Tag Archives: real estate
Low housing supply in the US squeezing affordability
Rental affordability is as bad as it's ever been across the United States, in part because there are not enough new, affordable homes to meet demand, new research suggests. Overall, renters can expect to spend 30.1% of their income on rent, while home buyers can expect to spend about 15.3% of their monthly income on a mortgage payment, according to a study by real estate analyst Zillow. It also found that affordability is worst in fast growing cities that have fallen behind in building homes to keep up with population growth. The firm’s latest rental index is up 3.4% year on year to $1,355 per month while its property price index is up 4.9% to £178,700. Affordability is best in places that either have slow population growth such as Detroit or have met new growth by building new housing units. Chicago, for example, permitted 906 new housing units in 2012 and 2013 for every 1,000 new residents between 2013 and 2014. The index report says that in Chicago renters can expect to spend about 31% of their income on rent, while homebuyers there can expect to put 13.9% of their income toward house payments. It suggests that it is easy to see how San Francisco has become one of the country's least affordable housing markets. Zillow's analysis showed that for every 1,000 new residents, there were just 193 new housing units permitted. Residents of the San Francisco metro can expect to spend 44% of their income on rent, or 39.2% on a monthly mortgage payment. The short supply is no secret to policy makers. The mayor of San Francisco, for example, has pledged to add 30,000 housing units by 2020 and a Boston city report made a similar recommendation to meet demand with 53,000 new housing units by 203o. ‘As the economy continues to improve, more Americans are slowly moving off of their buddies' couches and out of their parents' basements into homes of their own, first likely as renters and then eventually as home buyers,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘Unfortunately, the supply of affordable homes, especially affordable rentals, is insufficient in many areas to meet this growing demand. As a result, the competition for those homes that are available can often be fierce, driving up prices and contributing to worsening affordability,’ he explained. ‘More construction will help ease the crunch, and getting a mortgage is also getting easier, which will help more current renters transition to home ownership and further ease rental inventory shortages. But these fixes won't happen overnight,’ he added. Since 2000, rents have grown at roughly twice the pace of incomes. Partially as a result, the percentage of Americans citing cheaper housing as a reason they moved to a different home has almost doubled since then, from 5.6% to 9.6% currently, according to the US Census Bureau. Over the past several years, renting, historically a budget minded choice, has become increasingly less affordable. Meanwhile, recovering home prices, along with historically… Continue reading
UK property sales could get boost from April pension changes
UK pension changes could trigger a significant increase in residential property transactions but for most households, this is unlikely to involve the acquisition of an investment property. But the increase in sales is more likely to come from continued trend of pensioners selling larger properties and properties in prime areas and purchasing smaller properties and properties in cheaper areas in order to release additional equity to help fund their retirement years, according to real estate firm Chestertons. In a new report it says that there are a number of reasons that property is likely to prove a popular investment choice for those who decide to take control of their pension pots and invest in something other than an annuity. These include the fact that residential property is generally seen as a less volatile and relatively safe long term investment, when compared to other assets such as equities and can provide a regular rental income. Also, a strong capital appreciation over the medium to long term is anticipated and property is a tangible asset that people generally feel more comfortable with and understand better than other more complicated investment vehicles. If estimates of demand turn out to be accurate then there is likely to be a near doubling in the number of pensioners buying at least one investment property and that would push house prices up. ‘If the properties purchased were then held as rental investments, this would help alleviate the current shortage of rented accommodation, which is especially prevalent in London, thereby stabilising the rental market somewhat,’ said Nick Barnes. However, he believes that financing a property investment is likely to prove difficult for many 55 plus year olds as lenders have been toughening their stance on borrowers who cannot repay their mortgage before retirement. ‘Buying properties with cash is of course an option, but with the average pension pot in the UK standing at just £25,000, the number of people with enough contributions to cover the cash purchase of a property will be very small, especially in London where prices are much higher,’ he explained. ‘The more likely scenario is that those looking to invest in property would need to supplement their pension pots by selling their existing property and either downsizing or moving to a cheaper area. This said, many pensioners have already taken these options and dipped into their pensions to help their children and grandchildren onto the property ladder so a significant uplift in activity is unlikely,’ he added. For those that can afford to buy an investment property, identifying the right property to ensure a longer term income stream and capital growth will be the challenge. Location and rentability are key issues and a realistic assessment of operating costs and voids will need to be made, the report points out. Barnes also said that tax liability is a further important consideration and owners will need to be aware that their rental income when added to their pension or… Continue reading
UK annual house price growth falls again
Annual house price growth in the UK slowed to 5.1% in March from 5.7% in February and prices were up just 0.1% month on month, according to the latest index figures. It means that annual house price growth has now slowed for seven months in a row, taking the average price of a property to £189,454, the data from the Nationwide Building Society shows. UK house prices are currently around 2% above their pre-crisis levels. However, the pace of housing market activity has remained subdued, with the number of mortgages approved for house purchase in January around 20% below the level prevailing a year ago. ‘Economic conditions have remained supportive, with labour market conditions continuing to improve and mortgage interest rates close to all-time lows,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. While house price growth has moderated across the UK, there is still significant regional variation. Prices in London and the South of England continued to see the strongest rates of annual growth, though there was a noticeable softening this quarter, particularly in London Price growth also continued to cool in the North West of England, Scotland and Wales, even though prices in these regions remain some way below their 2007 peak. Indeed, in annual terms, prices in Wales declined by 0.5% in the first quarter of 2015. A breakdown of the figures show that all regions except the North of England saw a further slowing in annual price growth in the first three months of 2015. Across the UK as a whole, prices rose by 0.6% over the quarter, after allowing for seasonal effects. Prices were up 5.9% compared with the first quarter of 2014. London remained the strongest performing region, with average prices up 12.7% year on year, although annual house price growth has slowed noticeably compared with recent quarters, with growth down from 17.8% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Amongst the other English regions, the Outer Metropolitan area continued to outperform, with annual price growth not far behind London at 12%. Yorkshire and Humberside was the weakest performing English region, with prices up 1.3% over the last 12 months. Northern Ireland saw a slowing in annual price growth to 5.7%, while annual price growth in Scotland moderated to 1.3%. Wales remained the weakest performing region and was also the only region to see a fall in average prices, which were down 0.5% compared with the first quarter of 2014. There was a further slowing in annual house price growth in Scotland, from 4.2% last quarter to 1.3% this quarter. Edinburgh was the best performing area, with prices up 11% on the previous year. The Highlands and Islands saw the weakest growth, with prices up 2%. The Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) is set to be introduced in Scotland on 01 April. Under LBTT, those purchasing properties above £333,000 will pay more tax compared with marginal stamp duty land tax (SDLT) system now in use in the rest of the… Continue reading
