registered in the quarter increased by 2.5% compared to the previous year to just over £4.2 billion. The City of Edinburgh was the largest market with sales of £745.7 million for the quarter, an increase of 7.1% on the previous year. South Ayrshire recorded the highest increase in value with sales of £92.2 million, an increase of 27.8% compared with the same quarter last year. Aberdeen City showed the largest decrease in market value, a decrease of 24.4% to £223.8 million compared to the same quarter last year. All property types showed a decrease in average house price in this quarter. Terraced properties showed the biggest decrease down 5.6% to £132,700. Detached, semidetached and flats saw decreases in average house prices of 3.7%, 0.8% and 4.0% respectively. With the exception of detached properties, all property types showed an increase in sales volumes with flats showing the biggest increase at 11.2%. The volume of sales of detached properties decreased by 3.4%. The rise in property sales in Scotland over the last quarter indicates that there is still confidence in the market, according to Michelle Grant, investment director of Grant Property. ‘From a price perspective we are surprised to see a decline. On the ground we are still seeing prime city centre properties in Glasgow and Edinburgh selling for between 10% to 20% over home report valuation,’ she added. Simon Brown, partner and head of residential sales at CKD Galbraith, believes that the Scottish property market has remained resilient to political and economic changes despite the uncertainty of Brexit. ‘As a firm we have not experience any negative effects or hesitancy from… Continue reading
