Tag Archives: real estate
UK residential sales down 2.8% month on month but up almost 10% year on year
Residential property sales in the UK fell by 2.8% between December 2015 and January 2016, according to the latest data published by HMRC, the UK’s taxman. However, the seasonally adjusted sales figure is 9.7% higher compared with the same month last year, with transactions reaching 105,940. Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move, believes that it is significant than January sales are up considerably year on year. ‘This could be accredited to a spike in purchases by additional home buyers looking to escape the rise in stamp duty, set to be introduced in April. This may continue to provide a short term boost for a matter of weeks,’ he said. ‘However, we are now explaining to new clients that it is too late to guarantee completion before 01 April. Looking ahead, the question is whether the market will sustain this level of activity. Supply is likely to be the biggest constraint, so new house building will remain critical,’ he added. However, the figures are published as property experts are being asked what effect the newly announced referendum on the UK’s position in the European Union might have on housing markets. According to Peter Rollings, CEO of Marsh & Parsons, sales activity often cools in times of political uncertainty and the London housing market usually bears the brunt of it. ‘First and foremost, foreign investors may be more tentative given this latest turn in events, especially as it follows hot on the heels of higher Stamp Duty for million pound properties,’ he said. ‘But history shows us that the market recovered quickly from this short term ambiguity in 2015 and in fact, home sales have really been building momentum over the past year. The property market is chock a block with eager buyers, who are being propelled on by cheap mortgage finance and government support schemes,’ he explained. ‘Given the extent of buyer demand, it’s a great time for existing home owners to be thinking about their next step up the ladder, which should drive further purchase activity. For investors, the change in Stamp Duty for second homeowners in April will be an incentive to make purchases quickly over the next month,’ he added. ‘It remains to be seen how much of an impact the EU referendum will have on these current levels of confidence but go or stay, London remains an attractive safe haven in times of uncertainty,’ he concluded. According to real estate services firm Savills the fact that the referendum has been announced now means that the relatively long lead in should minimise the potential impact on property market. ‘We’ve already seen a number of short-term factors impact investors’ sentiment this year, however appetite for UK property remains healthy. Chinese investors remain active in the market and negative interest rates in Japan will also benefit global real estate,’ said Mark Ridley, Savills chief executive officer UK and Europe. ‘As we saw in the run up to the 2015 General Election, one of… Continue reading
Maligned banking practice could help rebalance UK mortgage market, study suggests
Securitisation, where investors buy pools of debt from banks as secured assets, has enabled mortgage lenders in the UK to offer an increased number of lower risk, long term fixed rate mortgages, it is claimed. Securitisation was originally intended to free up funding for banks, allowing them to sell packages of mortgage loans and lend out the proceeds to more customers. Those loans could then be sold on, and the cycle could start again. The process was also intended to reduce risks for banks by spreading the ownership of mortgages and other loans among other investors but it came under scrutiny during the global economic downturn and used less frequently as a result. However, a new study of long term market trends by Dr Alla Koblyakova and Professor Michael White, of Nottingham Trent University’s Real Estate Economics and Investment Research Group, has found that 78% of mortgages sold as securities over a nine year period were held in longer term fixed rate contracts. ‘This is an important finding as it shows that securitisation not only increases liquidity in the market but has the potential to shift consumer mortgage choices toward long-term fixed rate mortgage debt,’ said Koblyakova. ‘In a market like the United Kingdom’s, where around 80% of residential mortgage debt is held in higher risk variable rate or short term fixed rate contracts, this is a very welcome finding,’ he claimed. ‘A high level of variable debt is seen as a source of economic instability. Policymakers may wish, therefore, to consider the potentially beneficial role that securitisation can play in helping balance the UK mortgage market,’ he added. According to the study variable rate and short term fixed rate mortgages are more risky for borrowers as they leave them more vulnerable to financial shocks, such as interest rate increases. By contrast, longer term fixed rate deals protect borrowers from such increases, but leave lenders more exposed to these risks. Koblyakova believes lenders may be more inclined to offer longer term fixed rate mortgages to borrowers when these mortgages are sold on as securities because this reduces the lenders’ exposure to risk. The study also found that variable rate mortgages were more profitable for lenders than long term fixed rate mortgages by as much as 1.6%. For every 1% of profit a mortgage lender makes from a variable rate mortgage, the market share of variable rate mortgages increases by 18%. This is despite the data also suggesting that consumers prefer to take out longer term fixed rate products. ‘According to this data, larger profit margins for variable rate mortgage products positively influences demand. These findings are very important, and should stand as a call for action for policymakers, as they show that UK households may be faced with greater payment shocks because of the strategies of lenders,’ Koblyakova concluded. White pointed out that the regulation… Continue reading
Average apartment prices up in Dubai but down in Abu Dhabi
Average apartment rents in Dubai increased by 3% in January compared to the previous month but amounts varied across property types, the latest data shows. Average rents reached an annual rate of AED138,000 overall with the market seeing some adjustments, according to the latest report from property portal Bayut. The firm also reports an improvement in yields for apartment property investors, reaching an average of just over 6% but these do vary according to property type, location and quality with some reaching up to 10%. One bedroom apartments recorded an average of AED97,000 in January, down 0.8% month on month while two and three bedroom rents were up 0.1% and 2.2% respectively AED151,000 and AED211,000. Rental values for four bed apartments also fell, down 2.2% in January compared to December 2015 to AED330,000. Yields improved across all apartment types. Studios offered average yields of 7.235, one bedroom apartment 6.4%, two bedroom apartments 5.7%, three bedroom apartments 5.3% and four bedroom apartments 3.55%. Dubai Marina remained the most popular locality for renting apartments in Dubai, followed by Jumeirah Lakes Towers. Bur Dubai, Downtown Dubai and Business Bay. In neighbouring Abu Dhabi rents are falling with values across all property types apart from three bedroom flats falling in January. The firm said that this could be the market adjusting to growth in 2015. Average apartment rents fell 5% from AED 141,000 in December 2015 to AED 135,000 in January. Studio apartment rents were down 3.6% to AED64,000, one bedrooms were down 1.3% to AED99,000, and two bedroom flats down 4% to AED136,000. Four bedroom apartment rents well the most by 4.6% to an average of AED252,000 while three bedroom apartments saw rents rise, up 2.3% to AED192,000. The firm also pointed out that although apartment rents fell last month in Abu Dhabi, average yields still offered a lot of value for investors, averaging 7% across all types. Yields for studios were 9.4%, one bedroom apartments 8%, two bedroom apartments 7.3%, three bedroom apartments 7.4% and four bedroom apartments 4.6%. In terms of popularity Al Reem Island, Al Raha Beach, Al Reef, Al Ghadeer and Saadiyat Island remained the top five locations for renting apartments in Abu Dhabi. Continue reading
