Tag Archives: real estate
Positive medium outlook for prime UK property beyond London
Value offered in prime residential property markets beyond London suggests a positive medium term outlook despite some caution among buyers ahead of the UK general election next month. But there are differences on a regional basis, according to real estate firm Savills whose latest analysis report points out that it has become pretty much impossible to talk about the UK’s prime housing markets beyond London as a single entity. It explains that since the economic downturn of 2008, the markets have become increasingly stratified, reflecting not only their distance from the capital, but also the tier of the prime market in which they sit and whether they are in an urban, rural or coastal location. Wide price differentials now exist between London and its commuter zone, the remainder of England and Wales and, indeed Scotland. A property worth £1 million in 2007 would now be worth £1.34 million in London, £1.05 million in the commuter zone and £780,000 in Scotland. ‘Within each of these areas, the prime urban markets have generally been on the rise, while their rural counterparts have lagged behind to date. Although the medium term prospects remain positive, all of these submarkets face challenges in 2015,’ explained Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills. ‘Although the economic recovery has held firm and the outlook for interest rates remains relatively benign, political uncertainty in the run up to the general election has, for the moment at least, resulted in an air of caution among buyers,’ he said. ‘The mainstream markets, which impact on sentiment higher up the value chain, seem to have been similarly affected despite the best efforts of the Chancellor to stimulate a feel good factor with the recent long overdue reform of stamp duty. The reality is that the increased regulation of the mortgage market will have played a significant part in bringing a period of sobriety to the wider housing market following strong growth in the first half of 2014,’ he pointed out. ‘Despite lower levels of mortgage debt dependency, regulatory limits on the amount of borrowing a buyer can take on board will also have had an impact on those looking to work their way up the prime housing market. Meanwhile, a significant chunk of the prime market now finds itself with a larger stamp duty liability,’ he added. Cook also explained that taxation has been an even greater concern in the upper echelons of the prime market and the debate around a mansion tax has done nothing to engender a sense of urgency among buyers. ‘However unwelcome and unwarranted the proposal, owners of prime regional housing may take some solace from the fact that the main burden of the tax would be felt by owners of higher value properties in London,’ said Cook. ‘If a mansion tax is introduced it has the potential to make properties outside of the capital, that already look comparatively good value, appear even more attractive. Over time it could… Continue reading
US holiday home sales soared in 2014, annual report shows
Holiday home sales in the United States soared 57.4% in 2014 to above their most recent peak level in 2006, while investment purchases fell for the fourth straight year, new data shows. The annual survey by the National Association of Realtors reveals that holiday home sales increased to an estimated 1.13 million last year, the highest amount since NAR began the survey in 2003. Investment home sales in 2014 decreased 7.4% to an estimated 1.02 million from 1.10 million in 2013. Owner occupied purchases fell 12.8% to 3.23 million last year from 3.7 million in 2013. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, described the holiday sales market as having seen astonishing growth, nearly doubling the combined total of the previous two years. ‘Affluent households have greatly benefited from strong growth in the stock market in recent years, and the steady rise in home prices has likely given them reassurance that real estate remains an attractive long-term investment,’ he said. ‘Furthermore, last year’s impressive increase also reflects long term growth in the numbers of baby boomers moving closer to retirement and buying second homes to convert into their primary home in a few years,’ he added. Overall holiday home sales accounted for 21% of all transactions in 2014, their highest market share since the survey was first conducted. The portion of investment sales fell to 19% compared to 20% in 2013 and owner occupied purchases declined to 60% from 67% in 2013. ‘Despite strong rental demand in many markets, investment property sales have declined four consecutive years to their lowest share since 2010 as rising home prices and fewer distressed properties coming onto the market have further reduced the number of bargains available to turn into profitable rentals,’ said Yun. The median sales price of both holiday and investment homes declined in 2014. The median holiday home price was $150,000, down 11.1% from $168,700 in 2013. The median investment home sales price was $125,000, down 3.8% from $130,000 a year ago. According to Yun, the decrease in vacation and investment sales prices is likely due to the increase in holiday and investment buyers purchasing condos and townhouses, which contributed to a decline in the median size of 200 square feet for both. Additionally, the rise in holiday home buyers purchasing distressed properties and buying in the South, where home prices are often lower, contributed to the overall decline in the sales price of vacation homes. The share of holiday home buyers who paid in cash fell to 30% from 38% in 2013. Investment buyers who paid in cash decreased to 41% from 46% a year ago. Of buyers who financed their purchase with a mortgage, nearly half, 48%, of holiday home buyers and 41% of investment buyers financed less than 70% of the purchase price. The data also shows that 45% holiday homes and 44% of investment homes purchased in 2014 were distressed properties, either… Continue reading
Prime central London rental values up for third month in a row
Rental values in the prime central London rose by 0.2% for the third consecutive month in March, pushing annual growth to 4%, the highest rate in more than three years. The rental value index is now at the same level it was during the summer of 2012, when London hosted the Olympic Games, according to the latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank. Rental values subsequently dipped as the sales market strengthened but growth returned at the start of 2014 but the lettings market benefited as the UK economic recovery took hold and companies began hiring more staff. Annual growth was 4%, the highest rate in more than three years but the report says that some landlords are hesitant to agree deals because they believe the sales market could strengthen. The number of tenancies, viewings and new prospective tenants are up markedly on 2014 rental yields at 2.92%, an increase on March 2014, the report also points out. The report points out that jobs in London’s financial services sector rose 17% in February compared to 2014 and according to recruiters this is due to oil price stability and subsiding concerns over a Greek exit from the euro zone. However, it is not a clear cut picture, the report says, and activity and stock levels have been dampened by the kind of indecision that has affected the sales market. ‘While some vendors have become landlords in order to wait out the general election to obtain more clarity around the future political landscape, the overwhelming mood of uncertainty has led to hesitancy as the election draws closer and campaigning steps up,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. He pointed out that some property owners who had considered the rental option have been reluctant to sign two year tenancy agreements while there is a possibility the sales market could strengthen in the second half of the year, depending on the outcome of the election. ‘Either way, demand in the lettings market remains strong. In the year to February 2015, the number of tenancies increased by 37% compared with the preceding 12 month period,’ Bill said. Meanwhile, the number of viewings rose 16%, property inspections increased 14% and the total number of new prospective tenants registering grew by 18%. A stronger lettings market and slower price growth in the sales market resulted in rental yields of 2.92% in March, higher than a figure of 2.83% recorded in the same month last year. Continue reading
