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Brexit unlikely to affect Dubai real estate markets
British investors are one of the largest group of investors in Dubai’s property markets but the decision by the UK to leave the European Union is unlikely to have much of an impact, according to experts. As the most open real estate market in the Middle East, Dubai has always found itself more susceptible to external factors. But, despite the interim uncertainty brought about as a result of Brexit the emirate unlikely to feel any long term effects, says a report from international real estate firm JLL. British citizens are the third largest investors into Dubai’s real estate market, potentially leaving them more susceptible to any negative impacts from Brexit, however, JLL’s Craig Plumb, head of research for The Middle East and North Africa, believes that any negative ramifications will only be temporary. ‘Even though it is too early to predict the long-term implications, overall there is a slight probability of British investors being negatively impacted by the devaluation of the British Pound following Britain’s decision to exit the European Union,’ he said. ‘However, we believe the effect of the decision will only have temporary repercussions as a substantial number of British investors who work and reside in the UAE avoid sourcing their income in sterling,’ he explained. ‘If we dissect the market further, particularly for residential, we notice that expatriates in Dubai are most likely to continue renting their homes instead of switching to ownership, resulting in sales being more negatively affected than the rental sector. If external factors stabilize over the rest of the year, we expect the Dubai residential market to easily recover in early 2017,’ he pointed out. During the second quarter of the year, office vacancy rates throughout Dubai showed a general downward trend. However, Plumb attributes this to a lack of supply, confirming that Dubai remains the largest and most active office market in MENA with many businesses still preferring to use the Emirate as their regional hub. Meanwhile, the retail and hotel sectors have fared less well in the immediate aftermath of the decision given the devaluation of the British pound. ‘Dubai and the MENA region as a whole has become an increasingly expensive destination for European visitors,’ Plumb added. Continue reading
Demand for retirement homes in UK slows
The uptake of retirement housing in the UK softened in the second quarter of this year as many downsizers paused plans ahead of the European Union referendum vote, according to the latest quarterly review. Overall new buyer registrations for retirement properties slipped by over 20% from the first quarter to 4,744, a 30% fall on the same period last year, as uncertainty before the referendum slowed the market. However, the data from retirement property specialist Retirement Homesearch, also shows that the number of property viewings at 2,974 and instructions at 513 remained steady on first quarter numbers, showing that registered buyers are still actively looking to downsize. ‘Uncertainty around the referendum may have caused many downsizers to sit on their hands until after 24 June, but the outcome could mean a further delay in decisions, as markets fluctuate and affect pensions, which will have a knock-on effect on Britons’ retirement plans,’ said Nick Freeth, managing director of Retirement Homesearch. ‘However, with six million older Britons now living in houses with two or more excess bedrooms, downsizing could help retirees free up capital, reduce the cost of running large properties and move to homes better suited to their needs,’ he added. A recent report on the state of the UK’s housing, published by the International Longevity Centre (ILC-UK) and supported by Retirement Homesearch parent company, FirstPort, shows that under occupancy amongst the older generation is now a widespread issue with six million people living in houses with two or more excess bedrooms. Since 2005 there has been a significant increase in the number of 65 to 74 year olds living alone to 300,000. ‘As experts in retirement housing, we know that having access to specialist advice is especially important in the post-Brexit landscape where it is essential to minimise uncertainty. By ensuring downsizers get the guidance they need, they can begin to look forward to a new home, as well as a new lifestyle,’ Freeth concluded. Continue reading
Scottish farmland values static in first half of 2016
The value of Scottish farmland remained virtually static in the first half of 2016, down just 0.2% to £4,357 per acre, according to the latest sector index. Year on year values are down 1.7% but up 26% over five years, up 169% over 10 years and up 174% over 20 years, the data from the Knight Frank Scottish Farmland Index shows. A breakdown of the figures show that good quality arable land remains at £9,046 per acre, while the price of permanent pasture fell fractionally to £2,719 per acre and overall despite prices holding up, there has been relatively little market activity in 2016. ‘There have been very few farms sold so far this year, and fewer than usual were launched around the time of the Royal Highland Show, which is the point the market here traditionally gets going,’ said Tom Stewart-Moore, head of Scottish farm sales at Knight Frank. ‘We are still talking to potential vendors who had just got to grips with the result of the recent reform of the Common Agricultural Policy and Land Reform, but until they get a better feel for what Brexit means for the Scottish agricultural industry they are wary of committing to a sale,’ he explained. ‘Combined with the continued slump in commodity values, many people were expecting a rush of farms to the market in 2016 and a subsequent drop in prices,’ he pointed out, adding that low interest rates mean there have been very few forced sales so far. He also pointed out that demand for good quality arable and livestock units is definitely outstripping supply and demand also remains strong for amenity and sporting estates. Knight Frank recently sold the 6,500 acre Kinnaird Estate in Perthshire for in excess of its £9.6 million guide price and an 8,000 acre stalking estate in Sutherland, which is due to launch soon, is expected to be another good test of the market. ‘Although Scotland did not vote for Brexit, the slide in the value of Sterling since the referendum makes land here better value than it was before the vote so I’m expecting more interest from overseas buyers,’ said Stewart-Moore. ‘Despite uncertainty in the economy, the value of the pound and volatility in the stockmarket, land is still seen as a very safe investment,’ he added. Continue reading
