Tag Archives: real estate
Prime rental London market sees values continue to rise
Rental values in the prime central London property market continued their recovery in February, recording their twelfth consecutive month without a decline, the latest research shows. An increase of 0.2% matched the rise in January and took annual growth to 4%, which was the highest level in more than three years, according to the report from Knight Frank. It points out that as May’s general election approaches, there is a degree of uncertainty in the sales market that has dampened activity due to the potential of a ‘mansion tax’ on properties worth more than £2 million. ‘This has benefitted the lettings market to some extent as a small but growing number of buyers and vendors hedge their bets on the outcome of the election and move into the rentals market. However, the dominant mood in the prime central London lettings market in February was also one of caution as election campaigning gathered pace, which resulted in low stock levels in some areas,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. He pointed out that in higher value price brackets, the mood of caution has led some landlords and tenants to explore option to buy agreements where it is mutually beneficial. ‘Though not prevalent, there is anecdotal evidence to suggest tenants have explored the try before you buy option in order to hedge against short term political uncertainty, enabling them to initially rent and buy once there is greater clarity surrounding the outcome of the election,’ he added. A breakdown of the data shows that there is some variation in rental values. In Mayfair they have declined by 1.6% and in Islington by 1.2% in the year to February 2015. Chelsea has seen a 0.2% rise and Knightsbridge a 0.5% rise while in Notting Hill they increased by 1.5%. In Belgravia rental values were up 2.7%, in South Kensington by 6.1%, in Kensington7.8%, and in Hyde Park there was growth of 8%. While St Johns Wood and Marylebone saw the highest rises at 10.8% and 12.4% respectively. The report also says that despite the hesitancy, there are grounds for optimism, including the fact new tenant registrations, viewings and the number of tenancies agreed remain strong. The buoyancy of world stock markets in February is also likely to underpin demand. The performance of the prime central London rental index has broadly tracked global stock markets in recent years and the current record levels being set, including by the FTSE100, suggest the positive upwards momentum will continue. The recent strong performance is linked to indications from the Federal Reserve that it will not rush to raise interest rates, the low oil price and the agreement between Greece and the euro zone, among other factors. Continue reading
House prices rise in Portugal for first time in five years
House prices in Portugal increased in January as the country’s economy expands and the unemployment rate falls, according to the latest monthly market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. It is the first time that prices have increased since the RICS/Ci survey was launched in 2010 and comes at a time when buyers demand is increasing. RICS says that improving employment is being reflected in rising new buyer demand and for over 12 months now, new buyer enquiries have been in positive territory and national confidence has reached a series high of +32. It also says that the outlook for sales volumes is strengthening and sales expectations are more elevated than at any other point in the survey’s four year history. The Portuguese economy expanded for the first time since 2010, albeit modestly, with average annual GDP growth of 0.9%. After a three year period in which GDP contracted by nearly 6%, a recovery does now appear to be emerging. The rate of unemployment has fallen by nearly 2% over the past 12 months and now stands at 13.4% having reached a peak of 17.7% in early 2013. The report describes the emergence of a recovery in house prices, supported by a consistent rise in confidence but also points out that in the lettings market, rents are still falling for now, although survey respondents’ expectations point to a more stable trend on the horizon. In the sales market, buyer demand continued to increase, with the pace of improvement accelerating slightly over the month. Meanwhile, sales continued to rise, extending an uninterrupted positive run dating back to February 2014. Moreover, respondents’ sales expectations are more elevated than at any other point over the past four years. Looking ahead, prices are expected to continue to rise over the next three months but RICS explains that a sustained run of positive data will be needed before it is in a position to talk about a genuine recovery. At the regional level, prices are now rising in both Lisbon and the Algarve, but remain more or less stable in the Porto market. In the lettings sector, tenant demand continues to rise gradually and the number of new landlord instructions is diminishing. However, rents are still falling for the time being, although respondents do expect a flatter trend to emerge in the coming months. ‘Even though the volume of new credit is still low, it has been reported by several real estate agents that banks are now more positive about the market,’ said Ci spokesman, Ricardo Guimaraes. ‘Some already have commercial campaigns, announcing lower spreads. This might be the element that was missing to broaden out the recovery that was primarily located in Lisbon,’ he added. According to RICS senior economist, Josh Miller, the Portuguese housing market reached an important milestone in January with prices rising for the first time since the country’s bailout programme. ‘Whether this trend can be sustained depends on the broader economic recovery…. Continue reading
Rate of home ownership in England at lowest level for 30 years
After rising almost continuously over the course of the twentieth century, the rate of home ownership in England has been declining steadily since 2003, the annual housing survey shows. The report published by the Department of Communities and Local Government shows that in 2013/2014 home ownership fell from 65.2% to 63.3% and is now at its lowest rate for almost 30 years. Indeed it is some 8% below the all-time high of 70.9% in 2003 and among owner occupiers, the proportion of people owning their home outright overtook the proportion owning with a mortgage in 2013/2014. The data reveals a sharp decline in the proportion of younger people owing their own home, particular those aged 25 to 34 who are traditionally first time buyers who are vital to the housing ladder. But the number of this group owning their own home fell from 59% in 2004 to just 36% in 2014. Over the same period, the proportion renting, either privately or through a local authority or housing association, increased from 41% to 64%. For 16 to 24 year olds, the proportion renting increased from 76% to 91%. The increase has occurred in the private rental sector, which currently houses 19% of total households in England, the highest share since the 1960s. Indeed, over the last decade the number of privately rented households has nearly doubled to 4.4 million, while the percentage of households in social rental properties has declined from 18% to 17%. The survey suggests that 25% of people in social housing and 61% of those in the private rental sector expect to be able to buy their own home in future. However, this remains a longer term aspiration, with around half of renters expecting it to take five years or more to take their first steps into the housing market. The survey lays bare the generational divide in housing with older households continuing to benefit from the growth in home ownership and accumulation of equity in the second half of the 20th century, with younger households suffering from a lack of access to home ownership in the 21st, according to Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills. ‘We urgently need a co-ordinated, long term response to the housing crisis rather than short term populist policies that only address a few of the symptoms. A new government will need to front up to the need to provide a bigger, better private rented sector and find ways to encourage the recycling of existing housing wealth so younger households can get on and trade up the housing ladder,’ he said. Savills forecasts that number of private rented households will continue to rise, while levels of owner occupation will continue to slide as higher interest rates, greater mortgage regulation and an acute housing shortage further reduce access to mortgaged home ownership. The firm estimates that by the end of 2019 there will be more… Continue reading
