Tag Archives: real-estate
UK agents launch 2015 manifesto for sale and rental housing sectors
Estate and lettings agents in the UK have launched their 2015 housing manifesto calling for better supply, enhanced regulation, and a change to property taxes. The National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) launched the manifesto today at the third consecutive NAEA Conference. During the last six months NAEA and ARLA have met professionals, politicians, experts and campaigners across the UK to understand their hopes and fears for the housing sector. The three main concerns which were identified were the lack of supply, a need for more regulation in lettings and sales, and appropriate taxes across the whole property spectrum. ‘Britain is standing today on the precipice of a crisis in the supply of housing. We are simply not building enough homes to meet burgeoning demand from both the sales and private rented sectors,’ said Mark Hayward, managing director, NAEA. ‘We are growing as a society, and our needs for housing have developed from what they may have been previously. But what still rings true is that everyone has a universal right to a home. And our deep-rooted concern is that government policy on housing, as it currently stands, cannot deliver on this requirement,’ he pointed out. He explained that providing housing, or more importantly homes, requires finance, suitable land, time and skill. ‘Policymakers seem to have forgotten this. Housing cannot be a political football for future governments to use to score points against each other. Ultimately we need to take the politics out of housing. We know this is easier said than done. So instead we ask for all future parliamentarians to maintain a long-term progressive view and to deliver on our manifesto commitments,’ he added. David Cox, ARLA managing director, highlighted the need for greater regulation in the private rented sector. ‘Britain currently maintains a two tier private rented market, consisting of those who operate to professional standards and those that do not,’ he said. ‘Consumers often do not know the difference between the two, thus the onus falls on them to be able to tell the difference. Our agents are already regulated and operate to the highest professional standards. They are fully qualified and we offer tenants and landlords client money protection,’ he explained. ‘The certainty we provide should not be the gold standard, but what every consumer should demand from their agent. It is imperative therefore that letting agents be members of a client money protection scheme, and that regulation be tightened for the entire industry,’ he added. ‘Greater regulation for letting agents in particular will ensure fairness, a level playing field and the removal of those agents who bring the industry into disrepute,’ he concluded. Continue reading
Northern UK cities catching up in house price growth terms
UK house prices in key cities rose by 7.9% in the 12 months to January 2015, however prices were up just 1.1% in the last quarter of the year as the slowdown continued. The data from the latest Hometrack cities house price index shows that year on year house price growth ranged from 4.1% in Glasgow, where house prices average four times average earnings, to 8.6% in Oxford and London where house prices average 12 times average earnings. The high growth cities of 2014 continued to see the rate of growth slow with London down to 13.6%, Bristol at 10.8%, Oxford at 8.6% and Cambridge at 5.3% while six out of the 20 cities hit their post downturn lows just two years ago, but are now up by an average of 9% and will drive future growth. It means that house prices have risen by as much as £144,000 in cities that bottomed out in 2009 but as affordability has affected growth elsewhere Overall the impetus behind continuing UK house price growth is shifting towards cities like Liverpool, Sheffield and Glasgow, which bottomed out only two years ago, away from the cities that started to recover in 2009 but have since slowed due to pressures on affordability. Over the last six years, London and Oxford have experienced house price growth of 55.2% and 42.1% respectively since the trough. However affordability pressures will limit growth in the medium term with both cities registering over 12 times the price to earnings ratios, almost twice the UK average of 6.3 times. By contrast in cities that only started their recovery two years ago such as Edinburgh (10.7%), Leeds (10.1%), Newcastle (8%) and Glasgow (6.3%), house prices are averaging between three and six times the average earnings. There are 14 UK cities in total that have been recording house price growth since 2009, but the length of the recovery does not provide a guide to the level of house price growth. While London has seen the average house value increase by 55% or £144,000, the rebound in house prices in Manchester and Birmingham have been just over 10% or £12,500 over the same period. The six cities that have been recovering for the last two to three years have recorded an average increase of just 9% or £11,000 led by Belfast and Edinburgh. The weakest growth has been seen in Glasgow with average prices up 6.3% or £6,300 since July 2012. ‘A focus on average UK house price movements masks critical trends at a city and sub-regional level. This is important for both businesses operating in the housing market and policy makers trying to address the challenges of growing housing supply,’ said Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack. ‘House price growth within cities reflects the strength of their local economies and the demand for housing. While Manchester and Birmingham saw prices bottom out in 2009, growth has been more subdued than in other cities… Continue reading
Irish house prices expected to continue rising in 2015
New mortgage rules and the recently announced quantitative easing programme will have a game changing impact on investor demand for residential property in Ireland, according to a new analysis. International property advisor Savills expects that house prices will continue to rise in 2015 due to an overall shortage of supply relative to demand. However, because compounding price growth over the last two years has raised baseline prices, the percentage rate of growth will be more moderate than before. The Irish Central Bank’s new mortgage rules will channel demand into the rented sector leading to further rental growth, according to John McCartney, director of research at Savills Dublin. He pointed out that this, and falling deposit yields due to quantitative easing, will attract investors despite the expiry of Capital Gains Tax Incentives last December. ‘By increasing the down payment that is needed to qualify for a mortgage, the Central Bank rules will inevitably lead to first time buyers spending longer in rented accommodation,’ he said. ‘This guarantees a stable platform of demand which will undoubtedly encourage landlords to invest. At the same time, investors will be driven into property by low returns on cash deposits, and these are being further depressed by quantitative easing,’ he added. He explained that while these factors will continue to attract large institutional investment into ‘multi-family’ residential blocks, they will also lead to continued buying activity by smaller retail investors. However, according to Graham Murray, director of residential at Savills, the profile of these investors is changing dramatically. ‘We are really seeing a changing of the guard. On one hand, the recovery in house prices has provided the opportunity for many of the accidental boom time investors to exit the market and, reflecting this, investors were our second biggest seller group last year,’ he said. ‘At the same time, there is a new breed of more professional, yield driven landlords flooding into the market. In fact this new generation of investors represented our biggest single group of buyers last year,’ he added. Contrary to the popular opinion, Savills believes that the Central Bank mortgage rules will do nothing to reduce the rate of house price growth and will only result in a change in the mix of buyers. ‘By diverting demand into the rented sector the new rules will lead to stronger rental growth. In time this will attract investors who will compete with everybody else to buy properties. Therefore the new measures will do nothing to soften house price growth by curtailing demand. They will simply increase the ratio of investors to first time buyers,’ said McCartney. Elsewhere in the report, Savills notes that declining affordability in Dublin, combined with demographic trends, will lead to increased demand and sharper house price growth in the commuter counties of Wicklow, Kildare and Meath. ‘Prices outside Dublin have been rising at an accelerating rate for the last nine months. This is set to continue as demand is… Continue reading
