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Record median home prices recorded in four regions in New Zealand
Four regions in New Zealand saw record sale prices in July with the average median value up to $505,000, according to the latest data to be published. It means that the median sale price increased by $5,000, just $1,000 short of the record median price reached in May 2016, the data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand shows. The Waikato/Bay of Plenty region recorded its eighth record median sale price in nine months, reaching $450,000, up 2.7% on June 2016, while the median price in Auckland reached $825,000, up 0.5%. Northland reached $376,000, up 4.4% and Manawatu/Wanganui reached $265,000, up 6.4%. The data also shows that inventory continues to fall rapidly nationwide, with a 33% decline in properties available for sale year on year and six regions seeing falls of greater than 40%. Wellington and Hawke’s Bay each have less than 10 weeks of supply available, with Waikato/Bay of Plenty at just on 10 weeks supply. At the same time, the number of residential dwelling sales for July 2016 was 7,299, a drop of 7% on June. Sales volumes also fell 10% compared to July 2015, with sales for Auckland falling just over 20% compared to July last year. ‘Prices continue to rise in many regions, showing that demand is still firm. Sales volumes remain below previous periods, as the continued shortage of supply impacts buyers, who are struggling to find properties to buy,’ said REINZ spokesperson Bryan Thomson. ‘We will watch market reaction with interest as the expected increase in listing numbers during the spring and summer selling period become available and the market assesses the impact of the recently announced LVR rule changes, the approval or otherwise of the Auckland Unitary Plan and possible interest rate cut,’ he explained. ‘We understand that it must get very confusing for people with so much data available on the real estate market. REINZ data provides the most up to date and complete set of detailed numbers on national sale prices and trends, plus the factors that underpin them. The key thing is to watch the trends over time, and particularly the seasonally adjusted numbers, as they take month on month changes out of the equation and focus on how the market is really moving,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures shows that the national median house price rose $40,000 or 9% to $505,000 from July 2015 to July 2016. Central Otago Lakes recorded the largest percentage increase in median price compared to July 2015, at 32%, followed by Waikato/Bay of Plenty at 26% and Northland at 16%. Auckland prices up, volumes come off, inventory stays tight Compared to July 2015 the median price across the Auckland region rose by $90,000, up 12% to a new record high of $825,000. On a seasonally adjusted basis Auckland's median price rose 1% compared to June. Although sales volumes in the Auckland region fell 8% compared to June, and fell 20% compared to July… Continue reading
Metro area home prices soar in US with first plus $1 million median value recorded
Home prices are continuing to rise in the United States with the median value for a single family home reaching more than $1 million in a metro location for the first time. The record prices was reached in San Jose, California, while the vast majority of metro areas seeing prices rise in the second quarter of 2016, the data from the National Association of Realtors shows. Overall the median existing single family home price increased in 83% of measured markets, with 148 out of 178 metropolitan statistical areas showing gains based on closed sales in the second quarter compared with the second quarter of 2015. Just 29 metros recorded lower median prices from a year earlier and 25 saw double digit increases. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, a faster pace of home sales amidst languishing inventory levels has pushed home prices higher in most metro areas during the second quarter. ‘Steadily improving local job markets and mortgage rates teetering close to all-time lows brought buyers out in force in many large and middle tier cities,’ he said. ‘However, with homebuilding activity still failing to keep up with demand and not enough current homeowners putting their home up for sale, prices continued their strong ascent and in many markets at a rate well above income growth,’ he added. The national median existing single family home price in the second quarter was $240,700, up 4.9% from the second quarter of 2015, which was previously the peak quarterly median sales price. The median price during the first quarter of this year increased 6.1% from the first quarter of 2015. Total existing home sales, including single family and condos, rose 3.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.5 million in the second quarter from 5.3 million in the first quarter of this year and are 4.2% higher than the 5.28 million pace during the second quarter of 2015. ‘Primarily from repeat buyers moving up or trading down, existing sales increased each month last quarter and could’ve been even higher if not for a few speedbumps. Closings were slowed a bit by meagre supply levels and home prices in many areas that are still rising too fast,’ Yun explained. At the end of the second quarter, there were 2.12 million existing homes available for sale, which was below the 2.25 million homes for sale at the end of the second quarter in 2015. The average supply during the second quarter was 4.7 months, down from 5.1 months a year ago. According to Yun, without enough new construction being built, existing inventory seriously failed to keep up with the growing demand for buying. As a result, homes typically stayed on the market for around a month throughout the second quarter and over 40% of listings sold at or above list price, with June being the highest share since NAR began tracking in December 2012. Yun pointed out that many listings in… Continue reading
Stamp duty change more of an impact than Brexit on prime central London
Stamp duty change is more of an issue for the prime central London sales market than the UK leaving the European Union, new research suggests. However, the vote to leave the EU has created a backdrop of short term uncertainty that is affecting behaviour in the prime central London property market. As a result prices are now down 1.5% compared to a year ago and the number of new prospective buyers has fallen by 6.2% over the same period, according to the latest index from real estate firm Knight Frank. The index report also shows that the number of exchanges, including new build properties, fell by 10.5% in the first half of 2016 but the number of viewings was 40.8% higher than in 2015. However, the sub-£1 million market registered a relatively stronger performance, with annual price growth of 1.1%. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research, early indications suggest the Brexit vote is reinforcing existing pricing trends and viewing the referendum in the context of the preceding two-year period is helpful. In June 2014, annual growth in prime central London was 8.1%, the last peak before a period that saw growth fall steadily to -1.5% in July 2016. ‘This slowdown was a natural consequence of strong price rises between 2009 and 2013, however the process was accelerated by two stamp duty increases and a series of other tax measures,’ said Bill. ‘Despite the widespread media coverage devoted to the EU referendum and its potential impact on house prices, the primary factor curbing demand in prime central London remains stamp duty. The result of this two year slowdown is that vendors had already begun to adapt to the new pricing environment and in many cases Brexit has been a trigger to make overdue reductions to asking prices,’ he explained. ‘Indeed, had the result of the referendum been a victory for Remain, it is likely there would have been a similar mismatch between expectations and reality that followed the 2015 general election. Following the formation of a majority Conservative Party government, high stamp duty costs acted as a brake on demand that was widely expected to surge. Since the vote, a number of buyers have requested discounts due to the climate of political and economic uncertainty,’ he pointed out. ‘However, where the asking price was set at an appropriate level before the vote, deals are proceeding with no reductions. In other cases, the Brexit vote has encouraged vendors to show increased flexibility. It is too early to say whether the reductions are likely to trigger higher transaction levels,’ he added. Bill also pointed out that there is no uniform picture across London and the situation is compounded by thin trading during seasonal summer lull. However, it is possible to see the benefit of recent downward repricing in some markets. In Belgravia overly ambitious vendor expectations, which had led to weak trading over the past two years, has been replaced by a more realistic approach from… Continue reading
