Tag Archives: real estate
Aberdeen property market set for declines unless oil price picks up
Aberdeen has seen some of the strongest growth in the residential real estate market in recent years but now it is under a period of adjustment after seven years of phenomenal growth, according to a new analysis. The residential market across the Aberdeen area is being affected by uncertainty within the oil dependent local economy and prices have started falling, data for the third quarter of 2015 shows. According to the report from real estate firm Savills in the 12 months to the end of September 2015 the overall average sale price in Aberdeenshire was the second highest in Scotland, behind Edinburgh. The average price in Aberdeen City was the fourth highest, behind East Renfrewshire, over the same period. Indeed, data for the 10 year average for the overall residential market, values are 24% higher in Aberdeen City and 19% higher in Aberdeenshire, compared to 11% for Scotland as a whole. Furthermore, prime values in the Aberdeen area are 34% higher than they were in 2007, the peak of the Scottish market. This compares to a drop of 22% for Scotland as a whole. Despite the recent turmoil, monthly residential rental prices in Aberdeen remain the highest in Scotland. However, there was a fall of 2% in Aberdeen City and 4% in Aberdeenshire in mainstream prices during the third quarter of 2015, compared to the same period last year. Prime values in the Aberdeen area have dropped by 9% over the same period, with properties in rural locations most affected compared to city locations. Rental values in Aberdeen City dropped by 7% over the same period. The biggest impact has been felt in the volume of sales. During the year ending September 2015, the number of residential sales in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire fell by 5% and 11% respectively, compared to the same period last year. However, Faisal Choudhry, director of Savills Scottish research, pointed out that despite these drops, there are some sections of the market that have bucked the trend. These include properties between £300,000 to £400,000, which have seen a slight annual increase in sales of 5%. ‘Our analysis of new build developments shows an increase in the number of properties currently available between £200,000 and £300,000. This includes first time buyers, professionals and young families who are continuing to benefit from the comparatively lower rates of taxation and mortgages,’ he said. He also pointed out that while as a whole the introduction of the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBBT) in April pushed the number of prime property sales up by 10% but this was not the case in the Aberdeen area, where the number of prime sales fell slightly to 669 during the year ending September 2015, compared to 678 during the previous 12 month period. ‘This suggests the market was further constrained by uncertainty within the oil sector. Prime activity has been further compounded by higher levels of taxation as a result of LBTT, with the… Continue reading
Prices in key UK cities up over 10% year on year
Property prices in the UK’s key cities have increased by 10.1% year on year, driven by a chronic shortage of homes being put up for sale, and are set to rise by around 7% in 2016, the latest index shows. With demand high, the shortage of supply has been particularly felt in the latter stages of the year and this is reflected in a 5% drop in sales, the data from the Hometrack UK cities house price index also shows. London has seen the highest growth with prices up 13.3%, following on from 14.7% in 2014 and the average price of a home in the capital city has leaped by £52,900 year on year. The weakest rate of growth was in Aberdeen where average house prices fell by 2% compared to a 12% rise in 2014, the data also shows. The city with the strongest turnaround over the last 12 months has been Glasgow where growth has jumped from 1.8% a year ago to 8% today as prices recover off a low base in one of the most affordable cities covered by the index. The index report suggests that scarcity and low turnover of stock will remain features of market supporting price growth but at expense of greater risk of localised price volatility, especially in cities with stretched affordability. Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack, pointed out that moving amongst existing mortgage home owners accounted for the lowest share of housing sales in a decade at 33% compared to 50% in 2007. ‘This group are a vital source of new supply alongside new homes which account for 10% of sales a year. Strong demand from investors, most of whom are not sellers, has also exacerbated the erosion of available supply,’ he said. He believes that the real engine for house price growth in 2016 looks set to come from regional cities which have recorded much lower levels of house price growth in the last few years and affordability levels are far less stretched. The index also shows that house price to earnings ratios are well ahead of the long run average in London, Oxford and Cambridge yet across all other cities affordability on this measure is in line with the average over the last 12 years. Across the 20 cities covered by the index the average income to afford a home with an average 76% mortgage at a 3.5 times income mortgage is £49,700, up from £45,200 a year ago. Donnell also pointed out that while the average mortgage rate is at an all-time low of 2.6% the reality is that existing mortgaged home owners outside the south east seem reluctant to take on debt to bid up the cost of housing. ‘Debt servicing costs continue to fall with the average mortgage rate on outstanding mortgage debt down to just 3.1%. UK households have seen interest payments fall by a further £1.1 billion over 2015,’ he said. He also… Continue reading
Scottish govt announces extra tax on second homes, following rest of UK
Private rented sector landlords in Scotland and second home owners face an extra 3% stamp duty tax from next year which will bring them into line with changes in England and Wales. It was only a matter of time before the change came about after the UK Chancellor George Osborne announced the additional tax for England and Wales in his recent Autumn Statement. Scottish Finance Minister John Swinney said that he would bring forward legislation on the new second home charge soon so that it could be in force by April 2016. ‘I am conscious of the issue of second homes. We need to ensure that the opportunities for first time buyers to enter the market in Scotland are as strong as they possibly can be and we need to make certain that tax changes elsewhere in the UK do not make it harder for people to get on the property ladder,’ he explained. It means that an extra 3% rate will apply to the purchase of additional properties, such as buy to let and second homes from 01 April 2016 and be levied on the total price of the property for all sales above £40,000 on top of the current LBTT rates. The Scottish Government has forecast that it will raise overall LBTT receipts in 2016/2017 by between £17 million and £29 million, rising to a possible £66 million by 2020/2021. Overall the Government expects LBTT will raise £295 million in 2016/2017. John Blackwood, chief executive of the Scottish Association of Landlords, said that landlords will be disappointed and frustrated by the decision which will effectively ‘punish’ those who choose to invest in the private rented sector (PRS) Scotland. ‘The supplementary tax on the purchase of second homes will have a huge impact on the buy to let market and exacerbate an already serious shortage of properties in many areas. We firmly believe that the biggest losers from today's statement will be tenants who will now find it even harder to get the accommodation they want at a price they can afford,’ he added. Oliver Knight, a senior analyst in Knight Frank’s residential research department, said that sales will be brought forward as landlords and others seek to minimise their property tax burden. He added that buy to let property investors will also be able to continue offsetting all stamp duty against capital gains tax when they sell their property. Bob Cherry, partner at property consultants CKD Galbraith, also believes that there will be a flurry of activity before the end of March 2016. ‘This new levy will have implications for current landlords looking to sell as well as act as yet another deterrent to would be landlords thinking about the market as an investment opportunity,’ he said. ‘This measure, like the LBTT rises introduced earlier this year, is also a wealth tax on owners as buyers of buy to lets will seek to pass on the extra purchase costs by reducing… Continue reading
