Tag Archives: real estate

Referendum waiting game pushes rents to all-time peak in Scotland

The Scottish independence referendum contributed to the recent rise in rents to a new record high of £537 per month, up 2.7% in the last 12 months, the latest index shows. Rent growth accelerated on a monthly basis over the past three months as polling day approached, according to the Scotland Buy to Let Index from Your Move, one of Scotland’s largest lettings agents network. The data shows that rents have increased in every region of Scotland over the past year with new records in Edinburgh and Glasgow. Cumulatively, average residential rents have risen 1.3% in the three months to August 2014. Doubt over the outcome of the referendum and lack of clarity over the mortgage and taxation consequences of a possible ‘Yes’ vote, prompted people to delay purchase decisions, and consequently heightened demand in the private rented sector. The average residential rent across Scotland is now 2.7% higher than in August 2013, currently standing at £537 per month. In cash terms, this represents a rise of £14 from a year ago. This is the highest level of average residential rent in Scotland on record, and is up 0.5% since July. ‘While the independence debate has been raging, many households have been battening down the hatches and waiting to see which way the wind blows before buying property. This has boosted demand in the private rental sector, which has acted as a safe harbour and stop-gap on the journey to home ownership,’ said Gordon Fowlis, regional managing director of Your Move. A breakdown of the figures shows that rents have risen on an annual basis across all five regions of Scotland and have climbed to new record peaks in both Glasgow and Clyde, and Edinburgh and the Lothians in August. Glasgow and Clyde saw the fastest annual increase, with average monthly rents up 5.5% or £30 on August 2013, and now standing at £575. This is followed by 3.8% annual growth in Edinburgh and the Lothians, where rents rose by £22 over the past year to an average £602 per month. In three out of five regions, rents are higher than the previous month. The steepest month on month increase is in Glasgow and Clyde, with rents increasing 4.2% between July and August 2014. In Edinburgh and the Lothians, rents have risen 0.2% over the past month, and rents in the East are up 0.1% from July. Two regions have seen rents dip on a monthly basis. The South witnessed the biggest fall in average rents, down 2.2% in the month to August, while in the Highlands and Islands rents were 0.2% lower than in July. As of August the gross yield on a typical rental property in Scotland stands at 4%. This represents a fall of 0.2 percentage points since August 2013 when the gross yield on a rental property averaged 4.2%. However, yields are holding steady on a monthly basis, at 4% over the past four months. Taking into… Continue reading

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Spanish property sales now regarded as stable as they increase five months in a row

Year on year property sales in Spain have increased for five months in a row, signalling that the residential real estate market is becoming more stable. The latest figures from Spain’s National Institute of Statistics (INE) shows that sales increased by 10% in July on an annual basis and by 9% on a quarterly basis. ‘After five consecutive months of annualised sales increases it’s clear the Spanish property market is starting to recover in volume terms, as more buyers enter the market. The figures confirm that overall sales are now stable, if not growing slightly,’ said Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight. ‘Markets are all about transactions and prices, which determine volume and value. Increasing transactions are a sign of confidence that improve liquidity and reduce risk. When buyers outnumber sellers prices start to rise. After almost eight years of consecutive declines in home sales, that is welcome news for Spain but it doesn’t mean the Spanish property crisis is over,’ he warned. ‘It’s now crystal clear that the Spanish property market has established a floor in transaction terms, suggesting sales are unlikely to fall any further. If anything they will continue growing, as they have for the last five month. The question is how sickly or robust will the sales recovery turn out to be,’ he added. The INE doesn’t break down monthly sales figures by nationality, but Stucklin and other real estate experts point out that foreign buyers are driving the sales increase. This suggests that there is plenty of scope for further increases when local demand picks up with falling unemployment and easier mortgage lending. Looking at sales by previous ownership, the trend towards resales continues, with new sales down 8.3% in a year, and resales up 26.8%. ‘Expect the trend to continue as the pipeline of new homes that people actually want to buy dries up over the next year or so. Housing starts have collapsed by 95% since the boom, and the Spanish home building industry has all but disappeared. It might not be a bad time to invest off-plan, if you can find anything to buy off-plan that is,’ said Stucklin. He also pointed out that the label ‘new home’ is starting to lose its meaning in Spain, as most of the new homes currently on the market were built years ago so are now far from being new. Built during a boom when standards fell and prices rose these homes have been collecting dust and depreciating for years. Looking at sales by region, some of the biggest increases took place in the provinces of the interior, for example Cáceres saw sales increase by 87%, albeit from a low base. Sales in some coastal areas like Málaga’s Costa del Sol where foreigners tend to buy, were above the national average. ‘For the time being, and likely for some time to come, sellers outnumber buyers in the Spanish property market, so price pressures will remain muted at a national level,’ Stucklin said. ‘It doesn’t help… Continue reading

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A mansion tax in the UK would mostly affect owners in London and South East

The announcement by the UK’s Shadow Chancellor that the Labour Party will impose a mansion tax on homes over £2 million will put a heavy burden on home owners in London and the South East. Ed Balls has announced that if Labour wins the general election next year the tax will be introduced and the revenue used to increase spending on services such as the NHS. ‘We will do it in a fair, sensible and proportionate way, raising the limit each year in line with average rises in house prices,’ he said. He claimed it was not right that a ‘billionaire overseas buyer of a £140 million penthouse in Westminster will pay just £26 a week in property tax’. Labour would not say how much the mansion tax would raise but the Liberal Democrats who have also raised the idea of a mansion tax calculated it raise £1.7 billion a year, but Labour’s higher bands for homes worth tens of millions could raise more. But with property prices having shot up in the past decade, families who moved into relatively affordable homes could suddenly face huge tax bills because their home has increased in value even if their income has not. Indeed, according to figures from the Halifax House Price Index, a property in Greater London bought for £500,000 in 1994, would now be worth £2,056,381 and according to the Centre for Policy Studies think tank, almost one third of properties worth more than £2 million have been owned by the same people for more than a decade, and around a sixth for more than 20 years. Almost 96% of the mansion tax burden would absorbed by London and the South East with more than 108,000 households nationwide affected by the proposed tax, according to leading property website Zoopla. After conducting analysis of all properties in the UK currently valued at more than £2 million, Zoopla found that in excess of 108,000 households would be liable for the annual levy, at an average of £15,000 each. Properties in London and the South East would account for the vast majority, 95.9%, of the additional £1.63 billion cost with the rest of the country contributing just 4.1%, or £66 million, of the total contribution. ‘The introduction of a mansion tax would disproportionately penalise home owners in London and the South East who are already responsible for the vast majority of property tax take in the UK,’ said Lawrence Hall of Zoopla. ‘With more than 100,000 homes to be affected by this new levy, it is somewhat misleading to call it a mansion tax when many three bed family homes in London and the South East would find themselves caught by it,’ he added. A mansion tax would distort the realities of who own homes in the £2 million plus bracket, according to Nick Leeming, chairman of national estate agents Jackson-Stops & Staff. ‘This will affect people all over the country, not just in… Continue reading

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